Showers Remain a Good Possibility

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Not much change being seen to the overall weather pattern for Central Alabama, so I expect to see scattered to numerous showers once again today. The upper low that has plagued the Lower Mississippi River Valley for the last several days continues to move slowly away from the area, but there should be just enough influence to keep showers fairly numerous for Central Alabama. That upper weakness continues to drift southward Monday, so showers will remain fairly numerous.

The mix of sun and clouds will make the temperature forecast a bit of a challenge. Most locations should see highs in the middle 80s, but those that get some longer periods of sun could see highs in the upper 80s.

Radar showed a few showers in Central Alabama already this morning with shower motion northwestward thanks to the influence of the upper low over the Northwest Gulf of Mexico.

The upper ridge builds into the Southeast from the west during the week ahead. By Tuesday we should see a reduction in shower coverage and perhaps by Wednesday and Thursday we will become nearly shower free due to the influence of the upper ridge. Since the atmosphere will remain fairly moist, I can’t see removing all potential for showers though they should become much more isolated.

Strong troughs moving through the westerlies will help to keep the ridge suppressed somewhat into the latter part of the week and into next weekend. This could signal the approach of a cold front from the north Thursday and Friday, however, the front is likely to lose any strong push further southward washing out over the weekend.

The GFS still holds onto the idea of some tropical mischief Sunday and Monday as we verge into voodoo country. The ECMWF still does not latch onto any kind of identifiable system, and today’s GFS run is not nearly as bullish on the idea as it was yesterday. Interesting to note, however, that the GFS does project a fairly strong trough over the eastern US around the 10th and 11th of June. If this pattern does verify, it would signal a few days of cooler weather for us. But the ridge shows itself as we get to the end of the period around the 16th.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

Thanks for visiting the blog. James Spann will be back with the next Weather Xtreme Video Monday morning. Be sure to check back often for additional updates on the weather across Central Alabama. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Category: Alabama's Weather