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WeatherBrains 451: Too Much In My Pocket

| 4:15 am September 16, 2014

WeatherBrains Episode 451 is now online (September 15, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight, we are honored to have a trio of young meteorologists on the program to talk about their role in weather for their social communities. Karl Schneider is the webmaster for the Huntsville Joint Chapter of the National Weather Association and American Meteorology Society. He is a co-owner of the US Weather Plus website. Lenny Mendola is a senior who is an administrator on Karl’s US Weather Page. He lives in Roseland NJ. And, Steve Hallet is a freshman at Penn State University. He is a website administrator for the Eastern PA Weather Authority.

This week’s guest panelist is Carl Schreck, who works with WeatherBrains alum Jarred Rennie at the NCDC in Asheville NC. He has been working recently on a project called Cyclone Center.

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Picks of the Week:

John Scala – Spectacular video of the aurora from last Friday as viewed from Mount Washington

Kevin Selle – OVATION Aurora – Aurora Forecast from NOAA

Rick Smith – Storify

James Spann – iPhone 6 barometer

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Janice Dean’s Freddy the Frogcaster book

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

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Active Storms Moving Across Alabama

| 3:47 pm September 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A number of strong storms are in progress over the North/Central part of Alabama this afternoon… heavier storms are producing heavy rain and lots of lighting as they move from west to east. The storms will die down late tonight.

Screen Shot 2014-09-15 at 3.37.29 PM

TOMORROW: A surface front will creep through North Alabama, so we will still mention some risk of a shower or thunderstorm, but the air tomorrow should be drier and more stable, so showers should be pretty widely spaced, and many communities won’t see any rain; the high will be in the mid 80s.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Fantastic weather Wednesday and Thursday; sunny days, fair cooler nights, and low humidity levels. Highs in the low to mid 80s; we should reach the upper 50s early Thursday morning. Some of the cooler pockets might even see low to mid 50s at daybreak Thursday. Friday should be dry for most of the state; we will keep an eye on a potential CAD setup (cold air damming) that could bring some clouds into East Alabama, but the possibility doesn’t look too high now.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn will play a Thursday night special this week in Manhattan, Kansas against Kansas State (6:30p CT kickoff); we project a temperature of 77 degrees at kickoff with only a small risk (15-20 percent) of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall into the low 70s by the fourth quarter.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks very nice; dry air will stay in place meaning sunny warm days and fair pleasant highs. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s, with lows in the low to mid 60s. No chance of rain.

NEXT WEEK: A weak cold front might trigger a few showers Monday, but for now it doesn’t look like a big rain event. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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TROPICAL WEATHER: Hurricane Edouard, in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, is packing sustained winds of 105 mph, and will remain far from land as it recurves. Hurricane Odile is moving northward over the Baja California peninsula of Mexico, and will be downgraded to a tropical storm tonight as it continues to weaken. Moisture from Odile could bring flash flooding to parts of Arizona and New Mexico later this week.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 4 to 6 hours of sunshine tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with scattered thunderstorms; then mostly sunny days, fair nights through the weekend with only very isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and sea water temperatures remain mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Moist Air Returns To Alabama

| 6:25 am September 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SHOWERS/STORMS LATER TODAY: Nothing on the radar at daybreak across Alabama; temperatures are in the low 60s over the Tennessee Valley, with low to mid 70s over the southern two-thirds of the state. We expect scattered showers and storms to fire up this afternoon and tonight… the chance of any one spot getting wet is in the 40-50 percent category. We will reach the low to mid 80s this afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds.

