Midday Nowcast: More Heat with Some Strong Storms Later

| June 15, 2022 @ 12:03 pm

We are seeing plenty of sunshine today, and that is allowing temperatures to surge well into the mid and upper 90s. Dew points remain in the low to upper 70s, and the combination of hot temperatures and high humidity continues to allow for dangerous heat levels as heat index values are over 100°, and in many places, in the 105°-110° range. It is another day with Heat Advisory in effect and we already know the advisory has been extended through Thursday evening for much of Alabama.

We are once again watching the radar for, random, scattered storms. The best chance for these will likely be over the southern 2/3 of the state, but also like yesterday, we expect a complex of storms to develop over Georgia and move west into Alabama. Again, Big HEAT, Big STORMS, and any storms that develop will pack a punch and could become severe. The SPC maintains a “slight risk” (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms today mainly for areas south of I-59.

The main threat from heavier storms will come from strong straight line winds. Of course, all summer storms produce tremendous amounts of lightning and torrential tropical downpours.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Tomorrow will remain hot, with highs in the mid to upper 90s, and again the heat advisory will continue. Rain chances are lower tomorrow and Friday with only isolated afternoon and evening storms. Late Friday night, a drier airmass drops into the state which should at least lower humidity levels as we roll into the weekend.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Temperatures will remain hot both Saturday and Sunday, but humidity values will be lower, so the heat should not be as oppressive. Expect highs in the 90-93 degree range, with mainly sunny days and fair nights. Chance of a cooling shower is very, very small both days.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge holds; highs again will be in the mid 90s most days and increasing humidity levels. Each day will will feature isolated to scattered afternoon storms.

IN THE TROPICS: All remains quiet for now, but satellite and radar images suggest that a small area of low pressure is located along the east coast of Nicaragua accompanied by a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. The disturbance is expected to meander slowly today, then drift northwestward along the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras later this week. Some slow development of this system is still possible if it moves back over water. The Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft scheduled to investigate the system today has been canceled. Regardless of development, the low could produce periods of heavy rainfall across portions of eastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras through late this week. Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

BEACH FORECAST CENTER: Get the latest weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches from Fort Morgan to Panama City on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region that you are interested in visiting.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 122.2F at Bisha, Saudi Arabia. The lowest observation was -84.8F at Dome A, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 111F at Rio Grande Village, TX. The lowest observation was 17F at Peter Sinks, UT.

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Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS

About the Author ()

Montgomery Television Meteorologist and long time Contributor on AlabamaWX. Stormchaser. I did not choose Weather, it chose Me. College Football Fanatic. @Ryan_Stinnet

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