Rain Moving Into Far North Alabama
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RADAR CHECK: We begin this Friday with an MCS (mesoscale convective system) over Tennessee. It is pouring as I write this in area between Nashville and Chattanooga, and that rain mass is moving southeast into Alabama. The northeast corner of Alabama will be most impacted by this; a soaking rain is likely this morning over Madison, Jackson, Marshall, and DeKalb Counties. As you go south, the rain will be more scattered, and many places south of Birmingham won’t see any rain at all today other that just a few isolated showers.
The sky will be generally cloudy this morning, but the sun should be out at times this afternoon, and we will see a high near 80 degrees this afternoon, a little above the average high of 76 degrees for October 12.
THE WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be a warm, dry day for Alabama with a partly sunny sky and a high in the low 80s. But, to the northwest, a significant severe weather outbreak is possible tomorrow from Texas to Iowa, with the highest severe weather probabilities from near Tulsa to Des Moines. This system will move east on Sunday; thankfully the dynamic support will decrease, but we will still need to mention some risk of showers and storms late Sunday afternoon and Sunday night.
SPC has actually put the northeast corner of Alabama in the standard “slight risk” of severe weather Sunday; we will watch radar trends, but I would suggest most of the state won’t have any severe weather issues Sunday with the lack of upper support. We will mention a chance of showers and storms Sunday afternoon into Sunday night and at least part of the day Monday, but rain amounts probably won’t be all that heavy.
NEXT WEEK: A rather dynamic weather system will impact Alabama by Wednesday night and Thursday; that one will bring some risk of strong to severe storms to our state if current models trends are correct; we will keep an eye on that one in coming days. See the Weather Xtreme video for the details.
FOOTBALL WEATHER: Most stadiums will be rain-free tonight, with temperatures in the 70s degrees, dropping into the 60s by the fourth quarter. The chance of any one stadium getting wet is only 10 percent.
The big issue comes tomorrow when Alabama plays Missouri in Columbia. The game kicks off at 2:30, and during the game thunderstorms are likely, and those storms could be strong to severe with potential for frequent lightning, high winds, and hail. Forecast wind profiles even suggest there will be a tornado threat. So, fans traveling to this game need to take the rain gear, be ready for delays, and be sure you have a good way of hearing severe weather warnings if they are needed. I don’t think the game will be cancelled, but a delay is a very real possibility.
Auburn travels to Oxford to play Ole Miss (11:00 a.m. kickoff); the sky will be partly to mostly sunny during the game with temperatures rising from near 80 at kickoff into the mid 80 by the final whistle. Bring the sun screen.
UAB will play at Houston tomorrow (11:00 a.m. kickoff); this game will also be played with warm and dry conditions. A sunny sky; temperatures rising from the low 80s at kickoff into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter.
NATIONAL SHRIMP FESTIVAL: One of the biggest events of the year is underway at Gulf Shores… the weather will be fine through Sunday with mostly sunny warm days and fair pleasant nights. Highs will be in the 81-84 degree range. See the crowds on our Gulf Shores SKYCAM here.
TROPICS: Tropical Depression 16 is now Tropical Storm Patty… east of the Bahamas, but it is expected to dissipate tonight or early tomorrow due to strong winds aloft. Another system moving toward the Windward Islands should become a tropical depression soon, but it will turn north and not impact the U.S. See the Weather Xtreme video for all the details.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
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I will be speaking at Mountain Brook Baptist Church this morning… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!
Category: Alabama's Weather
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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.Subscribe
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