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Dry Through Thursday

| 3:28 pm August 26, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

NICE LATE SUMMER DAY: Under a sunny sky, temperatures are generally in the 87 to 91 degree range across the great state of Alabama this afternoon. Birmingham reports 88 degrees at 2p CT with a dew point of 61, which is very comfortable for late August in our state.

Temperatures-5

Tonight will be pleasant; most communities will see a low in the mid 60s early tomorrow, but some of the cooler pockets across Northeast Alabama could see upper 50s.

Looks like we stay dry tomorrow through Friday with mostly sunny days and fair nights. Highs in the low 90s, lows in the 60s. Models keep trending dry on Friday, so we have taken out that small risk of an afternoon shower for now. Looks like rain-free weather for the high school football games across the state Thursday and Friday night.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moisture returns, and we will mention the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday through Monday with a mix of sun and clouds each day. Highs 87 to 90, and the risk of any one spot getting wet each day is in the 30-40 percent range. No wash-out, but just be aware a passing shower or storm is possible if you have something planned outdoors.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be partly sunny, and there is about a one in three risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 88, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a brief shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy State at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… partly sunny with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through Thursday. Then, for Friday and the holiday weekend, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87-90 degree range, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is packing sustained winds of 75 mph, and will pass west of Bermuda tomorrow on the journey to the North Atlantic. No threat to land. We will watch a disturbance over the NW Gulf of Mexico and the Central Atlantic, but both are very disorganized for now and immediate development is not expected. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I enjoyed seeing everyone at the Urban Center today at Liberty Park… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Dry Through Mid-Week

| 6:05 am August 26, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

LOWER HUMIDITY: A fairly pleasant late August weather pattern will set up across Alabama through mid-week thanks to a dry airmass in place. We project mostly sunny days and fair nights through Thursday with low humidity and comfortable early mornings. Some of the cooler pockets across Northeast Alabama could visit the upper 50s at daybreak tomorrow. Afternoon highs will be close to 90 degrees, right at seasonal levels for this time of the year.

Moisture levels will begin to rise late this week, and a few spots could see an afternoon shower, but the latest GFS looks pretty dry. Low 90s are likely Friday afternoon.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist, unstable air will be in place, and we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds Saturday and Sunday with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. No wash-out, but a passing storm is very possible both days with a high between 87 and 91 degrees. Scattered storms should become fewer in number on Monday as the upper ridge begins to rebuild across the region.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Thursday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Then, for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the risk of scattered thunderstorms. Storms become fewer in number by Monday. Highs on the coast will be in the 87-90 degree range, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

TROPICS: Cristobal is a minimal hurricane in the Atlantic, and will pass between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda tomorrow as it moves north; then it turns northeast out toward the North Atlantic. No threat to land. And, in the Central Atlantic, a weak disturbance is about halfway between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. This is surrounded by dry air, and the models have pretty much lost it for now. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps and graphics.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I will be doing a severe weather safety program today for the employees at the Urban Center in Liberty Park… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Dry Air Settles Into Alabama

| 3:30 pm August 25, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Nothing showing up on the radar at mid-afternoon across the great state of Alabama. We will maintain the risk of scattered storms over the western counties through the evening hours, but drier air continues to work here from the east, and will set the stage for rain-free weather through mid-week.

Heat levels, as expected, are considerably lower across the state today, with readings mostly in the 85 to 90 degree range.

Temperatures

MID-WEEK: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and lower humidity levels tomorrow through Thursday. Highs around 90; lows in the 60s. Coolest morning will come early Wednesday with mid 60s for most communities; cooler pockets over Northeast Alabama might make a run at the upper 50s.

FRIDAY AND THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moisture levels begin to rise Friday, and a few spots could see an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Then, for the holiday weekend, we are forecasting a mix of sun and clouds each day Saturday through Monday with scattered showers and thunderstorms. This won’t be a “wash out”, but if you have something planned outdoors just be aware that you will deal with a passing shower or storm from time to time, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Thursday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Then, for Friday and the Labor Day weekend, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of scattered thunderstorms. The only potential fly in the ointment is the disturbance over the northern Gulf of Mexico; for now it is very disorganized, but we will keep an eye on it.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Cristobal looks very unhealthy with the circulation center pretty much exposed; it is just east of the Bahamas. It will move north, and then northeast, staying away from the U.S. this week, but NHC still expects it to become a minimal hurricane by Wednesday between the U.S. Atlantic coast and Bermuda.

