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Midday Nowcast: Mainly Sunny and PTC Sixteen

| September 21, 2023 @ 11:27 am

A few showers have been on the radar today, as the upper trough continues to swing through the state. Most locations will remain dry today. However, we are seeing more sunshine than clouds with afternoon temperatures ranging from the low to upper 80s across Alabama.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Tomorrow is officially the last day of summer and the weather will be very nice…Plenty of sunshine again, highs in the low to mid 80s. Fall officially arrives Saturday at 1:49 AM CDT, the pattern doesn’t change much and the weather looks dry with highs holding in the 80s, and lows in the 60s. Lots of sunshine both Saturday and Sunday. Late Sunday we will mention a few showers will be possible as moisture levels begin to increase, but still rain chances will be at or near 20%.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: The sky will be clear for the high school games across Alabama Friday night, with temperatures falling through the 70s, possibly reaching the 60s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday Auburn will travel to College Station to take on Texas A&M (11a CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with temperatures rising from near 90 at kickoff to near 95 by the final whistle.

Alabama will host Ole Miss at Bryant-Denny Stadium Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly partly to mostly sunny with temperatures in the mid 80s.

NEXT WEEK: We will mention daily rain chances most of next week, but again, with a relatively dry air mass, many locations will remain dry. But there will be a few showers on the radar each days. The days will feature more sunshine than clouds with highs in the low 80s. Nights will be fair with lows in the 60s. By the end of the week, drier air looks to return, removing our rain chances.

IN THE TROPICS: Hurricane Nigel is moving toward the northeast near 30 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nigel is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone tonight or early Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles. The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches).

Elsewhere, we now have Potential Tropical Cyclone 16: The system is moving toward the north near 9 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue through early Friday. A north-northwestward to northward motion is forecast by late Friday and continue into the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is expected to approach the coast of North Carolina within the warning area Friday night and early Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next day or two, and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm as it approaches the coast of North Carolina. Regardless of whether the system become a tropical storm, the system is expected to bring tropical-storm conditions to portions of the southeast and mid-Atlantic coast. Formation chance: 60 percent. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1012 mb (29.89 inches).

Also, a tropical wave located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

Next names up are Ophelia and Philippe.

BEACH FORECAST CENTER: Get the latest weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches from Fort Morgan to Panama City on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region that you are interested in visiting.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 114.1F at Yenbo, Saudi Arabia. The lowest observation was -79.8F Concordia, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 111F at Rio Grande Village, TX. The lowest observation was 15F at Ketchum, ID.

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Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS

About the Author ()

Mobile, Alabama Television Meteorologist and long time Contributor on AlabamaWX. Stormchaser. I did not choose Weather, it chose Me. College Football Fanatic. @Ryan_Stinnet

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