Author Archive: James Spann

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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Drier Air Arrives Monday

| August 19, 2016 @ 6:23 am

UNSETTLED THROUGH THE WEEKEND: A blanket of moist, unstable air will continue to cover Alabama today and tomorrow; the sky will be occasionally cloudy with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, most active during the afternoon and evening hours. With high precipitable water values, where storms do form they will drop lots of rain in a short amount of time, much like yesterday.

Temperatures will remain below 90 degrees in most places today and tomorrow because of the limited amount of sun.

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL TONIGHT: Unfortunately, summer storms tend to be very random and scattered, and there is no skill in knowing exactly when and where they will pop up in advance. The chance of any one high school stadium seeing rain tonight at kickoff time is about one in three, and in some cases lightning will be an issue. Temperatures will be generally in the low 80s at kickoff, dropping into the 70s during the second half of the games with very high humidity levels.

SUNDAY: A surface front (note, we don’t use the words “cold front” in August) will approach North Alabama; much of the state will continue to stay in a soupy airmass with a few passing showers and storms likely. But, the far northern counties of the state could very well begin to get in dry air; places like Florence, Athens, and Huntsville will see a marked decrease in the number of showers Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: A surge of drier, continental air will drop into North Alabama Monday, and we will leave showers out of the forecast through Tuesday. Humidity values will be a little lower, nights a little cooler. Some of the normally cooler spots could easily reach the upper 50s early Tuesday morning. Moisture begins to return Wednesday, and a few afternoon showers are possible, with some risk of scattered showers and storms into Thursday and Friday as well. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine over the weekend with a few scattered showers and storms from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach; pretty much the same type weather on through much of next week. Highs on the immediate coast will stay in the 87-90 degree range, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

FIONA: The tropical storm in the open Atlantic will gain latitude in coming days, and is expected to weaken to a tropical depression over the weekend due to dry air in the surrounding environment. This will likely recurve and is no threat to land.

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INVEST 99L: The wave to the east of Fiona has a chance of developing in coming days, and is expected to become Tropical Storm Gaston. It will take a more southerly track, and should be approaching the Leeward Islands in about 4-5 days. Global models, however, turn this northward before reaching the Caribbean, and for now it doesn’t look like a great for the Gulf of Mexico. Remains to be seen if this will recurve over the open Atlantic (which the ECMWF suggests) or not… see the Weather Xtreme video for all the maps and graphics.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I am doing a safety program this morning for the Westervelt Company in Northport… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Unsettled Summer Weather Through The Weekend

| August 18, 2016 @ 3:15 pm

RADAR CHECK: As expected, showers and storms have become more numerous across the great state of Alabama this afternoon. Some spots are getting very heavy amounts of rain and very frequent lightning as they move east/northeast…

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We will maintain the chance of showers and storms tonight as the upper ridge continues to weaken across the Deep South, but the trend will be for fewer showers after 9 p.m.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Not much change; a rather unsettled period of weather is likely with moist, unstable air in place and the lack of a strong upper ridge. The sky will be cloudy at times each day, and we expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms daily. They will be move active during the afternoon and evening hours, but we can’t rule out some late night or morning showers as well. Highs will be generally in the mid to upper 80s, and sunshine will be in limited supply.

Rain distribution will be uneven, but average rain amounts of 1-2 inches are likely by Sunday. No organized severe weather is expected, but understand any summer storm in Alabama can produce a wet microburst (a local area of damaging straight line winds), and most of them bring a tremendous amount of lightning.

NEXT WEEK: Models continue to show a nice surge of drier, continental air dropping into Alabama Monday. We will maintain a shower-free forecast Monday through Thursday of next week, which is pretty rare for August in Alabama. Humidity levels will be lower, nights a little cooler. In fact, many of the normally cooler spots have a good chance of reaching the upper 50s early Tuesday morning for a nice touch of fall. A few showers could return late in the week; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend, with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87-90 degree range, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Fiona will be gaining latitude across the open Atlantic in coming days, and is expected to stay below hurricane strength. Odds remain high this won’t impact any land mass.

