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Archive for November, 2012

Warming Trend Ahead

| 3:25 pm November 28, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SEVERE CLEAR: Not a cloud in the Alabama sky this afternoon, and temperatures around here are generally in the upper 50s. Tonight will be cold again, with lows early tomorrow in the 28-35 degree range with a clear sky and light wind.

WARMER DAYS: We warm into the low 60s tomorrow, and mid 60s Friday with a good supply of sunshine both days. We should stay above freezing early Friday with a low in the upper 30s and low 40s.

MILD WEEKEND: We kick off meteorological winter with a mild weekend… we are still expecting highs at or just over 70 degrees Saturday and Sunday with a partly sunny sky both days. The mild and dry weather will carry over to Monday as well.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z GFS pushes a significant cold front through Alabama Tuesday night with a band of showers and storms; strong storms will be possible, but for now a major severe weather issue isn’t expected. Then, we turn colder Wednesday as the high will drop back into the low 50s. The latter half of the week will be dry with cool days and chilly nights.

THE LAND OF VOODOO: Still seeing evidence of a major storm event for Alabama at some point down the line, but the timing is all over the board. The 12Z GFS now shows the event on Tuesday December 12, with some potential for strong to severe storms followed by much colder air. I note Eagle, Alaska dropped to 40 degrees below zero this morning, and even at mid-afternoon today we are seeing some temperatures in interior Alaska still colder than 30 below, so we will need to keep an eye on that air. See the Weather Xtreme video as usual for the graphics and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today seeing the third graders at Walter Kennedy Elementary School in Pell City… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Dry Through The Weekend; Warmer Afternoons

| 5:44 am November 28, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS MORNING: Looks like the clouds didn’t want to exit the state last night as expected; they linger this morning over much of Alabama. Accordingly, temperatures aren’t quite as cold as expected, with mostly mid to upper 30s around here.

Bone crushing subsidence will mean the clouds go away very quickly during the next couple of hours, and we are still forecasting a sunny day. Model guidance is a bit cooler with a high today now expected to be in the mid 50s.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: These days will be dry with lots of sun and warming trend. We reach the low 60s tomorrow, followed by mid 60s Friday. Tomorrow morning will be cold with a low near freezing, but the low early Friday will be closer to 40.

A MILD START TO DECEMBER: The weekend looks dry and very mild for the season, with a high in the 67 to 71 degree range Saturday and Sunday. We are forecasting a mix of sun and clouds both days.

The weather stays dry and mild Monday, but a cold front is due in here Tuesday night, which will bring a round of showers and storms, followed by cooler weather Wednesday. The latest GFS in hand (06Z run) hints the main window for showers and storms next week will come from about 4:00 p.m. Tuesday through 4:00 a.m. Wednesday, with rain amounts of about 1/2 inch likely.

VOODOO COUNTRY: The 06Z GFS shows a severe weather setup here around the weekend of December 8-9… of course this could change, but it is something to watch. Sure looks like December will be changeable with periods of mild and cold weather with a few decent rain/storm events in between. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be over in Pell City this morning doing a weather program at Walter Kennedy Elementary School…. be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Sunshine Returns Tomorrow

| 3:28 pm November 27, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RAIN OUT; COLDER AIR IN: Low clouds have been hanging tough over North Alabama this afternoon as expected, and temperatures are cold. Most communities reached their high early this morning, with readings falling into the 40s this afternoon. Haleyville is reporting a chilly 42 degrees at 2:00… Birmingham is at 49.

The sky will clear quickly tonight, and by daybreak tomorrow temperatures will be very close to freezing. The sky will be sunny tomorrow with a high near 60 degrees.

Dry weather continues Thursday and Friday; we reach the low to mid 60s Thursday, followed by mid 60s Friday. Thursday morning will be cold again with a low near freezing, but the low early Friday will be closer to 40 degrees.

MILD WEEKEND: We will see a high very close to 70 degrees Saturday and Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds both days. Low level moisture levels will increase a bit, but there is no trigger for rain and we won’t mention any chance of showers in the forecast for now. Early morning lows this weekend will be in the 48-53 degree range as we begin meteorological winter with a mild spell.

