What’s The Story on the Rest of the Tropics at 10:00 am

| September 15, 2020 @ 10:12 am


• Hurricane Paulette
Paulette has accelerated in forward speed and is moving off to the northwest at 29 MPH. Maximum winds are at 105 MPH, but weakening will start on Wednesday and a transition to an extratropical cyclone should be completed on Thursday. Paulette is forecast to slow down and turn toward the east-southeast and south-southeast late Thursday and Friday.

• Tropical Storm Teddy
Teddy will likely become a hurricane later today or early on Wednesday as conditions have become supportive of strengthening. It could reach major hurricane strength in a few days. Teddy is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 MPH. A steady northwest motion at 10 to 15 MPH is expected through the end of the week. On the current track, Teddy will be heading toward Bermuda and may begin to impact the island on Monday.

• Tropical Storm Vicky
Vicky is holding steady as a tropical storm at this point, but weakening is expected to begin later this evening as upper-level winds will begin to shear her apart. Vicky is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Wednesday night.


1. A broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing limited shower or thunderstorm activity. Any development of this system should be slow to occur while the low meanders over the southern Gulf of Mexico for the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands, gradually continue to become better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

3. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far northeastern Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles northeast of the Azores. This system is forecast to move south-southeastward during the next few days where it will encounter warmer oceanic temperatures, which could allow the low to gradually acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

Category: ALL POSTS, Severe Weather, Tropical

About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

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