Slow Warm-Up Through Mid-Week

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ANOTHER RAIN-FREE DAY: Temperatures are generally in the mid 80s this afternoon… 84 degrees at Birmingham and Anniston at 2:00… Tuscaloosa reports 86. These values are well below the MOS (model output statistics) guidance provided by computer models, and well below average for late August in Alabama. Dewpoints are mostly in the 50s, and there is no rain on radar.

The sky will stay clear tonight with lows mostly in the 60s early tomorrow.

REST OF THE WEEK: We stay dry tomorrow… lots of sunshine with a high in the 87-90 degree range. Then, we should finally reach 90, maybe the low 90s, on Thursday and Friday. Moisture levels will rise late in the week, and we will introduce the risk of widely scattered showers and storms Friday afternoon.

OUR WEEKEND: The 12Z GFS is a little more aggressive with moisture return, so no doubt we will have to dodge the usual “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” Saturday and Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds each day. The high will be around 90 degrees… with the hotter values over West Alabama, closer to the upper high west of Alabama.

Pretty much the same story early next week as we get into meteorological fall.

TROPICS: NHC has circled a disturbance near the southern tip of Florida on their afternoon outlook, but they only give it a 10 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet, but most medium range computer models so show an uptick in activity in 10-15 days from now.

TIME FOR SOME FOOTBALL: High school teams crank up the Friday night lights for the first time this week. Actually, some games will be played Thursday; for those games the sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature in the mid 80s. Then, Friday evening, the chance of any one stadium seeing a brief shower or storm is in the 20-30 percent range; otherwise mostly fair with upper 80s at kickoff, with temperatures falling through the 80s during the games, reaching the upper 70s by the final whistle.

COLLEGE GAMES: Auburn will host Washington State Saturday evening (6:00 p.m. kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium; a brief shower or storm is possible during the first half… chance of a shower at the stadium is 30 percent. Otherwise, mostly fair with a kickoff temperature near 89 degrees, then dropping through the 80s during the game. Alabama won’t have to worry about weather since they play Virginia Tech in the Georgia Dome, but for fans headed over for the game, Saturday in Atlanta will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high around 90 degrees, and a few pop-up afternoon showers or storms are possible.

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I enjoyed my visit today in Fayette… spoke to the Lifelong Learning Institute and a big group of students and others from the community. Great crowd and a great time. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Tags: dry

Category: Alabama's Weather