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Warm, Unsettled Weather Through Thanksgiving

| November 22, 2010 @ 3:32 pm | 8 Replies

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THIS AFTERNOON: Tuscaloosa has soared to 78 degrees this afternoon with a partly sunny sky; all other places are well up into the 70s, over 10 degrees above average, and not far away from record highs for November 22. Birmingham’s record high for today is 79 set in 1900, while the Tuscaloosa record is 79 set in 1979… so they are within one degree of the record.

A check of the radar is showing very little rain across the state… just a few isolated showers over Lowndes and Dallas Counties, west of Montgomery.

TO THE NORTH: Bone chilling cold continues over Montana and parts of the Dakotas. Rogers Pass, Montana reports 8 degrees below zero at 2:00 p.m. CST, and the leading edge of the cold air is a cold front running from Madison, Wisconsin to Gage, Oklahoma. We note a couple of tornado watches up for areas ahead of the front across the Upper Midwest. This front is moving slowly in our direction, but we don’t expect any major severe weather problems here.

TOMORROW: The approaching Polar front will bring a pretty decent chance of showers and storms to the state tomorrow afternoon into the evening hours, with potential for 1/2 inch in most communities. Looks like the best chance of rain will come from about 3 until 9 p.m. The weather will stay mild, with a high in the low to mid 70s.

WEDNESDAY: The busiest travel day of the year looks warm and relatively dry here in Alabama. We actually will begin the day with a cooler morning with a temporary intrusion of colder air (areas north of Birmingham could see a low in the upper 40s), but a southerly flow will push the front northward as a warm front, and we will rise into the 70s again Wednesday afternoon. There will be enough moisture for a shower or two, but they should be widely spaced and many communities will be dry.

THANKSGIVING: Not much change on Thursday… the Polar front will still be well to the north, and the day will be generally dry and warm with highs in the 70s. Any showers during the day should be very widely spaced. Then, as the front finally gets closer, we expect an increase in showers and thunderstorms after midnight Thursday night. A few strong storms are possible, but we don’t anticipate a major severe weather issue.

IRON BOWL FRIDAY: The weather is still looking raw, cold, and wet at times on Friday. The GFS, GEM, and ECMWF are all a little slower on the 12Z runs, suggesting the rain could very well linger into the afternoon hours, and past the 1:30 p.m. Alabama/Auburn kickoff in Tuscaloosa. Looks like temperatures will hold in the chilly 40s all day with a brisk northwest wind.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY: After a low in the upper 20s early Saturday, we expect a warming trend over the weekend with a good supply of sunshine; the high Saturday will be in the mid to upper 50s, followed by low 60s Sunday. Rain will likely return early next week.

THE LAND OF VOODOO: The 12Z GFS brings back the Mid-South snowstorm in the December 5-6 time frame… but it is what it is… voodoo. See the Weather Xtreme video for more on the long range ideas.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the notes on this week’s new episode we recorded this morning.

FOLLOW ALONG: Here are our weather team Twitter accounts….

James Spann Jason Simpson Ashley Brand
J. B. Elliott Bill Murray Brian Peters
Dr. Tim Coleman WeatherBrains Podcast E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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