Author Archive: MesoScale Discussion

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| February 21, 2019 @ 5:40 pm

Risk for a brief tornado associated with low-topped convection will exist over the next few hours. Watch issuance is not expected.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| February 20, 2019 @ 10:45 am

An isolated threat for damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado will continue through early afternoon.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| February 20, 2019 @ 6:30 am

A damaging wind or tornado risk may develop later this morning, and convective trends are being monitored.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| February 12, 2019 @ 9:39 am

A line of showers and thunderstorms continues to move east across Alabama into southeastern Mississippi and will pose a threat for marginal severe wind gusts and a brief tornado, but a Watch is not expected at this time.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| February 12, 2019 @ 6:41 am

Isolated strong to damaging winds and perhaps a brief tornado may occur this morning with a line of thunderstorms moving eastward. Watch issuance remains unlikely in the short term.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| January 23, 2019 @ 8:19 pm

A semi-organized line of thunderstorms will continue to pose an isolated strong to damaging wind threat for the next couple of hours before weakening as it moves eastward this evening. Watch issuance is not expected.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| January 23, 2019 @ 5:41 pm

An isolated strong to damaging wind gust and perhaps a brief tornado cannot be ruled out this evening. Watch issuance is unlikely.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| January 23, 2019 @ 7:55 am

Severe potential, at least in an isolated sense, should gradually increase through mid/late morning, initially across southeast LA and far southern MS. While a Watch issuance is not imminent, observational/convective trends will continue to be monitored, and a Watch could become more probable later this morning.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 3…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 3…

| January 19, 2019 @ 5:38 pm

Damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two will remain possible throughout Tornado Watch 3 for at least the next few hours. Expansion in area may be needed into more of central GA and the eastern FL Panhandle.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 2…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 2…

| January 19, 2019 @ 11:38 am

Threat for damaging wind and a few tornadoes will persist into the afternoon from southeast MS through southern and central AL and the western FL panhandle.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| January 19, 2019 @ 9:09 am

Threat for damaging wind and isolated tornadoes is expected to develop eastward through southwest and central Alabama this morning into the afternoon. Trends are being monitored for a possible WW east of WW 0001.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| January 4, 2019 @ 5:06 am

Isolated damaging wind gusts and perhaps a brief tornado are possible as the convective line continues eastward into southeast GA and the central FL Peninsula.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| January 4, 2019 @ 1:05 am

A low-probability threat exists for damaging wind gust and/or a brief tornado during the next 2 hours or so across the western and central FL Panhandle.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 449…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 449…

| December 31, 2018 @ 1:55 pm

Local severe risk — including the potential for a brief tornado or two — continues across the watch area.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| December 31, 2018 @ 11:22 am

Risk for isolated/local damaging winds and possibly a tornado or two remains apparent at this time, with Tornado Watch issuance being considered.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| December 28, 2018 @ 3:16 am

The potential for mesocyclones may maximize with quasi-discrete storms as they merge with the squall line. A modest conditional risk for a brief/weak tornado and/or wind damage would likely focus with rotating convective structures.

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