Warm, Humid Weekend Ahead
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TODAY: The sky is generally cloudy across Alabama early this morning with some patchy fog; the sky will become partly sunny during the day with a high in the mid 80s. The deep moisture axis has shifted to the east, so most Alabama communities will be dry.
THE WEEKEND: The weather will be very warm and humid tomorrow and Sunday, with afternoon highs in the 87 to 90 degree range with a mix of sun and clouds. No doubt there will be sufficient moisture for a few scattered showers and thunderstorms both days. The best chance will come during the afternoon and evening hours, just like a summer day. But, we will be on the eastern periphery of an upper ridge with a northwest flow aloft, and we will have to watch for any MCS (mesoscale convective system, or organized mass of storms) that tries to move in here from the northwest. Trying to forecast MCS development and movement far in advance in this kind of pattern is difficult; we will just have to watch radar trends.
AARON’S DREAM WEEKEND: The weather will be very warm at Talladega this race weekend, with highs between 87 and 90 degrees each day through Sunday. We don’t expect any rain around the track today, but widely scattered showers and storms are possible tomorrow. A brief passing shower or storm is possible Sunday, but really widespread rain is not expected. The chance of a shower or storm at the track is 10 percent today, 20 percent tomorrow, and 30 percent Sunday. If a shower or thunderstorm does drift over the Superspeedway, the rain won’t last very long.
AT THE BEACH: Expect partly sunny days, and fair nights along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores this weekend. A few widely scattered showers are possible each day, but rain won’t be a big issue through early next week with about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day. Highs will be in the 80s, and the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab early this morning was 77 degrees.
NEXT WEEK: Expect warm and muggy conditions to continue on Monday and Tuesday with scattered showers and thunderstorms both days; highs hold in the 80s. Then, a deep upper trough is forecast to form over the eastern third of the nation at mid-week, and that will push a nice surge of cooler and drier air into Alabama Wednesday through Friday. The latest data from the GFS hints at highs in the 70s on these three days, with cool morning lows down in the 47-54 degree range. That will be a real breath of fresh air.
We do note the ECMWF develops a deep upper low in the base of the upper trough, which might keep some clouds around and maybe a touch of light rain on Wednesday and Thursday, but for now we will discount that solution and roll with mostly sunny days and clear cool nights Wednesday through Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for details and graphics.
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I will be doing a weather program at Thorsby Elementary School in Chilton County today… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!
Category: Alabama's Weather
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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.Subscribe
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