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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| December 1, 2018 @ 3:08 pm

SUMMARY…Isolated severe threat has developed over central Alabama. Primary risks are damaging winds and perhaps a tornado.

DISCUSSION…Partial sunshine has contributed to some boundary-layer heating across western AL. Over the last few hours the surface warm front that was earlier located over southern AL has advanced to a position from near TOI-SEM-CBM. Boundary-layer heating appears to have contributed to recent supercell that has strengthened along the north side of the warm front over Perry county. Its not entirely clear how much additional convection will evolve over this region but there is some concern that a few supercells may linger near the warm front as it advances slowly north. Some tornado threat exists with this activity. Its uncertain if sufficient coverage will develop to warrant a watch; however, will continue to closely monitor this region.

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Category: ALL POSTS, MescoScale Discussions

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