A Seasonal Day Today, Warmer on Monday, Rain Returns Tuesday

| March 21, 2021 @ 4:00 am

Very nice weather for your last day of the weekend as we’ll have a mix of sun and clouds with right at normal temperatures for the start of Spring. Afternoon highs will be in the lower to mid-60s across the area. Skies will be mostly clear for Sunday night and overnight lows will dip down into the lower to mid 40s in the north and in the mid to upper 40s in the south.

Monday will not be one of those wet days as we’ll continue to have a good bit of sunshine throughout the day with only one or two clouds. However, some clouds associated with an approaching system will begin to move in late. Warm air will continue to flow up from the south and highs will make it up into the upper 60s to the mid-70s.

A system will move into the area for Tuesday that will bring showers and a thunderstorm or two with it. Most of the activity will move in late, but a few scattered showers will be possible early. At this point, the dynamics look to be too far north to cause any strong to severe storms. Afternoon highs will be in the mid-60s to the upper 70s.

Rain and a few storms will be possible throughout the day on Wednesday as that system continues to pull through and mostly out of the area. We may have a few breaks in there where we could see a few minutes of sunshine during the late afternoon hours before more clouds and rain associated with a developing low move in for the evening. Highs will be in the upper 60s to the lower 70s.

On Thursday, a surface that has formed off to our west will move northeastward across portions of Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Indiana throughout the day. Out ahead of the accompanying front, rain and thunderstorms will move across the area throughout the day with heavy rain possible during the late-afternoon through the late-night hours. There will be a decent bit of instability over the area, so we may have to watch for a few strong to possibly severe storms, but we are still just too far out to be specific what to expect at this point. Highs will be in the mid-60s to the upper 70s.

Showers and storms will move out of the area during the early morning hours on Friday with skies becoming mostly sunny by the afternoon. Highs will range from the upper 60s in the north to the upper 70s in the south.

Rain and storms will form along a boundary across the southern parts of the state that will begin lifting northward through the day on Saturday. There will be a chance of showers and storms mainly for the southern half of North/Central Alabama. A cold front will help to push that activity out of the area on Sunday, but not before showers and storm keep the daylight hours wet and active. The good news is that instability looks to be very limited on this latest model run, so no severe weather is expected on either day. Highs will be in the mid-70s to the lower 80s on both days.

1932: A tornado swarm occurred in the Deep South. Between late afternoon and early the next morning severe thunderstorms spawned 31 tornadoes in Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia and Tennessee. The tornadoes killed 334 persons and injured 1784 others. Northern Alabama was the hardest hit. Tornadoes in Alabama killed 286 persons and caused five million dollars in damage.

1952: Severe thunderstorms spawned thirty-one tornadoes across Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, Mississippi, Alabama and Kentucky. The tornadoes killed 343 persons and caused 15 million dollars in damage. Arkansas and Tennessee each reported thirteen tornadoes. The towns of Judsonia AR and Henderson TN were nearly wiped off the map in what proved to be the worst tornado outbreak of record for Arkansas. A tornado, one and a half miles wide at times, left a church the only undamaged building at Judsonia.

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About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

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