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New Record Lows

| 6:50 am July 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL MID-SUMMER MORNING: What a fall preview this morning. Here are some temperatures across Alabama at daybreak, and keep in mind this is the 17th of July…

Fort Payne 52
Valley Head 52
Russellville 55
Coldwater 56
Gadsden 57
Concord 58
Cottondale 58
Anniston 59
Birmingham 61
Tuscaloosa 63

Birmingham, with 61 degrees at 6:00, has established a new record low for July 17… the cold record was 62 in 1965.

Today will be another delightful day with ample sunshine through high clouds and a high in the mid 80s. Those high clouds produced quite the sunrise early this morning… this photo was over Birmingham from @ductst on Twitter

ducst_2014-Jul-17

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Moist air returns tonight, and we will deal with rain at times on these three days. The latest model runs are now suggesting rain could break out across North Alabama as early as tomorrow morning, and we will bump up the risk of rain during the day. A few showers and thunderstorms are likely tomorrow night and Saturday as wave energy approaches from the west. The rain on Saturday won’t be continuous, however, and the sun could break out at times. Just keep in mind it could rain at any hour of the day if you have something planned outdoors. The high Saturday will be in the low to mid 80s due to the clouds and showers.

Showers and storms should become more scattered in nature Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds, and a high in the upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: Look for partly sunny weather Monday through Wednesday with the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs back up around 90 degrees. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A good supply of sunshine today from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only a small risk of a shower… then for tomorrow and the weekend expect about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the daily risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs along the coast will stay mostly in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Will be speaking to a group this morning at First Baptist Church of Cullman… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Record Lows Likely Early Tomorrow

| 5:39 am July 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FEELING GOOD: As advertised, a dry, continental airmass now covers most of Alabama, and we are starting the day with temperatures mostly in the upper 50s and low 60s. Cooler spots early this morning include Russellville with 54, and Valley Head with 55 degrees. The day ahead will feature sunshine in full supply with low humidity and a high only in the low to mid 80s. A very nice fall preview.

Early tomorrow, we project a low in the 57-61 degree range… for Birmingham this will mean a new record low if the forecast verifies since the current record for July 17 is 62 set in 1965. Both the NAM and the GFS are printing 59 degrees for Birmingham at daybreak tomorrow. The day tomorrow will be sunny, humidity values will remain low, and the high should be in the mid 80s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Looks like the bulk of the rain will stay west of Alabama on Friday, so we will just mention an outside risk of a shower late in the day. Expect a partly sunny sky with a high in the upper 80s Friday afternoon. Then, deeper moisture arrives for the weekend, and there will be a risk of showers and thunderstorms both Saturday and Sunday. The rain won’t be continuous, and like all summer days the rain distribution won’t be even, but many places will see over one inch of rain over the weekend.

The sky will be mostly cloudy both days with highs in the mid 80s.

We will mention scattered showers and storms each day through next week with a mix of sun and clouds… temperatures will creep back up toward the 90 degree mark. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A passing storm is possible this morning along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores, otherwise mostly sunny weather is likely today and tomorrow. Then, for Friday and the weekend, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperatures are generally in the mid 80s.

TROPICAL WEATHER: All remains very quiet across the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

two_atl_2d0

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be speaking to a group of kids at Pump It Up in Trussville this morning… then I will be traveling this afternoon, so no afternoon discussion or Weather Xtreme video. The next video will be posted here bright and early tomorrow by 7:00 a.m. Enjoy the day!

Cooler, Drier Arrives Tonight

| 3:43 pm July 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD FRONT INTO NORTH ALABAMA: The cold front is just north of Birmingham as I write this… the dew point up at Muscle Shoals has dropped to 46 with a north wind of 10 mph, gusting to 16 mph. The dew point at the Birmingham Airport is still 69… but it will drop like a rock in coming hours as drier air rushes into the state.

Showers and storms are in progress along and south of the front… those will end this evening as the dry air takes over.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: About as nice as it ever gets in Alabama in the middle of July. Sunny days, low humidity levels, and cool nights. We project lows in the 57 to 61 degree range both tomorrow and Thursday morning, with even cooler temperatures across the colder valleys of North Alabama. Birmingham’s record low for July 17… 62 set in 1965… is very much in danger.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The GFS continues to trend slower with the moisture return at the end of the week, and now suggests a decent part of the day Friday could be rain-free. We will mention the chance of a storm late Friday afternoon and Friday night, and then the weekend looks rather unsettled with occasional showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. WPC grids suggest rain amounts over the weekend could be in the three inch category over the northern half of Alabama, so more beneficial summer rain looks likely.