Another tropical wave east of Fiona has potential to become a tropical depression or storm in a few days; it will be at a lower latitude, and will get the name “Gaston”. Something to watch in coming days…

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the students at West Jasper Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Showers/Storms Becoming More Numerous

| August 18, 2016 @ 6:29 am

RADAR CHECK: We have some thunderstorms on the radar early this morning over West Alabama… moving northeast…

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The pre-dawn activity in August is usually a sign that showers and storms should be pretty active later in the day, during the peak of the daytime heating process, and we do expect that today with the upper ridge over the Deep South becoming weaker. A number of showers and thunderstorms will form this afternoon; the chance of any one spot getting wet is about one in three, and the high will be close to 90 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds.

TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY: A very moist, unstable airmass will remain parked over Alabama. The sky will be occasionally cloudy, and we will forecast scattered to numerous showers and storms each day. Best chance of rain will come during the afternoon and evening hours, but we can’t rule out some late night or morning rain in this setup. Heat levels come down with highs generally in the mid to upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: We will stick with the idea of drier, continental air dropping down into North Alabama Monday, and it sure looks like much of the week will be dry with lower humidity and cooler nights. And, there is a good chance we will have a nice touch of fall in the air early Tuesday morning; the GFS is printing a low of 62 for Birmingham, and many cooler spots should reach the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day on the Gulf Coast through Sunday, with a few scattered showers and storms. Highs 87-90 on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICAL STORM FIONA: The system is packing sustained winds of 45 mph in the open Atlantic; it will most likely stay at tropical storm status in coming days as it gains latitude; still seems to be no threat to land.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet for now.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program this morning at West Jasper Elementary School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Showers/Storms Increasing Tomorrow/Friday

| August 17, 2016 @ 3:07 pm

RADAR CHECK: Another day with a random pattern of scattered showers and storms across Alabama… slowly moving northeast…

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Temperatures are in the low 90s, right at seasonal levels for mid-August in Alabama.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: The upper ridge over the region will weaken a bit, and we expect to see an increase in the number of scattered showers and thunderstorms. It won’t rain everywhere, but most communities will see a decent downpour or two with a mix of sun and clouds both days. Highs will be close to 90 tomorrow, with mid to upper 80s Friday.

THE WEEKEND: The sky will be cloudy at times Saturday and Sunday, with scattered to numerous showers and storms both days. Not sure I would call it a “rainy weekend”, but just be ready for some rain at times if you have something planned outdoors. Highs will be in the 85-88 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: The trend continues on global models, suggesting drier air will actually work down into the northern half of Alabama Monday and Tuesday with lower humidity and cooler nights; some of the cooler pockets could actually see upper 50s early Tuesday with a touch of fall in the air. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend for the coast from Gulf Shores eastward to Panama City Beach with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

FIONA FORMS: Tropical depression six has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Fiona in the Central Atlantic… it will be gaining latitude in coming days, and it no threat to the U.S… and probably no threat to land.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet, although we will need to monitor a series of tropical waves expected to come off the African coast through the rest of August.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Scattered Showers/Storms By Afternoon

| August 17, 2016 @ 6:35 am

ANOTHER DOG DAY AFTERNOON: It’s that time of the year when weather forecasting gets into a rut. Most days in August, if you say the weather will be hot and humid with the chance of an afternoon storm in spots, you will have it nailed. And that is the story today. Morning sunshine, scattered showers and storms this afternoon and early tonight. The chance of any one spot seeing a shower or thunderstorm is about one in four, and the high will be in the low 90s for most places.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: The upper ridge across the Deep South will weaken, the air aloft will be a bit colder, and the air becomes more unstable. This will mean an increase in the number of scattered showers and thunderstorms both days…. otherwise expect a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the 87 to 90 degree range.

THE WEEKEND: Not much change. Not sure I would call it a “rainy” weekend, but scattered to numerous showers and storms are likely Saturday and Sunday with a moist, unstable airmass in place. The sun will be out at times, and maximum temperatures will be in the upper 80s for most communities, which is below average for August in Alabama. Best chance of showers and storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours, but some late night or morning rain can’t be ruled out.

