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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

James Spann

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Rain Moves Back In By Friday Afternoon

| 6:20 am December 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL AND DRY: Not much change in the Alabama weather situation today; temperatures will be a little cooler with a high between 50 and 55 degrees for most places. The air stays dry, and we will enjoy a decent amount of sunshine through scattered clouds. Pretty much the same situation tomorrow; we might consider a slight risk of a shower during the afternoon as moisture levels rise, but for now we won’t mention it in the forecast.

WET WEATHER RETURNS: A significant storm system will bring rain into Alabama as the weekend begins. Rain will move in from the southwest Friday afternoon, and a widespread, soaking rain is likely Friday night. The guys at SPC has a “marginal” severe weather risk defined for the Gulf Coast region just south of the projected surface low track, but we do not expect any severe weather problems for the northern two-thirds of Alabama.

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The rain will end from west to east during the midday hours Saturday; average rain amounts of one inch are likely, with potential for heavier totals in a few places. The sky will clear Saturday night as dry air returns to the state, and Sunday will be a dry, pleasant day with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the upper 50s.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: Monday will stay rain-free with a high well into the 50s, but a cold front will bring rain back into the state late Tuesday and Tuesday night. A little thunder is possible, but again no severe weather is expected with a stable airmass in place.

Colder air blows into the state on Christmas Eve (Wednesday); the last few global model runs have come in colder, but this is not cross-polar air. We project a high in the mid 40s Wednesday with a chilly north wind of 10-20 mph. There could be a few snow flurries Wednesday morning over the northern quarter of Alabama in the colder air, but the deeper moisture will be long gone, and for now it doesn’t look like anything significant (sorry, for those of you dreaming of a you know what).

Christmas Day on Thursday looks dry with a cold morning… temperatures should be in the 20s early in the day, then we rise into the low 50s  by afternoon with a partly to mostly sunny sky.

Another shot of colder air will arrive Friday, and for now it looks like that surface front will come with no rain. Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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TOYS FOR TOTS MARATHON: I will be live at Legacy BBQ on Highway 150 in Hoover today on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00 as we wrap up the annual 26 hour Toys for Tots marathon… please consider coming by at any time today and bringing a new, unwrapped toy. The U.S. Marines will be delivering the toys to families in need next week. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Rain Returns Late In The Week

| 4:15 pm December 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL AND DRY THROUGH MID-WEEK: Alabama’s weather won’t change much through Thursday. Dry and cool; highs in the 50s, lows in the 30s, right at seasonal averages for the middle part of December. We expect a mix of sun and clouds both days; we might consider a slight risk of a shower Thursday afternoon as moisture begins to return, but for now the chance of any one spot getting wet looks very small.

NEXT RAIN EVENT: Clouds will thicken during the day Friday, and rain will move into Alabama from the southwest Friday afternoon. That rain becomes widespread Friday night and into at least a part of the day Saturday as a surface low moves across South Alabama. At this time we expect rain amounts close to one inch, and no threat of severe weather. The rain will end from west to east Saturday afternoon as the low moves northeast into Georgia. Afternoon highs Friday and Saturday should remain in the 50s.

Sunday will be a dry day for the state, with sunshine through scattered clouds and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: Dry weather continues Monday with a partly sunny sky and a high between 55 and 60. A cold front will pass through the state late Tuesday and Tuesday night, but with limited moisture it looks like rain amounts will be very light and spotty; the system is a “clipper” that originates in Canada, and rarely brings deep moisture.

Wednesday looks colder and dry with a high between 45 and 49 degrees, then for Christmas Day on Thursday expect a partly sunny sky with a high in the 50s. For now we see no reason to forecast any chance of precipitation; sorry snow fans. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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TOYS FOR TOTS: Our annual 26 hour final drive begins this evening; we are at Legacy BBQ on Highway 150, just west of the Galleria; please consider bringing a new, unwrapped toy by to help local families in need. It all wraps up tomorrow at 6:00… I will be there at 4, 5, 6, and 10:00 live on ABC 33/40 tonight.

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Dry And Cool Through Mid-Week

| 6:18 am December 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRIER AIR RETURNS TO ALABAMA: Showers this morning are now generally east of I-65, and south of I-85, with a clearing sky over the northern half of the state.  We project a partly sunny sky today and tomorrow with highs in the 50s, right at seasonal averages for mid-December in Alabama. Moisture levels begins to rise Thursday, and we will bring in a small risk of a shower, but much of the day should be dry.

NEXT RAIN EVENT: It comes as the weekend begins. A fairly vigorous wave will push rain in Alabama Friday afternoon, becoming widespread Friday night into Saturday morning. The latest GFS moves the surface low through South Alabama, meaning no severe weather worries for the northern two-thirds of the state. But, it should be a good rain event with amounts around one inch likely; some spots could see a little more. The rain will end from west to east during the midday hours Saturday, followed by drier air Saturday night and Sunday. Highs stay in the 50s over the weekend.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The weather here looks pretty quiet for now. A cold front will pass through Tuesday night or early Wednesday (December 23-24), and that might bring a shower or two, but at this moment it doesn’t look like a big rain event. Most of Christmas Eve looks dry, but chilly with a high in the mid to upper 40s. And, Christmas Day on Thursday (December 25) looks dry with a high in the 50s. Sorry, snow fans. See the Weather Xtreme video for a day to day walk through of the weather we expect next week.

