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Hot September Weather Continues Through The Week

| September 17, 2018 @ 3:28 pm

SHOWERS FEW AND FAR BETWEEN: You can count the number of showers over the northern two-thirds of Alabama this afternoon on one hand; they were south of Selma, and north of Prattville at 3:15. We do note heavier storms in scattered spots along the Gulf Coast this afternoon. Away from the isolated showers, it is a sunny, hot day with temperatures around 90 degrees. The average high for September 17 at Birmingham is 85.

REST OF THE WEEK: Not much change tomorrow through Thursday. Mostly sunny and hot with the chance of any one spot seeing an afternoon shower in the 10/15 percent range; highs around 90 degrees. Models are advertising a deeper moisture field Friday with a one day bump in the number of showers and thunderstorms. It certainly won’t rain everywhere, but a few spots will see a passing shower or storm during the afternoon and evening hours; Friday’s high will be in the upper 80s with a partly sunny sky.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Not much change; the upper ridge will hold, meaning mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Highs will be in the 88-91 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: Same story; the ridge holds, meaning above average temperatures, and only isolated showers or thunderstorms. Highs will be mostly in the upper 80s… still expecting the next chance of a pattern change toward the end of September… in around 10 days, that will have potential to bring cooler air into the Deep South.

LONG RANGE: Still seeing output from the European model suggesting potential for 4 inches of rain over the next 45 days; no skill in a specific forecast, of course, in the long range, but there is some skill in pattern recognition.

TROPICS: No hurricanes or tropical storms across the Atlantic basin this afternoon. The “ghost of Isaac” in the Caribbean is not expected to develop; NHC gives it only a 10 percent chance of development over the next five days.

We note the remnants of Florence are still causing problems this afternoon; a tornado has touched down in Richmond VA with damage and injuries.

Photo via WTVR.

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About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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