Mild Thanksgiving Day; Colder Weekend

| November 20, 2012 @ 6:04 am

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THIS MORNING: We note a few echoes on radar early this morning over West-Central Alabama; specifically over parts of Sumter, Greene, Hale, and Marengo Counties. While much of this is probably evaporating before reaching the ground; based on the strength of the returns a few sprinkles are possible around Demopolis and Gallion as I write this at 5:30 a.m. These sprinkles should vanish off the radar soon, probably by the time you read this, and most of Alabama will be dry today with a mix of sun and clouds. The high this afternoon will be in the 65 to 68 degree range.

TOMORROW AND THANKSGIVING DAY: Delightful weather is the story. The high will be very close to 70 degrees, about 5 degrees above average for mid to late November, with a good supply of sunshine both days. Mornings will be cool with lows in the 40s.

FRIDAY FRONT: A cold front will move through the state on Friday. This will drag some clouds into Alabama, and the latest GFS runs hint at a few sprinkles over the Tennessee Valley region of North Alabama, but significant rain is not likely, and for now we will leave the forecast dry. We stay relatively mild with a high in the mid to upper 60s.

SHARPLY COLDER SATURDAY: MOS (model output statistics) numbers continue to come down… the GFS is now printing a high of only 52 degrees for Birmingham on Saturday with a chilly north wind of 10-20 mph. Many places north of Birmingham won’t make it out of the 40s despite a sunny sky. And, freezing temperatures are likely by daybreak Sunday with lows in the 25 to 30 degree range. Sunday will be sunny and cool with a high in the upper 50s.

IRON BOWL FORECAST: It will be a breezy and cold day in Tuscaloosa Saturday. The sky will be sunny at kickoff, but the temperature will be only around 52 degrees at the opening whistle with a cool north wind of 10-20 mph. Then, temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s by halftime, and I would not be shocked if we see upper 30s by the end of the game. A good warm jacket is in order for sure.

NEXT WEEK: No doubt the pattern suggests active weather next week, but not much clarity in details. Some GFS runs, and the ECMWF, are suggesting a system in the Tuesday-Wednesday time frame that could bring potential for strong storms to Alabama, followed by a shot of much colder air over the latter half of the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the details and graphics.

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I have a weather program this morning at Cullman East Elementary School…. look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Category: Alabama's Weather

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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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