Warm Today, Rain Monday

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Look for a mix of sun and clouds today across Alabama as we get set for a rainy Monday. In spite of the clouds, the weather will be mild as we reach the lower 70s for highs. The surface low will progress steadily northeastward reaching the Great Lakes area Monday afternoon and dragging the cold front through Alabama on Monday. Rain should enter the state in the northwest corner tonight around midnight and spread across the area during the day Monday. Look for off and on rain much of the day as the front moves by taking the rain out of the state by midnight Monday night.

There does not appear to be any serious risk for severe weather with instability values sufficiently low. I do note that the shear values are high, so this is another high shear but low instability situations. But the instability appears to be low enough to preclude a severe weather threat.

We’ll see a couple of cool days on Tuesday and Wednesday as the upper flow goes northwesterly, but the bulk of the cold air moves into the East Coast area putting us in a region for a nice cool down with nothing extremely cold for us to deal with. The ridge moves closer as we get into the weekend, so the temperatures should gradually climb getting warmer each day. We should be back into the lower 70s by Saturday.

Rainfall with the Monday system should provide a fairly nice dousing with 1 to 2 inches of rain for most locations. It does seem likely when looking out into voodoo country that we will be seeing March a bit less wet than January and February.

The week 2 outlook has changed a bit. The GFS is still forecasting a ridge, however, the ridge stays further west, so we do not come under the strong southwesterly flow that we saw yesterday. This is likely to mean a drier forecast for us. One weather system comes by around the 21st/22nd to give us another shot at some rain, but then the ridge takes hold once again positioned just to our west.

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James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning – unless he forgot to set his clock forward! Have a wonderful Sunday and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Category: Alabama's Weather