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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 157…

| May 9, 2019 @ 3:36 pm

SUMMARY…Local severe risk continues, particularly just east of WW 157.

DISCUSSION…Latest radar loop shows that storms have become increasingly east-west oriented in a somewhat anafrontal regime across WW 157, with the band of convection sagging gradually southward. Severe risk has diminished with this convection, and should remain limited the remainder of the afternoon. Meanwhile just east of the watch, the band remains more northeast-to-southwest oriented, and thus more progressive. Here, a few stronger updrafts are evident — particularly in the Lowndes/Montgomery County area in Alabama. Here, interaction of the main band of storms with what was a weaker/pre-frontal band of storms has occurred, corresponding to some increase in updraft organization/intensity. With storms moving through the eastern fringe of better instability, some risk for isolated severe weather — possibly including a brief tornado — may persist over the next few hours. However, risk should remain sufficiently isolated so as to preclude the need for new WW issuance.

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