It does look like the southern stream will be pretty active over the last week of the month; the 06Z GFS shows a significant rain/storm event here around December 27.

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ON THIS DATE 14 YEARS AGO: An EF-4 tornado tore through the southern part of the city of Tuscaloosa, killing 11 people and injuring many more.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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Don’t forget our annual Toys for Tots 26 hour marathon begins today at 4:00… I will be at Legacy BBQ on Highway 150 in Hoover; please take a few minutes and bring a new, unwrapped toy by for families in need; the U.S. Marines will deliver the thousands of toys to these families right before Christmas next week. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Rain At Times Through Tonight

| 3:27 pm December 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Showers are little ahead of schedule this afternoon; much of Central and West Alabama are wet at mid-afternoon…

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Occasional showers will continue tonight, ending after midnight in most places with rain amounts generally under 1/2 inch. Then, the sky will become partly sunny during the day tomorrow as drier air enters the state.  We expect a high tomorrow in the mid to upper 50s, about average for mid-December in Alabama.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Wednesday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds, and a high in the mid 50s. Clouds thicken Thursday as moist air begins to return, and we will mention just a chance of a shower Thursday afternoon; nothing especially widespread. The high Thursday afternoon will hold in the mid 50s.

WET WEATHER RETURNS AS THE WEEKEND BEGINS: A significant storm system in the southern branch of the jet stream will impact Alabama with rain, beginning at some point during the day Friday. The rain become more widespread Friday night, and should end during the day Saturday as a surface low moves away from the state. The forecast surface low track, right across Central Alabama, suggests there will be no risk of severe weather, although some thunder is certainly possible. Rain amounts should average one inch, with potential for more in a few spots, especially over Northwest Alabama.

Drier air returns Saturday night, and Sunday will be rain-free with a partly sunny and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: A wave of low pressure is expected to form in the western Gulf of Mexico Sunday night; the 12Z GFS keeps the rain with this feature south of the Gulf Coast, over the Gulf. One way or another it should not impact North or Central Alabama, and at this point our weather looks dry Monday and Tuesday with seasonal temperatures; highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.

An active southern branch of the jet stream is expected to set up later in the week, and a number of global model runs have suggested we might have some rain to deal with on Christmas Eve, Wednesday December 24, followed by a cold and dry Christmas Day. But, there is no way to resolve timing this far in advance. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

It does look like colder weather will impact the Deep South over the final week of December.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Showers Move Into Alabama Tonight

| 6:27 am December 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD START: Another sub-freezing morning for East Alabama; Vic Bell at Black Creek reported a low of 23 degrees early this morning; places like Anniston, Gadsden, and Fort Payne are in the upper 20s at daybreak. Most communities over the western two-thirds of the state are in the 30s.

Clouds will slowly increase today ahead of a storm system across the Southern Plains, and a few showers could enter West Alabama this afternoon with temperatures rising into the 60s. The best chance of showers will come tonight, from roughly 6 p.m. through 4 a.m. tomorrow. Moisture is limited, and the air is stable, so rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch for most places. No risk of severe weather, and probably not much thunder.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: The sky becomes partly sunny tomorrow as drier air works into the state. The weather will be a bit cooler, with a high in the mid to upper 50s. Wednesday will stay dry with a partly sunny sky and a high in the low to mid 50s.

LATER THIS WEEK: We will introduce the risk of a shower during the day Thursday as moisture begins to return, but rain amounts should be pretty light and spotty. A significant wave will bring the next band of organized rain into our state late Friday, Friday night, and early Saturday. The main window for the most widespread rain will come from roughly 6:00 p.m. Friday through 9:00 a.m. Saturday as a surface low moves right over North Alabama. This system will have good upper support, but at the moment it looks like the air will be too stable for any real severe weather threat.

It certainly has the potential to bring a significant amount of rain; for now we figure most of North/Central Alabama will see one inch, with potential for more in spots, especially over the northwest counties of the state.

REST OF THE WEEKEND: Drier air begins to work into the state Saturday afternoon, and we might see a little sun with a high close to 60 degrees. And, at this point, Sunday looks dry with a mix of sun and clouds and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The GFS shows a southern stream system that has potential to bring rain to the Gulf Coast region early in the week; best chance of wet weather Monday will be south of Montgomery, and especially near the coast. For now it looks like the rain will stay south of places like Birmingham, Anniston, Tuscaloosa, and Gadsden.

