Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Clearing Later Today

| April 5, 2013 @ 5:53 am

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COLD, DAMP MORNING: Light rain continues early this morning over some of the eastern counties of Alabama, and temperatures are in the 40s. The rain will end shortly, and we will forecast gradual clearing later today as drier air works into the state, and subsidence moves in on the back side of the departing upper trough. If the sun does break out this afternoon, we should reach the mid 60s this afternoon.

Tonight will be cool with a clear sky; most communities will drop into the low 40s early tomorrow, but colder pockets across Northeast Alabama could see the mid 30s with some risk of scattered light frost.

WONDERFUL WEEKEND: Doesn’t get much better. A good supply of sunshine both Saturday and Sunday with highs in the mid 70s. Enjoy.

WARM NEXT WEEK: A good chance we see our warmest weather so far this year next week. We hit 76 degrees on three days in March, our warmest so far in 2013… a good chance we see 80 degree warmth by Tuesday and Wednesday. There will be a slow increase in moisture, but most of Alabama should remain dry Monday and Tuesday.

TO THE WEST: A significant severe weather event is possible Tuesday west of Alabama; the 00Z GFS suggests this might be the biggest severe weather day with a 991 mb low over Kansas, and very unstable air south and east of that low. Places like Dallas/Fort Worth, Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Springfield, MO, and Fort Smith, AR will deal with the threat, and SPC has this region outlined in a severe weather risk for Day 5 in their extended outlook. All modes of severe weather will be possible, including tornadoes.

The surface low fills as it moves east, but severe weather is still possible just west of Alabama during the day Wednesday over Mississippi and West Tennessee; SPC has this area in the Day 6 risk.

For now SPC does not have any severe weather risk defined for Day 7, which is Thursday of next week, and when Alabama will deal with showers and storms. Actually, we could see storms as early as Wednesday night, but the latest model data hints the main risk will come from about midnight Wednesday night through midnight Thursday night. There is no well defined, dominant surface low, and the upper trough is positive tilt. Model data now shows somewhat limited instability, and the best shear north of Alabama… meaning the threat is “iffy”. But, this is very early in the game and things could change.

Like I stated here yesterday, at this early stage of the game nobody knows the magnitude, timing, placement, or specific modes of severe weather. We will have a much better idea of the specifics late this weekend and on Monday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the latest details, maps, and graphics.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

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Category: Alabama's Weather

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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