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ANOTHER COLD MORNING: Many communities are below freezing again this morning. Some 5:00 a.m. observations include…
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 24
Noccalula Falls (Gadsden) 27
Fort Payne 28
Valley Head 28
We do note temperatures are much warmer over Northwest Alabama, where clouds have moved in. Muscle Shoals reports 43 degrees.
THE DAY AHEAD: We should warm into the mid 60s today with an increasingly cloudy sky. To the west, we will watch a batch of showers and storms that will form over North Louisiana and some of the adjacent states; SPC has the standard “slight risk” of severe weather for this region this afternoon and tonight, but the risk is somewhat marginal.
RAIN MOVES INTO ALABAMA: It looks like our main window for showers will come from midnight tonight through 12:00 noon tomorrow. Severe weather is not expected, and rain for the northern half of Alabama should be light. The NAM is printing 0.35″ for Birmingham, while the GFS is drier with only 0.11″. I figure most places around here will see a quarter inch or less. And, I doubt if we hear any thunder because the air will be stable.
Tomorrow will be a bit cooler with a high in the upper 50s due to the clouds and morning showers, but there isn’t any really cold air to follow the rain.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: These three days will feature sunny pleasant days and clear chilly nights. Temperatures will be seasonal; highs in the 60s and lows mostly in the 30s. The coldest morning will come early Wednesday with some places reaching the freezing mark.
WEEKEND PEEK: Our weather over the weekend should be mild for early December; the GFS is printing a high of 68 Saturday, followed by 70 degrees Sunday. Mornings won’t be as cold; lows should be in the 46-52 degree range. There will be some increase in moisture, but with little in the way of a trigger I honestly don’t think rain will be an issue. We might consider a slight risk of a shower both days, but for now the chance of getting wet is so small it really isn’t worth mentioning in the forecast.
The weather should stay mild for the first part of next week, but the GFS hints at a cold front around December 5 with a chance of showers, followed by much colder air. See the Weather Xtreme video for the graphics and details.
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I have a weather program this morning at Helena Middle School at 9:00…. look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!