Archive for July 3rd, 2013
As promised, here is a list of cities that were too hot again today, maybe I should say “way too hot.” This has been a hot weather event to remember forever, not just in the Desert Southwest and other parts of the West, but also in the Midwest and East and even parts of the South.
Here we go with today’s list. Actually, the heat has backed off somewhat in some of these cities:
90 Eugene, Oregon and Denver
95 Corpus Christi
91 Dallas/Fort Worth
93 El Paso
98 Great Falls, Montana
95 Helena, Montana
112 Yuma, Arizona and Las Vegas
100 Salt Lake City
07 San Antonio
108 Fresno, California
95 Waco, Texas
93 Wichita Falls, Texas
USA extremes today included a low this morning of 37 at Silver Bay, Minnesota and Hayward, Wisconsin. Hottest this afternoon was 128 in Death Valley. That famous observation point is where the highest temperature in the USA occurred about 1936 with a high near 136.
In a few days I will write a J.B.’s Journal about our very difficult trip to Fraser, Colorado to check out the little town that was the coldest spot in the nation almost every day until the U.S. Department of Commerce put a stop to it after one of the Chamber of Commerce offices in Denver filed a strong complaint. I hope everyone has a very pleasant 4th of July. Weather folks have to keep working like any other day, but we don’t mind. Life goes on.
** No afternoon weather xtreme video today… We are on a holiday schedule for the rest of the week**
RAIN AND STORMS: Not much change in the overall thinking for the Alabama weather situation for the next few days. A deep layer of tropical moisture will be parked on top of Alabama, and with a strong upper trough to the west of the state providing good dynamic support, occasional showers and thunderstorms are likely through Friday.
We are expecting rain amounts in the 2 to 4 inch range for most of the state, but some locations, especially over East Alabama, could see more. Along the way there could be a few strong thunderstorms, but widespread severe storms are not expected.
The National Weather Service is continuing a flash flood watch for roughly the eastern half of Alabama, for areas along and east of I 65, through Friday.
It is impossible to get specific start and stop times for the rain for any given location, but rain could be a factor for fireworks displays across the state tomorrow night.
THE WEEKEND: A very moist air mass stays in place on Saturday, so showers and thunderstorms will remain likely. Showers should thin out a little bit on Sunday as precipitable water values drop slightly.
Next week should feature temperatures that are warmer and showers and thunderstorms that are fewer in number, weather more typical for July in Alabama as temperatures approach the lower 90s.
AT THE BEACH: Wet weather is likely along the central gulf coast tomorrow and Friday, periods of rain and a few thunderstorms. The rain will be heavy at times and flash flooding is possible. Strong winds could also develop possibly gusting to gale force at times. Showers are still possible Saturday and Sunday on the Gulf Coast, but they should be fewer in number.
I will post a new weather extreme video here tomorrow morning… Enjoy the holiday and stay dry!
A quick look at the radar this midday continues to show Gulf moisture surging north across the state. The heaviest rainfall continues to fall across eastern portions of the state, but we are now seeing development in central areas of the state between Birmingham and Montgomery. The bulk of the activity will be lifting to the north through out the afternoon. The wet weather will stick around for the next few days and we are all in store for a wet Fourth of July Holiday.
Don’t forget a flash flood watch will go into effect this evening at 7PM. Currently that watch will include all counties along Interstate 65 and east to the Georgia state line. Heavy tropical rains will continue to saturate Alabama over the next 48 hours and rainfall totals can be anywhere from 2-5 inches. The heavier totals should remain on the east side of state. This watch could be expanded and we could also see flash flood warnings issued anywhere across the area.
The NWS in Birmingham as expected has issued a flash flood watch through Friday for communities generally along and east of I-65, where the heaviest rain is expected to fall for the rest of the week.
The high resolution NAM (4km) continues to show big rains on the eastern side of the state with some flooding potential…
And, we should also note SPC has put parts of East and South Alabama in the standard “slight risk” for severe weather later today and tonight…
Bottom line is that our weather will be wet, stormy, and active through the Fourth of July holiday… we will be watching closely and will keep you posted.
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WET IS THE WORD: A wet summer weather pattern is setting up for Alabama as we head into the Independence Day holiday. An axis of deep, tropical moisture with high PW (precipitable water) values will be in place, and an upper trough to the west will provide good dynamic support, setting the stage for some really good summer rain around here through the weekend.
We note a few showers and storms are already in progress across the state early this morning, and conditions favor additional showers and storms to form during the day. The high this afternoon will be in the low to mid 80s, and the sky will be generally cloudy with a few peeks of sun from time to time.
FOURTH OF JULY: Occasional showers and storms are likely statewide tomorrow. Unfortunately, we can’t give you specific rain start and stop times for specific locations, but just understand the rain could come at any time, and when it does come it could be heavy at times. The high resolution 4km NAM model continues to show the most widespread and heaviest rain over the eastern half of Alabama, but I just don’t think we can rule out a good rain event for West Alabama at this point.
No formal severe weather risk, but a strong storm is possible, and keep in mind all summer storms tend to pack lots of lightning. We will struggle to get out of the 70s tomorrow due the the clouds and occasional rain.
And, the rain could very well linger into the late night hours, so it becomes problematic for some of the fireworks shows around Alabama.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The moisture axis hangs around, so we will deal with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms on these three days with only a limited amount of sunshine. Highs over the weekend hold in the 80s… interesting to note the last time we saw a high of 90 degrees or higher was back on June 30.
NEXT WEEK: Heights rise a bit, but there is still a general weakness in the upper flow over Alabama, so we will maintain a chance of scattered showers and storms next week with a mix of sun and clouds; highs will be in the 86-90 degree range.
TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin for the rest of the week.
GULF COAST WEATHER: You might see a little sun at times over the next few days, but the weather will be generally wet along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through Friday with occasional showers and thunderstorms. The rain could be heavy at times, and a few strong storms are possible. Highs will be in the 80s, and the sea water temperatures are in the low 80s.
For Saturday, Sunday, and the first few days of next week, about 2 to 4 hours of sunshine daily with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms along the Central Gulf Coast.
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We will be on a holiday schedule for the rest of the week… so just one Weather Xtreme video per day. I will post some forecast notes this afternoon…. enjoy the day!