A drier airmass moves back into the state tomorrow, and there is only a small risk of a stray shower; most places will be dry.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: This three day stretch is looking dry and pleasant. The coolest morning will come early Thursday when many North Alabama communities will drop into the upper 50s; daytime highs will be in the 80s, but humidity levels will be low. The only potential fly in the ointment comes Friday when a cold air damming (CAD) pattern sets up over the eastern states; the “wedge” could creep into East Alabama with cooler temperatures, some clouds, and maybe a touch of light rain or drizzle. We won’t mention this in the forecast just yet… we will keep an eye on future model runs.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks very nice with a dry airmass in place. Sunny days, fair nights. Highs in the mid 80s, lows in the low to mid 60s. A weakening cold front might kick off a shower in a few places by Monday of next week, but for now it doesn’t look like a significant rain event. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn will play a Thursday night special this week in Manhattan, Kansas against Kansas State (6:30p CT kickoff); we project a temperature of 77 degrees at kickoff with only a small risk (15-20 percent) of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall into the low 70s by the fourth quarter.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is in the middle of the Atlantic with sustained winds of 105 mph; this will remain far from land as it recurves. The big story is over in the East Pacific; Hurricane Odile slammed into Cabo San Lucas and the southern tip of Baja California last night with sustained winds of 125 mph; it will weaken and move up the Baja peninsula today. Moisture from Odile could bring a flooding threat to parts of Arizona and New Mexica later this week.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Not much change this week on the coast; about 3 to 5 hours of sunshine today from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with one or two passing storms, then about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine on a daily basis tomorrow and Wednesday with scattered storms. Then, expect mostly sunny days and fair nights Thursday through the weekend with only a slight risk of a shower. Highs will be in the upper 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

TEN YEARS AGO TODAY: Hurricane Ivan was on the approach to the Alabama Gulf Coast…

NOAA-Hurricane-Ivan-09-15-2004-1515z

It would make landfall near Gulf Shores around 2:00 a.m. September 16, 2004 as a category three storm with sustained winds of near 120 mph. Damage to the Alabama coast was severe, and widespread.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!

Cold Front Sagging South

| 3:39 pm September 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD FRONT JUST NORTH OF BIRMINGHAM: Showers and strong storms with lots of lighting are in progress near the cold front over North Alabama this afternoon… moving east.

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The band of showers and storms will sag southward in coming hours, and most of the showers will south of I-20 by 6:00 p.m.

There is a big temperature contrast across Alabama due to the cold front; at mid-afternoon Tuscaloos was in the low 90s, but north of the front it was only 77 at Haleyville, and 76 at Russellville.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The front will become nearly stationary over the middle of Alabama tomorrow. The day should be mostly cloudy statewide, but the best chance of showers will come over the southern half of the state, south of the front. It will be noticeably cooler over North Alabama; many places there won’t get out of the 70s, but highs stay in the 80s with muggy conditions over the southern counties of the state.

Sunday looks mostly rain-free for the northern two-thirds of the state with a partly sunny sky and a high in the low to mid 80s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Again this week we have the risk of a passing shower or storm for high school games tonight, mainly from Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, and Anniston south. The showers and and storms will be scattered, so it won’t rain everywhere, but a few stadiums could see some rain. Temperatures will be close to 80 at kickoff, falling into the 70s by the fourth quarter. The chance of any one stadium seeing rain is in the 30-40 percent range along and south of I-20… few showers are expected to the north.

Alabama will host Southern Miss tomorrow evening (5:00p kickoff) at Bryant-Denny Stadium; at this point it looks like the sky will be occasionally cloudy, but the weather should be dry with a kickoff temperature near 83 degrees, falling through the 70s during the second half.

UAB hosts Alabama A&M tomorrow at Legion Field in Birmingham at 2:30p; the sky will be generally cloudy…. The temperature will be around 82 degrees at kickoff, falling into the mid 70s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The front dissipates, and a few scattered showers are possible Monday and Tuesday with highs in the low to mid 80s. Looks like the highest coverage of showers and storms next week will come on Wednesday thanks to a short wave, and possible moisture from a tropical wave in the Gulf of Mexico. Then, we trend drier Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A tropical wave is near Fort Myers, Florida this afternoon, and will move into the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and tomorrow. Winds aloft are not favorable for development in the short term, and it remains to be seen if anything can get it’s act together in that region. Still, some moisture from this wave could impact the Gulf Coast states next week.

Tropical Storm Edouard in the Central Atlantic will recurve into the open Atlantic and is no threat to land, but it should be a hurricane by Monday.