A disturbance in the Atlantic between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles has some potential for slow development later this week, but dry air surrounds the system and it looks very disorganized for now. It should be near, or north of Puerto Rico this weekend. Too early to determine if this will recurve into the open Atlantic, or keep trucking toward the Southeast U.S.

Over in the East Pacific, Hurricane Marie is packing sustained winds of 140 mph, but will weaken as it moves northwest. Still, swells and rough surf will impact the coasts of Baja California and Southern California later this week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps and graphics concerning the tropical weather situation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Not As Hot This Week

| 6:18 am August 25, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: One lone shower was over Alabama at daybreak over West Alabama’s Pickens County, moving southwest into Mississippi. We will continue to mention a risk of scattered storms today, but they should be most numerous over the western half of the state, where deeper moisture is in place. The chance of any one spot getting wet west of I-65 today is about one in three. The high will be close to 90 degrees; some places won’t make it out of the 80s.

MID-WEEK: Drier air moves into Alabama from the east tonight, and we will be dry tomorrow through Thursday with sunny days, fair cooler nights, and lower humidity levels. Highs will be close to 90 degrees, but morning lows will drop into the 60s. Coolest morning should come early Wednesday with mid 60s likely… we just might see a few upper 50s across the cooler pockets of Northeast Alabama.

FRIDAY AND THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air begins to return Friday, and a few spots could see an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Then, for the holiday weekend, we project a mix of sun and clouds Saturday through Monday with the daily risk of “scattered showers and thunderstorms”. This doesn’t imply a “wash out” or “rainy weekend”, but no doubt we will deal with a few passing storms along the way. Highs over the weekend will be in the 88 to 91 degree range, about average for late August and early September in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: We project mostly sunny days and fair nights on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Thursday. For the Labor Day weekend, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day in this zone with the daily risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the 88-92 degree range, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Pensacola Beach is 87 degrees.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Cristobal, over the Southeast Bahamas, is expected to become a hurricane tomorrow night, but it will recurve into the Atlantic and is no threat to the U.S.

090639W5_NL_sm

A tropical wave is over the Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles; some chance of slow development later this week.

And, in the Pacific, Hurricane Marie is packing sustained winds of 145 mph well off the coast of Mexico, but this will weaken quickly over cooler water in coming days as it moves north/northwest. Swells and rough surf from this will impact the Southern California coast later this week. See the Weather Xtreme video for more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Dog Day Afternoon

| 3:35 pm August 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A few isolated showers have formed over East Alabama as of 3:30 this afternoon… the are showing little movement. Isolated showers and storms will remain possible through the evening hours, but most places will stay dry on this hot August day. Temperatures are mostly in the mid 90s…

Temperatures

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Not much overall change; highs will be in the mid to upper 90s tomorrow, with low to mid 90s Sunday. The risk of a storm tomorrow afternoon is only about 15 percent for any one given location. We continue to see evidence that afternoon storms could be a little more numerous Sunday, especially over North and East Alabama, but they will still be scattered in nature.

NEXT WEEK: Scattered showers and storms will increase statewide on Monday, and the weather won’t be as hot with a high around 90 degrees as the upper ridge weakens. Tuesday and Wednesday look relatively dry, but showers and storms increase again Thursday as a cold front approaches. Looks like a chance we see lower humidity levels by Friday of next week with cooler nights thanks to a nice upper trough moving through the eastern third of the nation. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A fine weekend ahead from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with sunny days, fair nights, and only very isolated showers. Next week will feature about 7 to 9 hours of sun each day with widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be from 87 to 91, with mid 90s inland. Really too early for a specific Labor Day weekend forecast, but for now we don’t see any unusual weather for the coast.

TROPICS: The disturbance on the northern coast of Hispaniola is expected to develop into a tropical storm over the weekend; it is no threat to the Gulf of Mexico, and most models recurve this one out in to the open Atlantic, but those along the Atlantic coast of Florida will need to keep an eye on this one just in case. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here Monday morning by 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

The Heat Is On; Storms Stay Isolated

| 6:11 am August 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

HOT, HAZY, HUMID: An upper high is building across the Deep South, and we expect the hottest weekend so far this summer in the days ahead with afternoon highs in the 95-99 degree range for most communities across North/Central Alabama. Afternoon thunderstorms are possible, but like yesterday they will be very isolated in nature. The chance of any one spot seeing a storm through the weekend is only in the 10-20 percent range. But, where they do form, they will pack a punch.

