Mostly Dry Today; Storms By Tomorrow Night

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HOT AGAIN TODAY: The weather is calm this morning, with some fog in spots across Alabama following some overnight storms that weren’t expected, and packed quite a punch. Clearly a short wave aided in the development of thunderstorms last night that moved from northwest to southeast across our state, producing some hail, and strong gusty winds that resulted in scattered power outages and a few downed trees and power lines. Yet another reminder… when it comes to thunderstorms, expect the unexpected.

We are basically in-between weather systems today, so we figure most places will be just hot and dry with a high up in the low 90s. We might even see some mid 90s over West Alabama this afternoon; the chance of any one spot getting wet is only in the 10 percent bracket.

TO THE WEST: SPC defines a moderate risk of severe weather today for parts of Oklahoma and extreme North Texas; hail is the main threat, although a few tornadoes can’t be ruled out. This wave will impact Alabama in about 36 hours.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Models are in much better agreement this morning. The main window for showers and storms will come from about 9:00 p.m. tomorrow through 12:00 noon Friday; most of the day tomorrow will be dry and hot with a high in the low 90s. SPC has defined their standard “slight risk” of severe weather for about the northern half of Alabama during this time frame, and the models have trended a little northward with the best dynamics on the last few runs. So, our idea looks good with the main threat coming from hail and strong straight line winds; the tornado threat for now seems rather minimal (although one or two tornadoes can’t be ruled out completely). I get the idea the worst of the weather will actually come late tomorrow night into the early morning hours Friday. Could very well be another night of burning the midnight oil in the weather office.

The rain will end from northwest to southeast during the day Friday. On the positive side, rain amounts of 1 inch look likely, with isolated amounts to two inches. Something we need for sure.

THE WEEKEND: Saturday promises to be simply delightful for an early June day. Low humidity, lots of sun. We start the day in the 50s, and will wind up with a high in the low 80s. Sunday looks generally dry, although the 00Z GFS hints we might need to mention a small risk of a shower or two late in the day over North Alabama as moisture returns. Sunday will be warmer with a high in the upper 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for all the graphics and details.

BERYL: The tropical depression this morning is just northeast of Charleston, SC, and will move back into the Atlantic today on the journey east, away from Alabama. Heavy rain continues in places like Wilmington, NC this morning. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Just a few widely scattered showers and storms for the Gulf Coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through Friday; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day. Then, the weekend looks great with a good supply of sunshine Saturday and Sunday. Highs remain in the 80s, and the sea water temperatures are running in the 80 to 83 degree range.

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Tags: hot

Category: Alabama's Weather