Severe Weather Potential – Southeast Alabama
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2381
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0611 PM CST FRI NOV 14 2008
AREAS AFFECTED…SERN AL/SWRN GA/THE FL PANHANDLE
CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 150011Z – 150215Z
INCREASING CONVECTION OVER THE NERN GULF WILL SPREAD ONSHORE INTO
THE MCD AREA OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED.
STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE/EXPAND ACROSS THE NERN GULF…WITH THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE CONVECTION TO MOVE INLAND OVER THE FL PENINSULA
SHORTLY. A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE ACROSS THIS REGION
COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE YIELDING
MIXED-LAYER CAPE AROUND 1000 J/KG.
WHILE LOW-LEVEL INSTABILITY IS LIMITED…AREA VWP DATA REVEALS AMPLE
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED CELLS…AND 0-1 KM SHEAR SUFFICIENT
FOR LOW-LEVEL ROTATION. THUS…AS STORMS CONTINUE SPREADING
ONSHORE…AND EVENTUALLY ACROSS SERN AL/SWRN GA…THE THREAT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL LIKELY WARRANT WW ISSUANCE.
..GOSS.. 11/15/2008
Category: Uncategorized
About the Author (Author Profile)
James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.Subscribe
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