Another Mean, Mean 24 Hours

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0419 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

…TORNADO OUTBREAK EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS AND OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY…

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES…VERY LARGE HAIL…AND
DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS AND
OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTH TEXAS

ELSEWHERE…SURROUNDING THE AREA OF GREATEST RISK…SEVERE STORMS
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE MID
MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND
STATES.

A STRONG JET STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN DESERTS
WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TODAY…AND ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT…BEFORE REACHING THE OZARKS EARLY
WEDNESDAY.

AS THIS OCCURS…AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE
NORTHEAST FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS.

STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS EAST OF THE LOW WILL
TRANSPORT INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID AIR NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
PLAINS AND OZARKS…BENEATH UNUSUALLY STRONG WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS IN THE JET STREAM.

SCATTERED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
IN AN ARC FROM CENTRAL KANSAS SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTH TEXAS AS DAYTIME HEATING FURTHER DESTABILIZES THE REGION
AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING LOW.

CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE STORMS TO ASSUME
STRONG…SUSTAINED ROTATION…AND TO PRODUCE POSSIBLY VIOLENT
TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL AS THEY MOVE / DEVELOP GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA.

THE STORMS LIKELY WILL ORGANIZE INTO AN EXTENSIVE BAND THIS
EVENING…EXTENDING THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND…LARGE HAIL…AND A
FEW TORNADOES EAST AND NORTHEAST INTO PARTS OF ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS POTENTIALLY
VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO
REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO
RADIO…TELEVISION…AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE
WATCHES…WARNINGS…AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

..CORFIDI.. 05/24/2011

Category: Severe Weather