Tropical Depression Develops in the Eastern Caribbean

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO…
…TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.5N 66.2W
ABOUT 130 MI…210 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 205 MI…330 KM SE OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB…29.80 INCHES

Here are all the computer models runs for the storm and where they are projecting it to go. The majority of them take it north between Puerto Rico and Hispaniola and into the open waters of the Atlantic. If it becomes a named storm it will be our “G” storm, Gabrielle.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE DISTURBANCE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS DEVELOPED A
CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION AND IS NOW A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

AT 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH…LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH…15 KM/H…AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST FORECAST ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK…THE CENTER SHOULD PASS NEAR OR JUST WEST OF PUERTO RICO
EARLY ON THURSDAY…NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
LATER ON THURSDAY…AND MOVE EAST OF THE TURKS AND THE CAICOS
ISLANDS ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/H…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS…AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.

THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1009 MB…29.80 INCHES.

Category: Tropical