Screen Shot 2014-07-15 at 3.37.02 PM

The high Saturday and Sunday will be only in the mid 80s due to the clouds and showers.

NEXT WEEK: An intense heat bubble will develop over the Southwest U.S… but around here the air remains moist and unstable, and scattered showers and storms remain possible at least for the first half of the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather tomorrow and Thursday with only isolated showers for Gulf Shores and Pensacola… a little higher risk of a storm or two near Panama City. Then, for the entire Central Gulf Coast Friday through the weekend… about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs along the immediate coast will remain in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet and tropical storm formation is expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Rare Mid-July Cold Front Getting Closer

| 6:23 am July 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ON THE MAPS: The cold front is near Memphis, and moving in our direction at daybreak…

Screen Shot 2014-07-15 at 5.48.30 AM

Behind the front, Kansas City has reported a record low of 54 degrees… and in North Dakota the community of Hettinger reported a chilly 39 degrees at 6:00 a.m. CT. And, yes, this is the middle of July.

Here in Alabama, we will maintain the chance of showers and storms today, but it won’t rain all day, and the rain distribution won’t be very even. The sky will be mostly cloudy with a high in the mid 80s… the 90s are gone for a while. The sky becomes clear tonight as dry air takes over.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: Delightful weather, with mostly sunny days, low humidity, and cooler nights. For places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston, the early morning lows will be close to 60 degrees, but to the north 50s are likely over the northern third of Alabama both mornings. Birmingham’s record low of 62 degrees for July 17 (set in 1965) of 62 degrees is very much in danger.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Moisture surges northward late in the week, and showers and storms are possible by Friday afternoon. Weather for the weekend will be wet at times with occasional showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. The sky will be generally cloudy with only a limited amount of sun, and highs will be in the mid 80s.

The chance of showers and storms will continue early next week as the big heat bubble will be well to the west of here, over the western U.S. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few showers and storms are likely today from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but there will be some sun at times. Then, the weather looks mostly dry tomorrow and Thursday with only isolated showers or storms. Then, for Friday and the weekend, expect about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 83 degrees.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

WeatherBrains 442: Eskimo Bad Breath

| 4:45 am July 15, 2014

WeatherBrains Episode 442 is now online (June 14, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Guest WeatherBrains for this episode include a new face and a veteran face. Joining us tonight are Mark Suddth of HurricaneTrack.com who just completed a hurricane chase on Arthur. Mark has joined us on WeatherBrains before, so he is the veteran face.

Joining us for the first time is Blake Naftel, a huge weather enthusiast with 17 years in television news including having been an avid storm chaser since 1997. Blake knew Tim and Carl, the chasers killed in the El Reno, OK, tornado last year, and in November he started floating the idea of a film/documentary on storm chasing. The idea went forward as a KickStarter project, see the link below, and got fantastic support in just a few days.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: There is no WeatherBrains 101 for this episode.

TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at weather for the week of July 14th.

Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 442:

Kickstarter Project – Storm Chasing Anthology

HurricaneTrack.com

Picks of the Week:

Nate Johnson –

Bill Murray –

John Scala – Myth Crushers on Lightning

Rick Smith –

James Spann – Viewers outraged at tornado coverage during World Cup soccer match (Language warning!)

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, John Scala, and Rick Smith. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Audible.com graphic

Storms Tonight; Cooler Through Mid-Week

| 3:36 pm July 14, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BIG CHANGES AHEAD: A high amplitude upper air pattern is developing over the continental U.S…. and a deep upper trough over the eastern states promises to bring some unusual weather for July. Ahead of the cold front, showers and storms will impact the state tonight and tomorrow. North of here, SPC has a severe thunderstorm watch up until 8pm CT for parts of Mississippi, Tennessee, and Arkansas…

ww0419_radar_big

The storms will move into our state tonight, but they should be weakening as they drop south. Still, a few strong storms are certainly possible over the northern third of the state with gusty winds and some small hail. The storms should reach Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden after midnight.

TOMORROW: Showers and storms during the morning should taper off during the midday hours as drier air begins to move into North Alabama, and you will notice a real difference tomorrow night; we will drop into the 57-61 degree range by daybreak Wednesday.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: These two days will be delightful for the middle of July. Mostly sunny days, lower humidity levels, and cool nights. Thursday morning will be cool as well with 50s likely for colder pockets. The record low (at Birmingham) for July 17 is in danger… the current record is 62 set in 1965.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The weather changes again as moisture surges northward Thursday night, and we will forecast occasional showers and thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. The sky will be mostly cloudy both days with highs in the mid 80s. A chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue on Sunday, although the showers could be fewer in number by then with intervals of sunshine returning.

