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Beneficial Rain Possible By Monday

| November 11, 2010 @ 2:32 pm | 2 Replies

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TWO MORE DRY DAYS: What a beautiful day for Veteran’s Day parades across our great state… a cloudless sky with temperatures in the 70s this afternoon after a cold morning. The weather won’t change too much tomorrow and Saturday; a good supply of sunshine with a high in the mid 70s tomorrow, and close to 70 on Saturday.

SUNDAY: A weakening surface front will bring a chance of widely scattered showers to Alabama late Saturday night and Sunday, but rain amounts will be light and rather spotty due to weak dynamics and limited moisture. The high will drop back into the mid 60s Sunday with a mostly cloudy sky.

UAB FOOTBALL TONIGHT: The UAB Blazers host East Carolina at Legion Field tonight at 7:00, and as you might guess, it will be a lot like Wednesday evening’s weather around Birmingham: turning a little cool with a temperature that falls from near 60º at kick-off to around 50º by the end of the game.

MORE FOOTBALL: For tomorrow night’s high school playoff football games, we project a clear sky, with temperatures falling from near 62 at kickoff into the low 50s by the fourth quarter.

For Saturday’s Auburn/Georgia game at Jordan-Hare Stadium (2:30 p.m. CST kickoff)… the sky will be partly sunny with a temperature in the upper 60s at kickoff, falling into the upper 50s by the final whistle. Alabama will host Mississippi State Saturday night in Tuscaloosa (6:15 p.m. kickoff)… clouds will increase during the game, but there will be only a small risk of a shower. Temperatures will fall from the low 60s at kickoff into the mid 50s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Sure looks like a great chance at getting some really beneficial rain across Alabama, especially the northern half of the state, early next week as the main upper trough approaches from the west. The latest GFS runs are now suggesting rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches around here, which is just what the doctor ordered since the Birmingham rain deficit for the year is up to 4.23″. We note the deficiency at Anniston is 7.42″, and Tuscaloosa needs 10.23″ to get back to average levels for the year.

Severe weather is not likely early next week since the air will be stable, and the surface low will pass to the south. Just a good kind of rain. That rain should end early in the day Tuesday, followed by dry and seasonal weather conditions for the latter half of next week, with highs around 60 and lows in the 30s.

LONG RANGE IDEAS: Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the 12Z GFS run continues the idea of keeping the really cold air bottled up in Canada during the latter half of the month… temperatures around here look seasonal with a few rain opportunities, but no sign of any severe weather problems. All in all rather benign weather seems likely for the Thanksgiving holiday. But, this is in the land of voodoo, so that could change, of course.

STORM ALERT XTREME: Our annual storm spotter training is this Saturday at the BJCC, as part of the Alabama International Auto show. We begin at 9:00, and you will be done at 2:00. And, as a “thank you”, you will get free admission into the car show. There is no cost, and no need to register, just show up. Brian Peters will be the trainer, and we ask all existing and potential Skywatchers to attend. See you there!

FOLLOW ALONG: Here are our weather team Twitter accounts….

James Spann Jason Simpson Ashley Brand
J. B. Elliott Bill Murray Brian Peters
Dr. Tim Coleman WeatherBrains Podcast E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!

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Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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