Fine Fall Weather

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Nice cool start for the day with some 30 degree readings for lows across the Northeast section of Alabama. Satellite imagery suggests clear skies but low stratus which is often difficult to see easily on infrared imagery still covered portions of the Tennessee Valley. These clouds should give way this morning to clear skies and plenty of sunshine with a warm afternoon as highs get into the upper 60s – warmest day in the last several.

And the forecast is pretty brief this morning with lots of sunshine for the next several days. Looks like the only real forecast issue will be whether or not some moisture to our east can invade Central Alabama at mid-week. I’m inclined to think that the worst we will see is a few clouds but no real chance for rain.

Toward the end of the week and into the weekend, the forecast gets interesting again. The upper ridge weakens on Thursday as a small short wave progresses eastward from Oklahoma. The short wave intensifies on Friday but will probably help rain chances east of Central Alabama. Behind this short wave is another, stronger short wave that will drop into the lower Mississippi River Valley late Saturday and Sunday. This is forecast by the GFS to be another cold core low – somewhat similar to the last one that brought the rain and cold weather to Central Alabama this past week. This one is forecast to be pretty progressive and move by quickly, but as we edge into voodoo land, the GFS is forecasting a whooper of a trough over the eastern US. This is certainly interesting and we’ll be watching to see how future GFS model runs handle the situation.

Further into voodoo land, the pattern becomes less severe with the westerlies further to the north and weak ridging across the Southeast.

Tropics remain somewhat nervous on the GFS but we are watching only two areas of disturbed weather right now. Neither of these – one in the Western Caribbean and one 175 miles south of the Dominican Republic – show signs of any organization at this time.

Don’t forget the Storm Alert Xtreme coming up November 10th at the BJCC. You can check out the details at here. Storm spotters are still very important to the overall warning process, and good training only helps the community to be safer in times of severe weather.

I’ll have another Weather Xtreme video tomorrow morning. I hope you have a great Saturday and enjoy the fine fall weather. God bless.

-Brian-

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