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Hot And Mostly Dry Again Today

| July 25, 2012 @ 5:49 am

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LATE JULY IN ALABAMA: Almost guaranteed to be hot and humid, and that pretty much sums up our forecast today and tomorrow. Warm air aloft associated with the upper ridge will also prevent showers from forming on a widespread basis; the chance of any one neighborhood getting wet this afternoon is only about one in ten. The chance of a shower is only slightly better tomorrow, and the high both days will be in the 95 to 98 degree range in most places. High dew points will push the heat index over 100 degrees.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: We will have a change on Friday as the heat ridge is beat down by a developing upper trough north of Alabama over the Great Lakes. This, along with a surface front dropping down from the north, will bring a much better chance of showers and thunderstorms on Friday. Can’t promise rain for everybody, but most communities have a decent chance of getting wet a time or two. And, temperatures will trend downward thanks to the clouds and rain.

On Saturday, drier air will begin to move into North Alabama, and the best chance of scattered showers and storms will come over the southern half of the state. Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the 00Z GFS hints the best chance of rain comes along and south of U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika). Then, on Sunday, just about all of the state should be in the drier, continental air. Highs over the weekend should be in the low to mid 90s, but the humidity levels will be lower on Sunday.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The weather looks generally dry Monday and Tuesday, but the 00Z GFS hints at a much better chance of rain beginning Wednesday. And, the good news is that global models suggest the most intense heat will be well to the west of Alabama through the first 10 days of August with a mean upper trough over the eastern U.S. Again, see the Weather Xtreme video for details and all of the graphics.

TROPICS: A non-tropical low northeast of Bermuda is being monitored… I am not a big fan of giving these systems names since they are really hybrid systems in the North Atlantic… it is moving northeast and won’t impact any land area. The rest of the Atlantic basin remains very quiet.

AT THE BEACH: Very typical summer weather is likely from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend. About 5 to 7 hours of sunshine daily, with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs along the immediate coast will remain in the 87 to 90 degree range, and the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 87 degrees (F).

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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