Cool Change By Sunday

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WATCHING THE FRONT: The long awaited cold front is on the way; at mid-afternoon it was passing through St. Louis and Kansas City, and will be pushing through Alabama tomorrow. Behind the front at 2:00, Carrington, ND reports 59 degrees with a dewpoint of 43. Now that is some fall weather.

RADAR: Showers have formed over Southeast Alabama this afternoon, mainly in areas east of I-65, and south of I-85. Nothing is showing up over the northern half of Alabama, and showers are not very likely around here through midnight.

TOMORROW: A band of showers and storms should push into North Alabama early tomorrow morning. SPC maintains a “slight risk” of severe weather just northwest of Alabama, and the storms could be strong as they slip into the state, but they should be in a weakening phase considering the time of day. Then, during the morning, the band of showers will press southward ahead of the front.

The 12Z model data is very similar to previous runs; maybe a tad slower. For places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden, it still looks like the best chance of rain tomorrow will come from about 7:00 a.m. until 2:00 p.m. Then, by mid to late afternoon most of the rain moves down into South Alabama, where a few thunderstorms are possible as well. Rain amounts here should be pretty light… the new 12Z NAM prints only 0.13″ for Birmingham. It won’t be a big rain event.

TOMORROW NIGHT/SUNDAY: A breath of fresh air as cooler and dryer air moves into our state. We will drop into the 50s early Sunday; the NAM shows 56, and the GFS is at 58. The day will be sunny with very low humidity and a high only around the 80 degree mark. Doesn’t get much better in early September.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z GFS shows dry weather for most of Alabama through Friday. If you have been looking for a long dry period to get some work done outdoors, here is your chance. Expect sunny warm days and clear pleasant nights at least through Thursday.

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL TONIGHT: Only about a 10 percent risk of a shower at any one specific game site over the northern half of Alabama. Temperatures will be in the low 80s, and the humidity will be very high.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOMORROW… First game of the day Saturday is in Starkville, where Auburn will visit Mississippi State (11:00 a.m. kickoff). Rain is likely in Starkville tomorrow morning, but it should end about the time the game begins. A stray shower is possible during the first quarter, otherwise the sky will be mostly cloudy with temperatures rising from near 77 at kickoff to about 82 by the final whistle.

Alabama will host Western Kentucky at Bryant-Denny Stadium at 2:30; much like the Auburn game, showers are likely in Tuscaloosa tomorrow morning for the tailgating activities, but we now feel pretty confident those showers will be over by game time. The sky should be cloudy for the first half with only a slight risk of a stray shower during the first quarter, but clearing is likely during the second half of the game as drier air works into West Alabama. Temperatures should be in the low to mid 80s.

Jacksonville State will host UT Chattanooga at Snow-Burgess Field Saturday evening at 6:00… we will forecast a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 78 at kickoff into the upper 60s by the fourth quarter. Should be a great night for football.

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Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday… my next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. Monday. Enjoy the weekend!

Tags: cold front

Category: Alabama's Weather