And, a new tropical wave is in the far East Atlantic south of the Cape Verde Islands… this will be moving west/northwest in coming days and is far form land.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Sunday with scattered thunderstorms; highs will be in the mid to upper 80s… sea water temperatures are also in the mid to upper 80s. The weather next week will be determined by the tropical wave in the Gulf… confidence in any specific solution at this point is low.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Cold Front Into North Alabama

| 6:15 am September 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WET AT TIMES TODAY: We begin the day with a number of showers and thunderstorms over the northern half of Alabama as the long awaited cold front has dipped into the state from the north. The front has pretty much “run out of gas”, so it will only creep slowly southward today and tonight.

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We will maintain the chance of occasional showers and thunderstorms through tonight, but after 6:00 or 7:00 this evening, the best chance of showers will be generally along and south of I-20 as a drier airmass sags into North Alabama.

TOMORROW: Somewhat of a challenging forecast with a front draped over Central Alabama, but confidence in the general idea is good. We start the day with clouds during the morning hours, and there could be a little light rain or drizzle. Then, the afternoon should be rain-free. But, clouds could very well linger much of the day. You might see a little sun tomorrow afternoon, but probably not much. It will be cooler… a number of North Alabama towns won’t get out of the 70s due to the cloud cover and cool air advection. Showers will remain possible over the southern half of Alabama tomorrow afternoon, south of the front.

SUNDAY: The day looks mostly dry for North and Central Alabama with a mix of sun and clouds. Again, showers remain possible over South Alabama, generally south of a line from Wedowee to Clanton to Thomasville. The high Sunday should be in the low to mid 80s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Again this week we have the risk of a passing shower or storm for high school games tonight, mainly from Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, and Anniston south. The showers and and storms will be scattered, so it won’t rain everywhere, but a few stadiums could see some rain. Temperatures will be in the low 80s at kickoff, falling into the 70s by the fourth quarter. The chance of any one stadium seeing rain is in the 30-40 percent range along and south of I-20… few showers are expected to the north.

Alabama will host Southern Miss tomorrow evening (5:00p kickoff) at Bryant-Denny Stadium; at this point it looks like the sky will be occasionally cloudy, but the weather should be dry with a kickoff temperature near 83 degrees, falling through the 70s during the second half.

UAB hosts Alabama A&M tomorrow at Legion Field in Birmingham at 2:30p; the sky will be generally cloudy with only a slight risk of a shower. The temperature will be around 85 degrees at kickoff, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The front dissipates, and moist air returns to North Alabama, so there will be some risk of showers on a daily basis. The 00Z GFS hints the best coverage of showers or storms could be on Wednesday, with a trend toward drier conditions Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Edouard over the Central Atlantic could become a hurricane next week, but it will recurve over the open Atlantic far from land.

A new disturbance has emerged off the coast of Africa, and is south of the Cape Verde Islands; no immediate development is expected there.

The wave of interest for us is centered near West Palm Beach, Florida this morning. It is very disorganized, and is drifting to the west. Models pretty much have two scenarios for this; one is a southern track that will bring the system toward the southern Texas coast, and the other possibility is a higher latitude one that shows recurvature into the Central Gulf Coast and the Southeast U.S. next week. The good news is that upper air winds will remain generally unfavorable for this to develop into a tropical storm, but even disorganized tropical waves can bring some very significant rain. Also remember the Gulf of Mexico has been untouched this hurricane season and there is plenty of latent heat energy. We will keep a close eye on it; but for now odds are relatively high it won’t impact the northern or central part of Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend with the daily threat of scattered storms; highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is a warm 87 degrees. The weather on the coast next week will be determined by the tropical wave discussed above.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!

Cold Front Into Tennessee

| 3:45 pm September 11, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers and storms have formed this afternoon across Alabama, most numerous over the Tennessee Valley, where parts of Limestone and Madison Counties are under a flash flood warning. We will maintain the chance of showers and thunderstorms tonight with the surface cold front just to the north over Tennessee…

TOMORROW: The front only creeps southward, and we stay in warm, moist air. We will forecast a mix of sun and clouds tomorrow, and maintain the threat of scattered showers and thunderstorms through tomorrow night. The rain won’t be continuous, and the sun should be out at times, but a passing shower or storm is possible at just about any hour. The sky will be occasionally cloudy with a high in the mid 80s.

