Dry Today – Wet Monday

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Hope to see everyone at the BJCC in just a couple of hours for the annual Storm Alert Xtreme. Spotter reports are so important to the weather warning, but there are often many things that can fool observers. This annual training helps keep all of us up-to-date and refreshed on what to look for when the weather turns bad!

One more dry day is in store for Central Alabama with some beneficial rain on the horizon. Radar showed a line of showers just west of the Mississippi River this morning, however, the main dynamics for that front are pulling north and northeast into the western Great Lakes area which should end the push for those showers coming much further eastward. Plus there is a slight southeasterly or easterly flow which is helping to bring drier air from the east into Central Alabama. That drier air is also a tad cooler, so even with the sunshine we should see today, we will see highs in the lower 70s – a few degrees below yesterday.

The front stalls out in our area during the day tomorrow, so isolated to scattered showers become possible for us. I think most of us will see very little rain, however, some spots could see a quarter of an inch of rain in those showers.

The main rain event comes Monday and Tuesday. The upper air trough becomes phased nicely with a surface low expected to develop along the Gulf Coast. With an abundance of moisture with a southwesterly flow aloft, we should see a beneficial rain event with rainfall amounts potentially in the 1 to 2 inch range.

The trough moves by quickly which zips the surface low from the Gulf Coast to New England by Wednesday. This means that the rain should end during the first half of Tuesday with the possibility of a little afternoon sun. Should the system move a bit slower, we would not see sun until Wednesday. Wednesday looks dry and pleasant with a high in the mid 60s.

A second trough will blast by on Thursday bringing colder air our way. It will probably bring some clouds, but it does look like there is potential for some additional snow in the southern Smokey Mountains. The cool, dry air stick around for the weekend with another front and upper southwesterly flow setup possible for a week from Sunday.

Looking ahead to Thanksgiving, it looks like a sunny, cool day for the Southeast US with a surface high planted over the mid-Mississippi Valley with a cool northwesterly flow aloft.

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Got to run to get down to the BJCC. Again, hope to see you there. The next Weather Xtreme Video should be posted by 8 am or so tomorrow morning. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Category: Alabama's Weather