Karen A Little Weaker, But…

…Karen slightly weaker…
…Track shifts a little west, but landfall still anticipated late Sunday morning on Alabama coast…

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…25.6N 90.2W
ABOUT 380 SOUTHWEST OF MOBILE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

NOTES
…The center of Tropical Storm Karen is still exposed
…Recon found pressure up to 1003 mb
…But convection refiring on eastern side of center
…Undergoing 20-25 knots of shear now, but hat will weaken tonight and intensification could occur
…Still not expected to be a hurricane, but possibility is not ruled out
…Has turned a little more to the north
…But track is shifted a little west
…A weaker storm would tend to be less responsive to steering currents that want to turn it northeast
…Northeast turn should commence late Saturday morning
…Center should cross southeastern tip of Louisiana around Mouth of Mississippi River around midnight Saturday night
…Tropical storm force winds will reach southeastern Louisiana Saturday night
…Tropical storm force winds will reach coastal Alabama before dawn Sunday morning and Northwest Florida a short time later

WARNINGS
…Tropical storm warning extended westward to Morgan City, extends to LA/MS border
…Hurricane watch from Grand Isle to Destin including Alabama coast
…Tropical storm watch from Destin to Indian Pass, also includes City of New Orleans and Lakes

We will have some updates on the forecast for places along the coast shortly, and the entire team will have frequent updates throughout the weekend.

Category: Tropical