SATURDAY: As discussed here in recent days, a very tricky forecast due to the fact that the front will stall out somewhere over North or Central Alabama. We will forecast clouds over much of Alabama Saturday morning with the chance of a little light rain or drizzle, then the sky becomes partly sunny by afternoon as drier air works into the state. Any showers Saturday afternoon, most likely, will be south of I-20, or south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston. Saturday’s high should be in the low to mid 80s, but some of the communities up in the Tennessee Valley could hold in the cool 70s all day with a nice north breeze.

SUNDAY: The front pretty much stays in the same place, so most North Alabama communities, along and north of I-20, will be dry, with the risk of showers continuing over Central and South Alabama, mainly south of I-20. Sunday’s high will be in the mid 80s with a partly sunny sky.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Again this week we have the risk of a passing shower or storm for high school games tonight and tomorrow night. The showers and and storms will be scattered, so it won’t rain everywhere, but a few stadiums could see some rain. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s at kickoff, falling into the 70s by the fourth quarter. The chance of any one stadium seeing rain is in the 30 percent range.

Alabama will host Southern Miss Saturday evening (5:00p kickoff) at Bryant-Denny Stadium; at this point it looks like the sky will be mostly fair with a kickoff temperature near 83 degrees, falling through the 70s during the second half.

UAB hosts Alabama A&M Saturday at Legion Field in Birmingham at 2:30p; the sky will be partly sunny with only a slight risk of a shower. The temperature will be around 85 degrees at kickoff, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The surface front will dissipate Sunday night, so moist air will move northward, and it looks like we will need to mention some risk of showers just about on a daily basis at least for the first half of the week. Highs will be generally in the low to mid 80s, about average for mid-September in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: Tropical Depression six has formed in the Central Atlantic; it should become Tropical Storm Edouard during the next 24 hours as it moves northwest. This will recurve into the open Atlantic well before getting close to the U.S. mainland.

Another tropical wave is just east of the Florida Peninsula… that will drift west into the eastern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Upper air winds are harsh, and for now the chance of development looks low, and we don’t expect this to be a player in Alabama weather.

AL92_current

We will keep an eye on it.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through the weekend on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with the usual risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the mid 80s, and the sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Cold Front Getting Closer

| 6:21 am September 11, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WARM AND HUMID THROUGH TOMORROW: We still have a rather tricky forecast for the weekend as a slow moving cold front will creep into Alabama late tomorrow and tomorrow night. Where it stops will determine the weather where you live, and that is a tough call. Let’s break it down one day at a time…

TODAY/TONIGHT: I think most of the day will be dry for North/Central Alabama, although a few isolated showers could pop up this afternoon. A band of showers and storms should creep into the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama late in the day, and those will move slowly southward tonight. The NWS in Memphis has issued a flash flood watch for their county warning area, but we don’t expect any flooding issues, or severe weather problems here as the dynamic support will be lifting out. High resolution model data hints the band of showers and storms will reach Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, and Gadsden in the 9 to 11 p.m. time frame if it holds together. The high today should be in the upper 80s for most communities.

TOMORROW: The front will be close to the Alabama/Tennessee border, so we stay in moist air. The day should feature a mix of sun and clouds, and we will mention scattered showers and thunderstorms. No “all day” rain, but a shower or storm is possible at just about any hour of the day, or tomorrow night. The high will be in the mid 80s, about average for mid-September in Alabama.

SATURDAY: This is the difficult part of the forecast. The front will drift down toward I-59 and stop, meaning a fairly sharp contrast between the dry air north of the front, and the humid air to the south. The day should begin with a mostly cloudy sky along with the chance of a little drizzle in spots… then the sun breaks out by mid to late morning. During the afternoon and evening hours, using data from the GFS and the high resolution NAM model, it looks like the best chance of showers will come south of I-59. Places like Anniston, Talladega, Sylacauga, Clanton, and Lineville could very well see a few showers Saturday afternoon. But, from Birmingham north and west, the afternoon should be dry with a partly sunny sky and slightly lower humidity levels. The high should be in the low to mid 80s.

