Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Saturday Soaking

| February 18, 2012 @ 3:43 pm

There is just no surface based CAPE on this map from the Storm Prediction Center. That’s good news, as it keeps the thunderstorm chances limited.

I can’t even find much lightning on lightning detection systems over Central or North Alabama, if any at all. There could be an isolated stroke or two.

There is a lot of rain however. You can see the extent of the heavy rain from the radar overlay on the graphic.

There is a flash flood warning for parts of Sumter, Greene, Hale and Marengo Counties in West Alabama. Radar estimates indicate that over two inches of rain has fallen across northern Marengo County. Widespread 1.5 to 2 inch amounts are indicated over much of the rest of those counties.

Severe thunderstorm warnings are in effect for extreme South Alabama and Mississippi. The strongest storms were in an MCV that is passing across the Mobile River Delta right now. It is tracking along the warm front and will straddle the Alabama/Florida border. Tornado watches are in effect from southeastern Louisiana over to southwestern Georgia now, including extreme South Alabama.

Severe weather will be limited to the southern half of Alabama, generally south of Montgomery. The best chance will be south of a line from Grove Hill to Union Springs.

The main low is still back south of the Louisiana Coast, but the little low near Mobile is causing most of the thunderstorm trouble right now.

The upper trough is back near Dallas. It is weakening, but it will sweep across tomorrow. The surface low will move into Georgia tonight and we will see some brisk northwesterly winds and near steady temperatures tomorrow in the lower 50s. Clouds will hang tough much of the day, but you will see increasing blue patches from the west late in the day.

Category: Alabama's Weather, Severe Weather

About the Author ()

Bill Murray is the President of The Weather Factory. He is the site's official weather historian and a weekend forecaster. He also anchors the site's severe weather coverage. Bill Murray is the proud holder of National Weather Association Digital Seal #0001 @wxhistorian

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