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL: Not exactly a cool, crisp night for the games across the state tonight; the kickoff temperature will be between 87 and 90 for most high school stadiums, falling to near 80 by the final whistle. An evening thunderstorm can’t be ruled out, but the odds of any one stadium getting wet is only about 15 percent.

NEXT WEEK: Heat levels fall as the upper high weakens; afternoon highs will be around 90 degrees much of the week. We also expect an increase in the number of scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday as the air aloft becomes colder. The GFS hints Tuesday and Wednesday will be relatively dry, followed by an increase in showers/storms Thursday ahead of a cold front. Then, some chance we will enjoy lower humidity levels and cooler nights at the end of the week and the beginning of the Labor Day weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Look for mostly sunny days and fair nights from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Sunday with only isolated storms; highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87-91 degree range, with mid 90s inland. Too early for a specific Labor Day forecast, but for now we don’t see anything unusual impacting the region.

TROPICS: The disturbance near the Leeward Islands still have a chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next few days; if anything forms there it will recurve, most likely, into the open Atlantic east of the U.S. mainland.

AL96_current

The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Hazy Sun; Isolated Thunderstorms

| 3:43 pm August 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: While a large part of Alabama is rain-free today, a few strong storms have popped up over the central and eastern counties of the state. They are moving very slowly to the southeast…

Screen Shot 2014-08-21 at 3.33.05 PM

Away from those storms, temperatures are mostly in the low to mid 90s with a mix of sun and clouds.

HOT THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Not much change in the overall thinking. An upper high will build across the Deep South, meaning afternoon highs tomorrow through Sunday will be generally in the mid to upper 90s. The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a “heat advisory” for their county warning area due to the heat and humidity. Partly sunny days, fair nights, and the risk of isolated thunderstorms each afternoon. The chance of any one spot specifically seeing a thunderstorm will be in the 10-20 percent range during the afternoon and evening hours.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Not exactly the most comfortable time to start high school football in Alabama; we project kickoff temperatures in the 87 to 90 degree range tonight and tomorrow night, then falling through the 80s during the games, possibly reaching the upper 70s by the final whistle. The chance of any one stadium seeing a thunderstorm is about 15 percent both evenings.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge begins to break down, so expect heat levels to fall with scattered showers and storms becoming more numerous. Parts of North Alabama might not make it out of the 80s Monday and Tuesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Looks great from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with mostly sunny days and fair nights; any thunderstorms will be very isolated. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87 to 91 degree range, with mid 90s inland.

TROPICS: The disturbance nearing the Leeward Islands still has some potential to become a tropical storm in coming days, but all tropical and global models turn this northward before reaching the Gulf of Mexico, and there is a high probability it will recurve into the Atlantic without threatening the U.S. mainland. Maps and graphics on the Weather Xtreme video.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Hot, Hazy Summer Days

| 6:12 am August 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AUGUST IN ALABAMA: An upper high building over the Deep South will set up the hottest five day stretch of the summer for our state; we are projecting highs in the mid to upper 90s today through the weekend. Hot hazy days, mostly fair nights.

As always, a thunderstorm is possible during the afternoon and evening hours in a hot pattern like this, but they will be widely spaced, and the actual chance of your lawn getting wet is in the 10-20 percent range each day.

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL: The season kicks off for our state this week, with most games tomorrow night, and a few tonight. Both nights expect a kickoff temperature in the 87-90 degree range; the chance of a storm at any one specific stadium is about one in ten. Humidity levels will be high, and it sure won’t feel very comfortable. But then again, that is what you get when you play football in August in Alabama.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge weakens as a big trough approaches from the west, and heat levels will drop with a gradual increase in the number of scattered thunderstorms. Some chance a cold front pushes through late in the week with a reduction in humidity levels and cooler nights. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated thunderstorms for the stretch from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend. Highs will be in the 87-90 degree range on the immediate coast, with mid to upper 90s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 86 degrees.

Way too early to forecast weather on the coast for the Labor Day weekend, but we see no evidence now in media range modeling of any tropical issues for the Gulf Coast through early September.

TROPICAL WEATHER: The wave approaching the Lesser Antilles seems to be developing a CDO (central dense overcast) early this morning, and a tropical depression could form in that region within 48 hours. Models continue to trend eastward, and now all tropical and global models suggest this will not be a problem for the Gulf of Mexico.

AL96_current

Still, there will be a good bit of uncertainty in this until a well defined center can develop. See the Weather Xtreme video for more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day.