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Detailed Wind Threat Forecast for Alabama

| October 28, 2020 @ 5:51 am

A swath of 40-60 mph winds will spread across Central Alabama tonight as the center of Zeta traverses the state between 10 p.m. and 4 a.m.

These winds will cause extensive tree and power line damage. There will be widespread power outages.

Here is the wind forecast based on the official 4 a.m. NHC forecast:

Here is a wind map of sustained winds using the GFS at midnight:

By 2 a.m.:

By 4 a.m. the circulation is getting ready to exit the state:

Here are peak winds expected county by county and timing:

Washington County (Chatom)…Sustained 65 mph, with gusts to 79 mph
Tropical storm force between 6:30 p.m. and 11:30 p.m.
Peak winds 9-10:30 p.m.

Mobile County (Mobile)…Sustained 61 mph, with gusts to 79 mph
Tropical storm force between 5 p.m. and 10:30 p.m.
Peak winds 8-9 p.m.

Clarke County (Grove Hill)…Sustained 61 mph, with gusts to 74 mph
Tropical storm force between 7:30 p.m. – midnight
Peak winds 10:30 p.m.

Marengo County (Demopolis)…Sustained 60 mph, with gusts to 73 mph
Tropical storm force between 9 p.m. and 1 a.m.
Peak winds 11:30 p.m.

Perry County (Marion)…Sustained 58 mph, with gusts to 70 mph
Tropical storm force between 10:30 p.m. and 1:30 a.m.
Peak winds 1 a.m.

Wilcox County (Camden)…Sustained 58 mph, with gusts to 70 mph
Tropical storm force between 9 p.m. and 1 a.m.
Peak winds: midnight

Dallas County (Selma)…Sustained 57 mph, with gusts to 68 mph
Tropical storm force between 10 p.m. and 1:30 a.m.
Peak winds 12:30 a.m.

Choctaw County (Butler)…Sustained 56 mph, with gusts to 68 mph
Tropical storm force between 8:30 p.m. and 11:30 p.m.
Peak winds 10:30 p.m.

Bibb County (Brent)…Sustained 56 mph, with gusts to 68 mph
Tropical storm force between 11:30 p.m. and 2 a.m.
Peak winds 1:30 a.m.

Hale County (Greensboro)…Sustained 56 mph, with gusts to 66 mph
Tropical storm force between 10:30 p.m. and 1 a.m.
Peak winds 12:30 a.m.

Monroe County (Monroeville)…Sustained 55 mph, with gusts to 66 mph
Tropical storm force between 10 p.m. and 12:30 a.m.
Peak winds 11 p.m.

Monroe County (Monroeville)…Sustained 55 mph, with gusts to 66 mph
Tropical storm force between 10 p.m. and 12:30 a.m.
Peak winds 11 p.m.

Baldwin County (Fairhope)…Sustained 54 mph, with gusts to 65 mph
Tropical storm force between 6 p.m. and 10:30 p.m.
Peak winds 9 p.m.

Shelby County (Columbiana)…Sustained 53 mph, with gusts to 64 mph
Tropical storm force between 12:30 a.m. and 2:30 a.m.
Peak winds 2 a.m.

Talladega County (Talladega)…Sustained 52 mph, with gusts to 63 mph
Tropical storm force between 1 a.m. and 3 a.m.
Peak winds 2:30 a.m.

Autauga County (Prattville)…Sustained 51 mph, with gusts to 61 mph
Tropical storm force between 11 p.m. and 2 a.m.
Peak winds 1 a.m.

Chilton County (Clanton)…Sustained 51 mph, with gusts to 62 mph
Tropical storm force between 11:30 p.m. and 2:30 a.m.
Peak winds 1 a.m.

Cleburne County (Heflin)…Sustained 50 mph, with gusts to 61 mph
Tropical storm force between 2:30 a.m. and 4 a.m.
Peak winds 3:30 a.m.

Clay County (Ashland)…Sustained 49 mph, with gusts to 59 mph
Tropical storm force between 1:30 a.m. and 3:30 a.m.
Peak winds 3 a.m.

Lowndes County (Hayneville)…Sustained 49 mph, with gusts to 59 mph
Tropical storm force between 10:30 p.m. and 1:30 a.m.
Peak winds 12:30 a.m.

