Checking on the Tropics

CHECKING ON COLIN: Tropical Storm Colin has held on by a thread today, despite wind shear. The storm remained stationary much of the day, before resuming a northward motion this evening. Tropical storm force winds will reach the island early Sunday morning. Colin is expected to gain slightly in intensity as it moves north and then northeast, but shouldn’t exceed a maximum strength of 50 mph. It will pass south of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland over the next two and one half days.

ELSEWHERE IN THE TROPICS: The disturbance 1,500 miles east northeast of the Lesser Antilles continues to look good on satellite pictures and will likely become a tropical depression soon. It has achieved a fairly high latitude now, and recurvature into the open Atlantic looks likely.

The disturbance in the western Caribbean moved onto the Yucatan earlier today. It will emerge into the southwestern Gulf, but significant development looks unlikely.

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