Warming Trend Ahead; Moisture Returns

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am on the road… will be at the Shops of Grand River in Leeds for live weather on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 6, and 6:00**

A LITTLE WARMER: Temperatures are generally in the upper 50s across North/Central Alabama this afternoon with a bright sunny sky. Still below average (the average high today is 65), but warmer than yesterday.

Tonight won’t be as cold as last night, although some of the colder pockets over Northeast Alabama might tough the freezing mark between 9 p.m. and midnight before clouds and wind push temperatures higher overnight.

SHOWERS RETURN TOMORROW: The latest model runs continue to show an increase in moisture over Alabama tomorrow, and we will forecast a good chance of developing showers during the day with short wave energy moving in from the west. Below is the 18Z NAM valid at 3:00 p.m. tomorrow…

Looks like the main window for showers tomorrow will come from 12:00 noon until 8:00 p.m. Rain amounts should be 1/2 inch or less. The sky will be mostly cloudy and we might have a hard time reaching 60 degrees due to the clouds and showers.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday still looks very nice. Only isolated showers around with a mix of sun and clouds, and a high between 67 and 70 degrees.

Sunday will be a mild and breezy day with a chance of showers, but it won’t rain all day, and you even see a few peeks of sunshine. The latest GFS suggests the main band of organized showers and storms along the cold front will come sometime from about 6:00 p.m. Sunday through 6:00 a.m. Monday.

SPC maintains a risk of severe weather for areas northwest of Alabama Sunday afternoon, from near Little Rock and Memphis up to Cleveland, but we expect the storms to weaken as they move into Alabama with the main dynamic support passing well to the north, and no significant surface based instability. Not sure we even hear much thunder Sunday night. Rain amounts of around 1/2 to 3/4 inch are likely.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Mostly cloudy conditions for the high school football playoff games tomorrow night, and we will need to mention a chance of showers, mainly during the first half of the games. Temperatures will fall from near 57 degrees at kickoff to near 54 degrees by the final whistle.

Saturday, Auburn hosts Georgia at Jordan-Hare Stadium (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be partly sunny with just a small risk of a shower. The kickoff temperature will be near 67 degrees, falling into the low 60s by the fourth quarter. Alabama travels to Starkville to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6:45p CT kickoff); the sky will be mostly cloudy with a brief passing shower possible. Temperatures will hold steady in the mid 60s during the game.

UAB is on the road; they play East Carolina in Greenville, NC Saturday (1:00p CT kickoff). The sky will be mostly cloudy with a small chance of a shower. About 66 degrees at kickoff; temperatures will hold in the mid 60s through the game.

NEXT WEEK: Rain ends early in the day Monday, followed by clearing Monday afternoon. Models continue to back off of the idea of a highly amplified pattern next week, meaning the air at mid-week won’t be too cold; the coldest morning will come early Wednesday with low to mid 30s. The weather looks rain-free Tuesday through Thursday.

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Tags: warmer

Category: Alabama's Weather