SUNDAY: The front pretty much stays in the same place, so the northern half of the state should be generally dry, but South Alabama will have a continued risk of showers with a high in the mid 80s again.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Again this week we have the risk of a passing shower or storm for high school games tonight and tomorrow night. The showers and and storms will be scattered, so it won’t rain everywhere, but a few stadiums could see some rain. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s at kickoff, falling into the 70s by the fourth quarter. The chance of any one stadium seeing rain is in the 30 percent range.

Alabama will host Southern Miss Saturday evening (5:00p kickoff) at Bryant-Denny Stadium; at this point it looks like the sky will be mostly fair with a kickoff temperature near 83 degrees, falling through the 70s during the second half.

UAB hosts Alabama A&M Saturday at Legion Field in Birmingham at 2:30p; the sky will be partly sunny with only a slight risk of a shower. The temperature will be around 86 degrees at kickoff, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Seems to be a rather quiet week; the front will dissipate, and we might see a few widely scatterer showers or a day or two, but no widespread rain is expected, and highs should be in the low to mid 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A disturbance in the eastern Atlantic could become a tropical storm over the weekend, but it will recurve harmlessly over the open Atlantic and is no threat to land. Another disturbance is over the northern Bahamas; most dynamic models push this westward across the Florida peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico in coming days, but conditions are only marginal for development there. Still, we will keep an eye on it.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: We still expect about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, with the daily risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day…

Still Humid Through Friday

| 3:45 pm September 10, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: As expected, showers are very isolated across Alabama this afternoon; most communities are dry.

Screen Shot 2014-09-10 at 3.30.15 PM

Temperatures are mostly in the upper 80s.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: The long awaited cold front to the north will creep southward, and should near the Tennessee border Friday. An organized band of showers and storms should enter far North Alabama tomorrow evening, drifting southward. The high resolution NAM model puts the band of showers and storms into the Tuscaloosa/Birmingham/Anniston areas by around 10:00 tomorrow night. No severe weather is expected with the main dynamic support well to the north.

The front will stall out Friday, keeping most of the state in warm, moist air. We will mention scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday and Friday night with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the mid 80s in most communities.

TRICKY WEEKEND FORECAST: Still a challenging weekend forecast. A good chance the Tennessee Valley (places like Florence, Decatur, Athens, Huntsville, and Scottsboro) will be rain-free Saturday with lower humidity, but as you work your way south you get back into moist air. We figure the boundary will be somewhere near I-59, so we will keep the risk of a shower or storm in the forecast Saturday from Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Gadsden, and points south. The best coverage of showers should be over the southern half of the state.

Sunday the front will drift south and slowly lose it’s identity. I think most of North and Central Alabama will be dry with only an outside risk of a shower. Highs over the weekend will be in the low to mid 80s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Again this week we have the risk of a passing shower or storm for high school games tomorrow and Friday night. The showers and and storms will be scattered, so it won’t rain everywhere, but a few stadiums could see some rain. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s at kickoff, falling into the 70s by the fourth quarter. The chance of any one stadium seeing rain is in the 30 percent range.

Alabama will host Southern Miss Saturday evening (5:00p kickoff) at Bryant-Denny Stadium; I can’t rule out a shower in Tuscaloosa during this game, but I am a little more confident the game will be played with no major rain issues. The kickoff temperature will be near 83 degrees, dropping into the 70s during the second half.

UAB hosts Alabama A&M Saturday at Legion Field in Birmingham at 2:30p; the sky will be occasionally cloudy, and a passing shower or storm is possible during the game. The temperature will be around 86 degrees at kickoff, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The week looks pretty quiet here with few, if any showers and temperatures near seasonal averages for the middle part of September with highs in the low to mid 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The disturbance in the East Atlantic has a chance of becoming Tropical Storm Edouard in coming days, but it will recurve harmlessly into the open Atlantic well before getting close to the U.S. mainland.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Not much change through the weekend; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a few scattered storms each day. Highs will be in the upper 80s, with sea water temperatures in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….