Showers but Attention on Irene

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Looks like we will see some showers once again today across Central Alabama, but the attention of weather enthusiasts is probably focused on Tropical Storm Irene which has begun to become better organized.

For today I think we will again see scattered showers over the area. Due to the slow motion of the storms, if you get under one of them you are likely to see a good dousing of rain. I had one yesterday and my rain gauge caught 1.69″ of rain, almost 10 times what I had seen all month! Temperatures will stay warm but not extreme with highs into the lower and mid 90s. My temperature also dropped over 20 degrees with the onset of that shower yesterday afternoon.

The overall troughiness will maintain itself through the upcoming week. That means that showers are possible everyday. But I also think we will see less shower potential after today. Toward the end of the week, shower potential should be suppressed somewhat as Irene gets toward Florida with the subsidence that will occur around the periphery of the storm.

SPC has a slight risk for severe storms in New England and a chunk of the Mid-Atlantic states for Day 1 with no areas of organized severe weather on Day 2.

Irene is beginning to get better organized but still having a little trouble. Satellite presentation looking better this morning and the center has relocated itself. All indications are that conditions favor intensification. The only real issue will be the track proximity to the land masses of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Those big mountains tend to disrupt tropical systems and the model consensus does keep the future track very close to those mountains. The models continue to be in close agreement which lends confidence to the track. The track brings Irene to South Florida on Friday morning approaching Lake Okeechobee. We are still over five days away from it getting to Florida, so a lot can change. The models have meandered a bit – a little west, a little east – so we will continue to monitor the progress. Based on what we see right now, the track is likely to be east of Alabama keeping us dry. But just a small change in speed of the storm or a slight adjustment in the trough over the East Coast could nudge the storm one way or the other. So our eyes will be on Irene and how she is expected to interact with the atmosphere as she recurves toward the north.

Not much change in the overall weather pattern occurs in the extended period. The overall troughiness remains will us helping us to avoid any extreme heat.

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Thanks for staying tuned to the Weather Xtreme Video. James Spann will have the next edition by about 7 am tomorrow morning. I hope you have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Category: Alabama's Weather