Mesoscale Discussion — Watch Coming Soon for South & Southwestern Parts of the Area

| April 5, 2022 @ 6:31 am

SUMMARY… A tornado risk may develop later this morning from southern Mississippi into Alabama and parts of the Florida panhandle.

DISCUSSION… A warm front continues to push rapidly north, with upper 60s to lower 70s F dewpoints now common. Stronger elevated cells producing hail have been evident at times, but mostly isolated.

Effective SRH of 300-400 m2/s2 is common across the warm sector, with higher values near the warm front. The air mass is uncapped, although low-level lapse rates remain poor. However, any cells ahead of the advancing squall line over central MS may acquire rotation.

Probability of Watch Issuance… 80 percent

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather

About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

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