First Widespread Freeze Possible Wed. AM

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We will be looking for you at Storm Alert Xtreme this Saturday… get the details at the bottom of this post!

TODAY: We begin the day with some 30s across the colder spots, with 40s elsewhere, but temperatures will warm quickly; we rise into the upper 70s this afternoon. I would not be shocked if Tuscaloosa touches 80 today with a good supply of sunshine. But, enjoy the warmth… because the coldest air so far this season will blow in here tonight.

TONIGHT/TOMORROW: There might be a few scattered clouds along the surface front tonight, and maybe even a few showers north of Alabama, but I don’t expect any rain down this way due to the dry air. You will really feel the different airmass tomorrow; north winds will gust as high as 30 mph, and I doubt if we get out of the 50s despite a sunny sky. The NAM shows a high of only 53 tomorrow, while the GFS is ten degrees warmer with 63. As usual, the truth is somewhere in between those values. But, for many Alabama communities afternoon highs tomorrow will be about 20 degrees cooler than the ones we enjoy today.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: We will have the chance of a significant freeze on both mornings. I know the colder valleys have been at or below freezing a few times this year, but most places have not. We figure low temperatures both mornings will be somewhere between 25 and 35 degrees; the valleys will be colder and the ridges warmer. This will end the 2007 growing season for Alabama. Both days will feature sunshine in full supply; the high Wednesday will be close to 60, with mid 60s likely Thursday.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: At this point the weather looks very nice with mostly sunny mild days and clear chilly nights. Highs in the 68 to 71 degree range; lows well down in the 40s, with 30s for the colder spots.

LONG RANGE: The GFS continues to show the next good chance of rain and storms next week with a negative tilt upper trough coming at us on November 13. This might even bring a chance of strong to severe thunderstorms to Alabama. We need to remember this is the fall tornado season, so we will be watching it closely. The main change we have now is that the GFS has backed off on the idea of Arctic air blowing in following the system, but I am not totally sure that is correct. This is still voodoo for now, but the idea of a significant storm system at mid-month (around November 13) looks like a strong idea.

STORM ALERT XTREME: We hope to see you this Saturday, November 10 at the BJCC for our annual severe storm training session. Once again this year, the Alabama International Auto Show is a sponsor of Storm Alert XTREME, and it will be held at the BJCC. This is your chance to learn more about Alabama weather, and to be trained as a storm spotter. ABC 33/40 Meteorologist Brian Peters, long time WCM (Warning Coordination Meteorologist) for the National Weather Service in Birmingham, will teach a basic and advanced course on spotting small scale features within thunderstorms that are very important to meteorologists. Read more about Storm Alert XTREME here. And, remember, you get into the Alabama International Auto Show at no cost!

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left. We will be releasing a new show late tonight…

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After a stop at Chelsea Intermediate School, I will be in the office by early afternoon and the afternoon edition of the Weather Xtreme video will be up by 3:30!

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