NEXT WEEK: We stay unseasonably mild Monday and Tuesday… then a cold front will pass through Wednesday (December 5) with a chance of showers and storms, followed by colder weather Thursday and Friday. For now the mid-week system doesn’t look like a severe weather setup, although some of the storms along the front could contain some gusty winds.

Out in the longer range, the “land of voodoo” as we call it in the weather business, the GFS hints at rain events around December 9 and December 12, but still no classic severe weather looks. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.

RAIN TOTALS: A few totals from last night and this morning from the ABC 33/40 SKYCAM Network…

Parrish 0.53″
Trussville 0.47″
Jasper 0.47″
Downtown Birmingham 0.34″
Tuscaloosa 0.30″
Montevallo 0.29″
Gadsden 0.15″
Clanton 0.10″
Haleyville 0.08″
Cheaha State Park 0.04″

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on this week’s episode we recorded last night.

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I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Floyd Elementary School in Gadsden… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Some Much Needed Rain

| 6:14 am November 27, 2012

The showers and thunderstorms continue to push off to the southeast this morning. Most of the action is to the southeast of Interstate 20/59 now. Even though these storms have been non-severe, a couple of them have had some very impressive lightning and very loud thunder. Some beneficial rains are falling with these storms and are helping our rainfall deficits across the state. Many areas have received from a quarter of an inch to around a half an inch of rain this morning and that seems to be totals that many of our skywatchers are reporting. Higher rain totals  have been reported especially from Jefferson County back to the west.

The rain is ending off to the northwest of Birmingham and will be ending from northwest to southeast across the state through the morning. Cold front is pushing through the state today too which will bring us some cooler weather for a couple of days, but will we return to very mild conditions for the weekend. We may get enough clearing today that we see the sun this afternoon. Clear skies tonight will allow for many areas to drop toward the low to mid 30s by tomorrow morning.

 

 

Rain Ending From West To East

| 5:47 am November 27, 2012

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WET START: A band of showers and storms is moving through Alabama early this morning. As I write this (around 5:30), the rain is in a broad area from Demopolis to Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Gadsden. The rain has already ended over Northwest Alabama, and the rain will end from west to east during the next few hours. Clouds will linger through the day, and we won’t get out of the 50s as cooler air slips in from the north.

The sky will clear tonight, and by daybreak tomorrow many communities over North Alabama will be very close to freezing.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: These three days will feature a good supply of sunshine with warmer afternoons. The high tomorrow will be near 60, followed by mid 60s Thursday and Friday. We will be well down in the 30s again early tomorrow and Thursday morning, but the low Friday morning will be closer to 40.

MILD START TO DECEMBER: The GFS is printing a high of 71 degrees Saturday, Sunday, and Monday as we begin meteorological winter. Looks like a fabulous weekend with a mix of sun and clouds both days. There will be some increase in low level moisture, but for now the chance of a shower looks so small it isn’t worth mentioning in the formal forecast. Nights will be warmer as well; the low will be in the low 50s early Saturday and Sunday morning.

NEXT WEEK: A cold front is expected to pass through Alabama Wednesday (Dec 5) with a band of showers and storms, followed by colder air Thursday and Friday (Dec 6-7). Out in the land of voodoo, the GFS shows a very cold airmass moving into the state around December 12, but we all know that can and probably will change. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.

CONSISTENTLY COLD? I often hear people ask “When will it turn cold and stay cold?”… the answer is NEVER in Alabama! This is a low latitude state; our average high never drops below 52, and the average low never drops below 32. If you are looking for long term cold weather, you need to head north…

THIS WINTER: I also have people asking me often about the “winter outlook”. I am not a big fan of seasonal outlooks… there isn’t much skill in that, and I don’t even try. Having said that, I figure this winter won’t be as mild as last year, and not as cold and snowy as 2010-11. I guess an “average” winter might describe it meaning lots of changes, occasional shots of really cold air, and one or two decent snow or winter storm threats. We will see.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on this week’s new episode.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Floyd Elementary School in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!