Moist Air Stays In Place
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Looks like Alabama will remain in a very soupy, moist airmass for the next five days, which is excellent news for a state that is still in a severe drought. We sure welcomed the rain that came down much of the day on Saturday, but we will welcome what comes our way this week.
TODAY: We have a few showers over Northeast Alabama on radar early this morning, and to the west a short wave trough is moving in our general direction. This feature should bring scattered to numerous showers and storms to the state by the afternoon hours. As usual on a summer morning, we can’t tell you right now which neighborhood will see the most rain today, but all of us will have a decent chance of getting at least one-half inch of rain. While the sun will peak out at times, the sky will be generally cloudy today.
MID-WEEK: We will maintain the chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms tomorrow and Wednesday. Then, a sharp trough north of Alabama will send a cold front down this way by Thursday, which should enhance the coverage of rain across at least the northern half of the state. That front will stall and dissipate near the Alabama/Tennessee border by Friday.
LATE WEEK/THE WEEKEND: The moist airmass won’t budge, so each day we will have scattered showers and storms around. And, the GFS advertises another surface front dropping down this way, supported by rather deep upper trough for July, by Saturday night and Sunday. Once again, this will most likely increase the coverage of showers and storms across the state at some point over the weekend. It is doubtful that any dry air moves in here from the north; this is mid-July, you know.
LONG RANGE: The 00Z GFS does advertise an expanding upper air high/heat bubble across much of the nation at the end of the period (around July 24); that sure looks hot, but lets wait for some run to run consistency before we jump on that idea. Even if the upper high does build over us, the increased soil moisture we have seen in the last week could help to keep the heat in check to some degree.
TROPICS: Quite as a mouse across the Atlantic basin; still lots of dry air out there on the water vapor satellite images. Remember, the core of the season is August, September, and early October.
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I will be speaking out at Jefferson State Community College in Center Point later this morning; I will be back in the office by early afternoon, and the next Weather Xtreme video should be available by 3:30!
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