Escambia County (Brewton)…Sustained 49 mph, with gusts to 59 mph
Tropical storm force between 8 p.m. and 12:30 p.m.
Peak winds 10:30 p.m.

Calhoun County (Anniston)…Sustained 49 mph, with gusts to 60 mph
Tropical storm force between 2 a.m. and 3:30 a.m.
Peak winds 3 a.m.

Coosa County (Rockford)…Sustained 48 mph, with gusts to 59 mph
Tropical storm force between 12:30 a.m. and 3 a.m.
Peak winds 2 a.m.

Conecuh County (Evergeen)…Sustained 48 mph, with gusts to 59 mph
Tropical storm force between 8:30 p.m. and 12;30 a.m.
Peak winds 10:30 p.m.

St. Clair County (Pell City)…Sustained 47 mph, with gusts to 57 mph
Tropical storm force between 1:30 a.m. and 2:30 a.m.
Peak winds 2:30 a.m.

Butler County (Greenville)…Sustained 46 mph, with gusts to 56 mph
Tropical storm force between 10 p.m. and 1 a.m.
Peak winds 11:30 p.m.

Tallapoosa County (Dadeville)…Sustained 46 mph, with gusts to 55 mph
Tropical storm force between 1:30 a.m. and 3 a.m.
Peak winds 2:30 a.m.

Randolph County (Wedowee)…Sustained 46 mph, with gusts to 56 mph
Tropical storm force between 2 a.m. and 3:30 a.m.
Peak winds 3 a.m.

Elmore County (Rockford)…Sustained 45 mph, with gusts to 55 mph
Tropical storm force between 12:30 a.m. and 2:30 a.m.
Peak winds 2 a.m.

Jefferson County (Hoover)…Sustained 44 mph, with gusts to 53 mph
Tropical storm force between 1 a.m. and 2 a.m.
Peak winds 1:30 a.m.

Cherokee County (Piedmont)…Sustained 43 mph, with gusts to 52 mph
Tropical storm force between 3 a.m. and 4 a.m.
Peak winds 3:30 a.m.

Chambers County (Lafayette)…Sustained 43 mph, with gusts to 52 mph
Tropical storm force between 3 a.m. and 4 a.m.
Peak winds 3:30 a.m.

Montgomery County (Montgomery)…Sustained 43 mph, with gusts to 52 mph
Tropical storm force between 11:30 p.m. and 2 a.m.
Peak winds 1 a.m.

Sumter County (Livingston)…Sustained 41 mph, with gusts to 50 mph
Tropical storm force between 10:30 p.m. and 11:30 p.m.
Peak winds 11 p.m.

Greene County (Eutaw)…Sustained 41 mph, with gusts to 50 mph
Tropical storm force between 11 p.m. to midnight
Peak winds 11:30 p.m.

Tuscaloosa County (Tuscaloosa)…Sustained 41 mph, with gusts to 50 mph
Tropical storm force between 12:30 a.m. and 1:30 a.m.
Peak winds 1 a.m.

Crenshaw County (Luverne)…Sustained 41 mph, with gusts to 49 mph
Tropical storm force between 11 p.m. and 1 a.m.
Peak winds midnight

Etowah County (Gadsden)…Sustained 40 mph, with gusts to 49 mph
Tropical storm force between 2 a.m. and 3 a.m.
Peak winds 2:30 a.m.

Macon County (Tuskegee)…Sustained 40 mph, with gusts to 49 mph
Tropical storm force between 1:30 a.m. and 2:30 a.m.
Peak winds 2 a.m.

Lee County (Auburn)…Sustained 40 mph, with gusts to 48 mph
Tropical storm force briefly around 2:30 a.m.

Covington County (Andalusia)…Sustained 39 mph, with gusts to 48 mph
Tropical storm force briefly around 11:30 p.m.

Everyone else should be below tropical storm force as far as sustained winds go. Winds will gust to above 40 mph across a wide rea though. Here are accumulated wind gusts off the GFS:

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Tropical

About the Author ()

Bill Murray is the President of The Weather Factory. He is the site's official weather historian and a weekend forecaster. He also anchors the site's severe weather coverage. Bill Murray is the proud holder of National Weather Association Digital Seal #0001 @wxhistorian

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