NEXT WEEK: A strong upper high will be anchored over the Southwest U.S. where there will be searing heat… we will be on the eastern flank of the upper high with a northwest flow aloft. This should keep our weather unsettled at least for the first half of the week with waves coming down from the northwest. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few passing showers and storms are likely tomorrow along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores, but it won’t rain all day and the sun will be out at times. Then, Wednesday through the weekend, pretty routine summer weather can be expected with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with a few scattered storms around as usual. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the kids in the summer program at Clay Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Big Weather Changes Ahead

| 6:35 am July 14, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

STILL HOT TODAY: We have a few small, isolated showers on radar at daybreak over East Alabama’s Calhoun, Cleburne, and Cherokee Counties… otherwise it is a warm, muggy morning with temperatures in the 70s. Look for a high in the low to mid 90s again today with a mix of sun and clouds… and like recent days a few storms could pop up during the heat of the day in widely scattered places.

COLD FRONT AHEAD: We sure don’t use the words “cold front” too often in mid-July, but a strong upper trough over the eastern U.S. will drive one down our way, and ahead of it we expect a good chance of showers and thunderstorms tonight and into part of the day tomorrow. The organized band of storms could enter the far northern part of Alabama around 6-7 p.m…. for North-Central Alabama (Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, Gadsden), models hint the primary window for rain will come from 9:00 tonight through 12:00 noon tomorrow.

SPC has a “slight risk” of severe weather in place tonight for Tennessee, but the storms should be weakening as they move into North Alabama, and for now organized severe weather is not likely. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely, but remember rain distribution with summer events is often not very even, so some could see more, and some could see less.

REFRESHING WEATHER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY: Drier, cooler air moves into the state tomorrow night, and we project lows in the 57-61 degree range at daybreak Wednesday and Thursday. Some of the cooler pockets across North Alabama could see low to mid 50s, something you surely don’t see often in the midst of summer around here.

For Birmingham… here are the record lows for mid-week

July 16 55 set in 1967
July 17 62 set in 1965

That July 17 record could be in danger early Thursday morning. Look for a mostly sunny sky Wednesday and Thursday with low humidity and a high in the mid 80s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: More quick changes. Moist air will surge northward Thursday night, and these three days are looking relatively wet with occasional showers and thunderstorms. The sky will be generally cloudy with only a limited amount of sunshine.

And, the wet pattern continues into early next week as a disturbed northwest flow aloft sets up across the Deep South. Average rain amounts over the next seven days over North Alabama will be in the two to four inch range…

Screen_Shot_2014-07-14_at_6_26_21_AM

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds with scattered showers and thunderstorms from Panama City west to Gulf Shores… showers and storms will be more numerous tomorrow, then thinning out on Wednesday and Thursday with increasing amounts of sunshine. At this point the weather looks pretty routine Friday through Sunday on the coast, with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs will remain mostly in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 83 degrees.

Tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather talk today for kids in a summer program at Clay Elementary School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Hot Weekend; Big Changes Next Week

| 3:22 pm July 11, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

RADAR CHECK: As expected, not much action this afternoon. We have a few isolated showers over the far eastern part of the state, and they are drifting south…

Screen Shot 2014-07-11 at 3.15.05 PM

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: An upper ridge will mean hot and mostly dry weather for our state tomorrow and Sunday; highs in the 92-95 degree range with hazy sunshine. A few afternoon showers or storms can always fire up on a summer afternoon around here, but they should be few and far between.

NEXT WEEK: The ridge moves west, and models continue to develop a strong, long wave upper trough for mid-summer over the eastern half of the nation. Afternoon showers and storms are possible Monday, with showers and storms become more widespread Tuesday in advance of a cold front pushing down from the north.

A nice dose of dry, continental air should invade Alabama Wednesday through Friday with lower humidity and cooler nights. Looks like we might make a run at record lows early Thursday morning with temperatures reaching the 58-62 degree range. Highs over the latter half of the week will be in the 80s with low humidity levels. Very refreshing for July.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine along the Alabama Gulf Coast through Monday with only widely scattered storms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s. Showers and thunderstorms will be more likely on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores by Tuesday. The image below is from Orange Beach this afternoon… photo from @ringram2077

ringram2077_2014-Jul-11

TROPICS: All remains quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend across the Atlantic basin.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here Monday morning by 7:00…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!