Global models are also hinting at some potential for another wet weather system on Christmas Eve; snow lovers love the 06Z GFS which hints at wintry precipitation for parts of North Alabama, but this is nothing but pure voodoo at this point. Take a few minutes and watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details on long range ideas. Seems like a pattern change is very possible toward the end of the month, but nobody knows the details for now.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Showers Return Early Next Week

| 3:28 pm December 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SEVERE CLEAR: Another day of blue sky and sunshine across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; temperatures are very close to seasonal averages, with most places in the mid to upper 50s. The air is dry, and there is no rain on radar.

The dry weather continues throughout the weekend, with sunny pleasant days and clear chilly nights. After an early morning low close to the freezing mark, we rise into the low 60s tomorrow with a sunny sky. Mid 60s are likely by Sunday afternoon as our slow warming trend continues.

NEXT WEEK: Short wave energy will bring clouds into Alabama Monday, and showers could reach the western counties during the afternoon hours. The better chance of rain statewide will come Monday night, and this still doesn’t look like a big rain event… with limited moisture rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch. There could be a little thunder in spots, but there is no risk of severe weather.

The sky becomes partly sunny Tuesday afternoon, and the high will be close to 60. Wednesday looks rain-free and pleasant as well; we might need to insert the risk of showers toward the end of the week Thursday and Friday as moist air begins to return ahead of a vigorous weather system to the west.

The core impact of that storm system should come on Saturday December 20, when rain and storms are likely statewide. This could be a heavy rain/strong to severe thunderstorm setup, at the moment it looks like the highest risk of severe storms will come over the southern part of the state, but with this event eight days away there is no way of resolving details now.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The 12Z GFS shows a cool, dry week for Alabama with seasonal temperatures; highs mostly in the 50s and lows mostly in the 30s. The AO/NAO combination remains positive, which will make it hard to get bitterly cold air this far south. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the fifth graders at Glencoe Middle School in Etowah County; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted bright and early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Slow Weekend Warm-Up Ahead

| 6:09 am December 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER COLD MORNING: As cold as 18 degrees in Alabama this morning; that was the 6:00 a.m. temperature at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden. But, a warming trend begins later today with a good supply of sunshine as we rise into the mid to upper 50s this afternoon… that is right at seasonal averages for mid-December.

The slow warm-up continues over the weekend; the high tomorrow will be close to 60, followed by low to mid 60s Sunday. Mornings will stay chilly; many communities will see another light freeze early tomorrow morning as the weekend begins. Dry air means a sunny sky both days.

NEXT WEEK: Short wave energy will bring clouds back into the state Monday, and showers arrive late Monday afternoon over the northwest corner of the state. Looks like our best chance of showers will come from 5:00 p.m. Monday through 5:00 a.m. Tuesday… no severe weather, and probably not much thunder. And, with limited moisture rain amounts for most should be under 1/2 inch.

The sky becomes partly sunny Tuesday as drier air returns, and there is no cold air involved with this system, so the high Tuesday afternoon should be close to 60 degrees. Expect mostly sunny and pleasant weather Wednesday and Thursday with a high in the low 60s.

A dynamic weather system will bring the risk of a shower late in the week on Friday, but the main event should come the following day, on Saturday December 20. Too early to be specific, but at this point it looks like it might be a heavy rain event for Alabama with potential for strong thunderstorms.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) remain positive, which means it will be hard for bitterly cold air to invade the Deep South; temperatures for now look close to seasonal averages, with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s generally speaking. The 06Z GFS shows potential for a rain event on Christmas Eve, but we all know in the “land of voodoo” that will probably vanish on the next run. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program today at Glencoe Middle School in Etowah County… then this evening I will be live from the “Bikes for Tots” event at the Walmart on Highway 150 in Hoover. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted this afternoon by 4:00… enjoy the day…

Cold Again Tonight; A Warmer Weekend

| 3:35 pm December 11, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Expect another freeze early tomorrow morning across North/Central Alabama; most communities will see a low near 30, with 20s likely for colder valleys and protected areas. Then, a warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon as temperatures rise into the mid to upper 50s with a sunny sky.

The weekend looks very nice; ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday with afternoon highs up in the low 60s. Mornings will be chilly with lows in the mid to upper 30s. No moisture, no chance of rain.

NEXT WEEK: A short wave will bring increasing clouds to Alabama Monday, and showers are a good possibility Monday night. Still looks like the main window for rain will come from about 6:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday, and amounts should be generally under 1/2 inch, with potential for heavier totals over the northwest corner of the state. No severe weather threat, and probably not much thunder. Drier air returns Tuesday afternoon, and Wednesday and Thursday look dry with a good deal of sunshine both days along with a high near 60 degrees.

Global model consensus is good on the potential for a dynamic system around Saturday, December 20 that would bring the risk of heavy rain and maybe even strong thunderstorms.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: This is still in a period where there is very little skill in a specific forecast (beyond seven days), but for now global models hint most of the week will be dry with temperatures near or a bit below seasonal averages for late December. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham has received 44.41″ of rain since January 1; that is a deficiency of 6.47″. Bottom line is that there is a good chance we end up with a rain deficit for 2014 as the year ends in a few weeks. Tuscaloosa and Anniston have similar totals.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…