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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 433…

| December 1, 2018 @ 3:39 pm

SUMMARY…Severe threat will gradually shift north across ww433 early this evening.

DISCUSSION…LLJ appears to be translating inland across southern GA along with more focused low-level warm advection. Widespread convection that evolved over the northern Gulf basin earlier today has spread northeast as surface warm front now extends from near TLH-SEM-CBM. Extensive convection continues across ww433 and discrete updrafts remain limited amidst larger complex of storms. Greatest risk for sustained rotating updrafts will be near the warm front as it lifts northeast, however with the LLJ shifting well northeast sustained rotation will become increasingly difficult near the coast.

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