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Long Dry Spell Ahead For Alabama; Dorian Not As Strong

| September 3, 2019 @ 5:55 am

DRY PATTERN: A very dry airmass will remain over Alabama this week; we are forecasting mostly sunny days and fair nights. A front will come through in dry fashion tomorrow night; there simply isn’t enough moisture to mention any significant chance of rain. Look for hot afternoons today and tomorrow; most communities will creep up into the mid 90s. Then, the high will be in the 89-92 degree range Thursday and Friday along with cooler nights; some of the cooler spots across North/Central Alabama will drop into the 50s early Friday morning.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND AND BEYOND: No real change Saturday and Sunday; expect a good supply of sunshine both days with a high around 90 degrees. Low over the weekend will be in the 65-70 degree range. And, most likely, dry weather continues through much of next week with little hope for a widespread rain event. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

HURRICANE DORIAN: Dorian is now a category three with sustained winds of 120 mph, and is still wobbling around the northern Bahamas near Grand Bahama Island. That island has been in the eye wall of the hurricane for over 24 hours.

Important points….

*Dorian is expected to more or less maintain its intensity for about 36 hours. After that time
period, increasing vertical shear should cause gradual weakening. However, the system is likely to remain a major hurricane for the next few days.

*Although the official forecast does not show Dorian making landfall along the Florida east coast, users are reminded not to forecast on the exact forecast track. A relatively small deviation to the left of this track could bring the core of the hurricane near or over the coastline.

*Life-threatening storm surge and dangerous hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the Florida east coast and the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina, regardless of the exact track of Dorian’s center. Water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of strong winds. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials.

*A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
Grand Bahama and the Abacos Islands in the northwestern Bahamas
Jupiter Inlet FL to Ponte Vedra Beach FL

*A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
North of Deerfield Beach FL to Jupiter Inlet FL
North of Ponte Vedra Beach FL to South Santee River SC

*The risk of life-threatening storm surge and hurricane-force winds continues to increase along the coast of North Carolina. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local emergency officials.

*Dorian will not impact Alabama or the Central Gulf Coast in any way.

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN: A tropical wave in the western Gulf of Mexico is expected to become a tropical depression or storm later today; it will be forced westward into the northern coast of Mexico by tomorrow night. Again, no impact on Alabama or the Central Gulf Coast.

NHC is monitoring several other areas in the Atlantic basin, but none of them present a threat to the U.S. this week.

ON THIS DATE IN 1979: Hurricane David made landfall in South Florida as a Category 2 storm. It caused 15 deaths in the US. Hurricane David was a Category 5 over the Dominican Republic were over 2,000 people died.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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