NEXT WEEK: Global models continue the idea of drier air creeping into the northern half of Alabama early in the week. As often stated here, cold fronts rarely get this far south in August, but if by chance this idea verifies, we will see lower humidity and cooler nights by Tuesday. Still not totally convinced this happens; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only widely scattered showers and storms. Highs 87-90 on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORMS: This is in the eastern Atlantic, and should become Tropical Storm Fiona later today (bring on the Shrek jokes…). The system will be gaining latitude, and there is a high probability this won’t impact the U.S… in fact it is unlikely to impact any land mass.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet, although a series of waves will be coming off the African coast in coming days that will need to be watched.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking to a group of retirees from the Baptist Health System this morning at Princeton Medical Center in Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Showers/Storms More Active Later This Week

| August 16, 2016 @ 3:33 pm

RADAR CHECK: So far today showers and storms are few and far between across Alabama…

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The sky is partly sunny, and temperatures are generally in the low 90s. Widely scattered showers and storms will end later this evening.

Not much change tomorrow; morning sunshine, then showers and storms will form by afternoon in random, scattered places. The high will be back in the low 90s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: The upper ridge weakens a bit, and the air becomes a little more unstable. Scattered showers and storms should be a little more numerous both days, mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. Days will feature a mix of sun and clouds with highs between 87 and 90 degrees for most places.

THE WEEKEND: A moist, unstable airmass will remain parked over Alabama. Expect intervals of sunshine Saturday and Sunday with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms both days; highs will be generally in the upper 80s, which is below average for mid-August in Alabama.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z GFS tries to bring some drier air down into North Alabama by Tuesday night and Wednesday. Remember, fronts rarely make it that far south in August, and I will believe it when I see it. But, if by chance it verifies, that could mean slightly cooler nights and lower humidity by the middle of next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details…

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AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach, with just a few widely scattered showers and storms round. Highs on the immediate coast 87-90, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: The tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is expected to become a tropical depression soon; if it becomes a tropical storm the name will be “Fiona”. It will gain latitude, and is not expected to reach hurricane strength, and is not expected to impact any landmass.

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Another wave is emerging off the coast of Africa that bears watching… the rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Morning Sun; Scattered Afternoon Showers

| August 16, 2016 @ 6:07 am

MUST BE MID-AUGUST: Some pretty classic summer weather will continue for Alabama through tomorrow… partly sunny, hot, humid days with a few widely scattered showers and storms around during the afternoon and evening hours. Highs generally in the 90-93 degree range, right at seasonal averages.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: The upper ridge begins to weaken a bit, and with slightly colder air aloft, we expect an increase in the number of scattered showers and storms on these two days. Otherwise, a mix of sun and clouds with a high very close to 90 degrees. Best chance of showers and storms will come between 2:00 and 9:00 p.m.

THE WEEKEND: Not what I would call a “rainy” weekend, but with a weaker ridge I figure we will see scattered to numerous showers and storms around Saturday and Sunday. The sun will be out at times, and highs will be mostly in the upper 80s. Impossible to determine exact placement and timing of the showers and storms, of course, since they tend to be random.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change; humid air blankets the Deep South, and every day we will have to dodge the scattered summer showers and storms. Highs will be generally in the 88-91 degree range, and there is still no sign of any excessively hot weather through the rest of August (upper 90s or higher). See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend with widely scattered showers/storms. Highs upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: A disturbance in the eastern Atlantic has a good chance of becoming a tropical depression, and perhaps Tropical Storm Fiona in coming days, but it will be gaining latitude and should not be a threat to the Caribbean or the U.S. In fact, odds are high that it won’t impact any land mass…

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Hit and Miss Afternoon Showers

| August 15, 2016 @ 3:21 pm

RADAR CHECK: Pretty much a classic dog day afternoon across Alabama, except temperatures are a bit below average with many places in the upper 80s. On radar, we have a random pattern of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms… moving north.

