Rainy Days Ahead

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The weather from Fay finally arrived in Central Alabama overnight. Certainly nothing heavy with only small amounts of rain, but this initial rain sets the stage for the next several days with a good soaking in store for Central Alabama as Fay meanders across the Southeast US.

This morning Fay had made landfall AGAIN as it was located in the vicinity of Apalachicola. But light rain and clouds had spread well ahead of Fay across much of Alabama. And with the clouds, temperatures did not fall back much overnight with the morning lows in the upper 70s. Those clouds and the periods of rain along with breezy conditions will help to keep temperatures to the lower 80s for the most part. Of course, any peeks at the sun which I suspect will be few could drive the temperatures up several degrees in isolated spots.

Fay’s track will be along the Gulf Coast and into South Mississippi where she is expected to stall. The GFS suggests the stall will be fairly short lived with the storm or remnant low moving out by Wednesday. The Hurricane Center forecast track is a little slower than that. But no matter which it is, we are in for a period of clouds, wind, and rain which will certainly ease the overall drought situation. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 8 inches are possible across the area. This large range is due to the proximity of Fay with the highest amounts expected to occur generally along the track of Fay.

Severe weather is a possibility today especially over southeast Alabama, southern Georgia, and much of northern Florida and the Panhandle. Even weak tropical systems can produce a few tornadoes with the concentration of vorticity in the vicinity of the storm.

The GFS takes the remains of Fay northeast by mid-week giving the Middle Atlantic states some rain from Fay as she gets caught up in the westerlies which remain located along the US-Canadian border. That puts us under an upper level ridge with the possibility of air mass showers through much of the end of the week.

The longer range projections keep the ridge with us well into the next week, however, the GFS suggests a sharpening of the upper pattern with a trough over the eastern US by the 7th of September. It also shows an increase in tropical activity with storms in the Pacific and the Atlantic.

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Thanks for staying tuned in to the Weather Xtreme Video. I’ll be filling in for Ashley this evening and then for Jason on Monday morning. I hope you have a nice weekend. Stay dry and God bless.

-Brian-

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