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Yesterday afternoon was a beautiful December day in Central Alabama and today should be another similar day. Some morning clouds should vacate the area by afternoon allowing a good supply of sun with highs reaching the upper 40s. Monday will also see sun with the highs warming into the mid 50s.

Tuesday is a little iffy at the moment. The GFS is suggesting a fast moving short wave in the flow located across the Great Lakes area, however, the lift from that seems to be overdone by the GFS. Certainly a few showers are a possibility, but I really think most of the area will remain dry. The moderation of the cold air continues with the highs reaching near 60.

We come under a ridge for a couple of days which will keep us dry with little temperature change. And the next chance for precipitation comes on Christmas Eve! In fact, a quick review of model soundings suggests that we could see some thunderstorms. I do not expect a major severe weather outbreak, however, we could see some low top/low CAPE thunderstorms with some potential for severe weather. And the low level hodographs do suggest a favorable profile for perhaps weak tornadoes. We’ll definitely be keeping a close eye on the development of this system.

The rain moves out and the freezer door opens once again clearing the way for a chilly and breezy Christmas Day in Central Alabama. In fact, if you are a snow lover – and I am – the GFS suggests a fair amount of wrap around moisture in that cold air which could mean snow flurries. No, this is not likely to be enough to be a White Christmas, but if the GFS is correct there could be enough moisture for some flurries. The cold sticks with us for the day after Christmas as well.

Yesterday, our voodoo maps looked like a big warm up for the first of January. The GFS has tempered that somewhat with the long range maps focusing on a more zonal flow. This would certainly support warmer temperatures than we’ve seen so for for much of this month, but not nearly the warmth the higher amplitude flow suggested yesterday. Ah, the flip flop nature of voodoo country! The forecast of the NAO – North Atlantic Oscillation – does support a warm up into early 2011.

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I hope you have a great day. James Spann will be back in the hot seat with the next Weather Xtreme Video first thing Monday morning. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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