TD#5 Forms
Tropical depression number five has formed in the Atlantic about 800 miles east of the Windward Islands.
It is moving WNW at 18 mph.
Top winds are 35 mph. Slow strengthening is forecast despite the fact that the system is in a rather hostile environment thanks to wind shear. TD #7 should become Tropical Storm Ernesto overnight.
The big models don’t agree on intensity. The GFS strengthens it south of Hispaniola by next Monday and moves it slowly toward the Yucatan and into southern Mexico later that week as a pretty formidable hurricane. The official forecast makes it a hurricane by next Monday.
The European weakens it to a wave and never develops it further.
The Canadian strengths it before it reaches the Lesser Antilles and carries it northwest toward Hispaniola then across the Bahamas in the general direction of South Florida.
We will have plenty of time to watch it.
Category: Tropical
About the Author (Author Profile)
Bill Murray is the President of The Weather Factory. He is the site's official weather historian and a weekend forecaster. He also anchors the site's severe weather coverage. Bill Murray is the proud holder of National Weather Association Digital Seal #0001 @wxhistorianSubscribe
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