Brief Notes on Felix

By the next advisory, he will no longer be a hurricane.

He barely is now with sustained winds down to 75 mph.

The 4 pm CDT advisory places the center of Felix over Northern Nicaragua near latitude 14.2N, and longitude 85.0W. He was moving west at 14 and may slow down some more.

The big story now will be rain, rain, rain–tons of it. NHC says 8 to 12 inches along its path except more like 10-15 inches across Nicaragua. Some isolated amounts to 25 inches.

This spells trouble. My big file of National Geographic maps shows a lots of mountains, ridges and valleys that Felix will cross. Custom made for life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. (I am a map freak)

Felix will be demoted to a tropical depression by tomorrow and the center is forecast to be in Western Guatemala by Thursday.

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