Moist Air Remains In Place

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RADAR CHECK: Not much happening across the great state of Alabama at daybreak; just a few widely scattered showers over the southeast part of the state. Temperatures are mostly in the 60s around here.

THE DAY AHEAD: The air was pretty worked over by the big storms that developed yesterday and last night, and I highly doubt we will see as much rain today. And, there could be some weak subsidence (sinking air motion) around here on the periphery of the circulation of Tropical Storm Andrea to the south in the Gulf, so while a few showers and storms are possible, it looks like they could very well be widely spaced. The high resolution NAM doesn’t show too much rain today, and precipitatable water values are down a bit, confirming this idea. But, a few spots could see a shower or storm.

The high today will be in the mid 80s with a mixture of clouds and sunshine.

TOMORROW: Looks like showers and storms will be more extensive tomorrow as a cold front approaches. Still, it won’t rain all day, but a few passing showers and storms are likely. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and the high will be in the low 80s.

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA: Sustained winds have increased to 60 mph this morning; the center of the storm is 195 miles S/SW of Apalachicola, Florida in the Gulf. Landfall will come around Cedar Key late this afternoon or early tonight, and to the east a tornado watch is up for much of the Florida Peninsula south of I-4… a few tornado warnings have already been issued early this morning.

The main threat from Andrea will be heavy rain, from the Florida Peninsula up the U.S. East Coast in coming days… the big rain shield from Andrea will remain east of Alabama.

AT THE BEACH: Rough surf and rip tides are likely again today all along the Central Gulf Coast due to Andrea, but conditions will improve tomorrow as the system moves away. Occasional showers are likely today for Destin and Panama City, but to the west around Gulf Shores and Pensacola, showers will be much more scattered with some sun at times.

Then, all of the Gulf Coast (Panama City to Gulf Shores) will enjoy about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day tomorrow through the weekend with just a few scattered showers and storms. Highs will be in the 80s, and the sea water temperature this morning is near 80 degrees.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Drier air will enter Alabama tomorrow night, and showers will be few and far between Saturday and Sunday over the northern counties of the state. The chance of rain over the weekend is not zero, but most places should be dry. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: The 00Z GFS now shows a surface front moving through Monday, along with a chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. We will adjust our forecast to include this possibility, then drier air returns Tuesday through Thursday. Temperatures should rise up into the low 90s by the middle of next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

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Tags: showers

Category: Alabama's Weather