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Showers and storms will fade away after the sun sets.

The weather won’t change much tomorrow… partly sunny with a few afternoon and evening showers and storms in random, scattered places. The high will be in the low 90s for most.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: The upper ridge weakens a bit, and with slightly colder air aloft we expect scattered showers and storms to become a little more numerous on these three days. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds with highs near, or just under 90 degrees.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Not much change. The sun will be out at times Saturday and Sunday, but with a moist, unstable airmass in place, and a surface front to the north, we expect scattered to numerous showers and storms both days, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Afternoon highs will range from 87 to 90 degrees for most places, which is below average for mid-August in Alabama.

NEXT WEEK: The surface front to the north will probably hang up around the Tennessee state line; low confidence any drier air will work in here. So, no major changes for at least the first half of the week with mixed sun and clouds and the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Long range guidance hints that highs could very well be mostly in the upper 80s next week.

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AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day through the weekend on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach westward to Gulf Shores, with a few widely scattered showers and storms around. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: A tropical wave in the far eastern Atlantic has come chance for slow development through mid-week, but in the long term it will be gaining latitude and fighting dry air; looks like no risk to the U.S. or any land mass. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Routine Summer Weather For Now

| August 15, 2016 @ 5:25 am

HOTTER AFTERNOONS: Birmingham went six consecutive days with a high under 90 degrees last week (Monday August 8 through Saturday August 13)… that was mostly due to increased cloud cover from the upper low that brought the historic flooding to Louisiana. That feature is now over Texas and Oklahoma, and the upper ridge has returned. This means some fairly typical August weather for the state through Wednesday; partly sunny, hot, humid days with “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs in the low 90s, and the chance of any one spot getting wet each day about one in four. Most of the scattered storms will happen between 2 and 9 p.m.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: The upper ridge begins to weaken again, and we expect a slow uptick in the number of scattered showers and storms with a mix of sun and clouds both days. Highs drop into the 87-90 degree range for most communities.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: With a weaker ridge, and a surface front slowly approaching from the north, looks like we will have scattered to numerous showers and storms Saturday and Sunday with highs back in the mid to upper 80s. Understand it won’t rain all weekend, but a passing shower or storm is a pretty good possibility from time to time.

NEXT WEEK: The GFS actually tries to bring a surface front all the way down to U.S. 80 by Monday, and it by chance that is correct, the humidity would be a bit lower over North Alabama early next week with cooler nights, but I will believe it when I see it. Fronts rarely push that far south in August. The good news is that we see no excessively hot weather (upper 90s or triple digits) around here for the rest of the month. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Pretty good weather on the coast this week from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily with only widely scattered showers and storms; highs 87-90 on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa; some chance of slow development in coming days, but it will be fighting dry air, and if it survives more than likely it will not impact the U.S.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Tropical Showers Again This Afternoon

| August 12, 2016 @ 3:32 pm

RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers and storms are moving northward across Alabama this afternoon, pushed in that direction by the upper low over Louisiana…

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For most places, temperatures are holding below 90 degrees for the fifth consecutive day because of the clouds and showers. The rain will diminish later tonight.

LOUISIANA: Rain amounts of 15-20 inches over the past 24 hours are producing life threatening flash flooding west and northwest of New Orleans. This is US 51 at LA 440 in the Village of Tangipahoa…

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THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The upper low will drift westward, away from Alabama, but a very moist airmass will remain in place. So, we will have scattered showers and storms around tomorrow and Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds both days. The latest model guidance keeps the high in the upper 80s tomorrow, and close to 90 Sunday afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: Partly sunny days with scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms Monday and Tuesday. Still seeing evidence we could see another increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms later in the week… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details. No sign of any excessive heat around here anytime soon.

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AT THE BEACH: A flash flood watch from Dauphin Island and Gulf Shores east to Destin is scheduled to expire at 7:00 this evening. The weather gradually improves over the weekend, with increasing amounts of sun and fewer showers and thunderstorms. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected thorough next week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. Monday….. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!