Midday Nowcast: Routine Summer Weather

A mix of sun and clouds and very warm and muggy conditions highlight our forecast for the foreseeable future. Moisture levels are on the rise, so today and tomorrow, we will introduce the chance for some isolated storms to develop across North/Central Alabama, as afternoon highs climb into the mid and upper 80s. The better rain chances are down across South Alabama and along the Gulf Coast.

WEEKEND AND BEYOND: The weather pattern doesn’t change much as we head into weekend and through much of next week. The days will be partly sunny, while nights will be mostly fair. Highs will range from the mid and upper 80s to the low 90s across the state. Also each day, daytime heating will lead to building instability, which will fuel daily storms that will pop-up across the Alabama landscape. These are completely randomly in placement, and the greatest coverage of activity will come from 1PM-10PM each afternoon and evening. Due to the high moisture levels, we can’t rule out a shower or two in the morning hours.

It is also possible as few storms could be strong at times, and a rouge warning or two could be needed for gusty winds. Also, summertime convection produces tremendous amounts of lightning and torrential downpours which can cause their own issues.

IN THE TROPICS: Two features the NHC is monitoring in the Tropical Atlantic.

1. Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity is decreasing this morning to the east of a small area of low pressure located more than 100 miles east-southeast of Barbados. Increasing upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. This disturbance could produce increased shower activity and some gusty winds while moving across the Lesser Antilles over the next couple of days. Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

2. A strong tropical wave has emerged just off the coast of Africa this morning. Although ocean temperatures are still relatively cool over the tropical Atlantic Ocean and are only marginally conducive for development, a small tropical depression could form by early next week while this system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the tropical eastern and central Atlantic Ocean. Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

BEACH FORECAST CENTER: Get the latest weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches from Fort Morgan to Panama City on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region that you are interested in visiting.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 119.7F at Jahra, Kuwait. The lowest observation was -96.2F at Vostok, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 109F at Rio Grande Village TX and Tucumcari, NM. The lowest observation was 26F at Bodie, CA.

WEATHER ON THIS DATE IN 1952: Thunderstorms produced a swath of hail 60 miles long and 3.5 miles wide through parts of Hand, Beadle, Kingsbury, Miner and Jerauld counties in South Dakota. Poultry and livestock were killed, and many persons were injured. Hail ten inches in circumference was reported at Huron SD.

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