Midday Nowcast: A Few Clouds, but No Rain Anytime Soon

| October 4, 2022 @ 10:15 am

New day, same forecast, no rain in this week and even well into next week. Remember, this is not unusual for October in Alabama as it is a driest month of the year statistically. The daily forecast this week will feature sunny days and clear nights. Highs will be in the upper 70s to lower 80s, while night will be in the 50s. Again, great weather for early October in Alabama.

FRIDAY FRONT: A cold front will pass through the state, but with no moisture to work with, it will come through in dry fashion. However, it will deliver much cooler air for the upcoming weekend.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The cooler air arrives Saturday as the high drops into the low 70s. Sunday morning will be our coolest morning so far this season with lows well down in the 40s…and cooler spots could visit the 30s. Sunday will be sunny and gorgeous with highs staying in the 70s.

IN THE TROPICS: The NHC is monitoring two tropical waves for possible development later this week. If they develop, the next names up are Julia and Karl. Remember that hurricane season runs through November 30th.

A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are currently conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while moving northwestward at about 10 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development by Wednesday and Thursday. Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Also, showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands have increased a little this morning, but there are not yet any signs of significant organization. The wave is forecast to move westward at about 15 mph, crossing the Windward Islands tonight and early Wednesday. Some slow development is possible while the wave continues westward, and a tropical depression could form by late this week or this weekend over the central or western Caribbean Sea. Interests in the Windward Islands, the ABC Islands, and the northern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

NEXT WEEK: No real change in the pattern with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. No signs of rain through at least mid-month for Alabama. Highs next week in the 70s, lows in the 50s.

BEACH FORECAST CENTER: Get the latest weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches from Fort Morgan to Panama City on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region that you are interested in visiting.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 122.5F at Rustenburg, South Africa. The lowest observation was -87.2F at Dome A, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 108F at Death Valley, CA. The lowest observation was 19F at Peter Sinks, UT.

Tags: ,

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS

About the Author ()

Montgomery Television Meteorologist and long time Contributor on AlabamaWX. Stormchaser. I did not choose Weather, it chose Me. College Football Fanatic. @Ryan_Stinnet

Comments are closed.