Model Madness
Lots of buzz about the latest run of the Global Forecast System (the 18Z GFS run)… here is the surface output valid at midnight Saturday night:
This suggests a nice rain event Saturday afternoon with rain changing to snow Saturday night. No doubt this is an outlier for now… both the GFS and the ECMWF are really having a hard time getting this resolved; don’t be shocked if that is gone on the 00Z run.
Once the main upper trough lifts out at mid-week and the entire system gets in the U.S. upper air network, then we will have a much better feel for the weekend…
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