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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

James Spann

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Storms Return Late This Weekend

| 6:31 am November 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY THROUGH TOMORROW: Alabama’s weather will stay relatively quiet through tomorrow; we reach the low 60s today with a mix of sun and clouds. We note some light rain near Memphis early this morning; I guess a sprinkle or two is possible across the Tennessee Valley later today, but most places will stay dry across the state.

Clouds will increase tomorrow, but the day should remain dry. We will have a cold air damming type situation; a cold surface high will be over the mid Atlantic coast, and will keep the eastern counties of the state cooler. Places like Anniston and Gadsden won’t get out of the 50s, and some communities near the Georgia border will see a high only in the low 50s. But, for Central and West Alabama, the high will be at or just over 60 degrees.

TO THE WEST: Thunderstorms will break out tomorrow over Southeast Texas, where there is an “enhanced” severe weather risk defined by SPC. An MCS (mesoscale convective system) type feature will likely move along the Gulf Coast after midnight Saturday night into Sunday morning, and will bring heavy rain to places like New Orleans and Mobile, along with the risk of strong thunderstorm winds and maybe even an isolated tornado or two. The core severe weather risk for the Alabama Gulf Coast region will come from 3 a.m. until 9 a.m. Sunday.

DAYTIME HOURS SUNDAY: SPC has the standard “slight” risk of severe weather up for the southern part of Alabama, generally south of U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika), with a “marginal” risk as far north as I-20.

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For our part of the state, there are still some unanswered questions concerning this event. No doubt Sunday will be wet at times with occasional showers and thunderstorms. Showers are a good possibility after midnight Saturday night into Sunday morning, but the heavier rain and best chance of strong storms will remain well to the south.

It is possible we have a break in the rain during the midday hours, and temperatures will climb toward the low 70s Sunday afternoon, making the air somewhat unstable with surface based CAPE values rising to 500-1,000 j/kg over North/Central Alabama. If additional storms can form Sunday afternoon in this environment, they could be strong, but the higher shear values by then are over in Georgia.

BOTTOM LINE: The higher risk of severe weather Sunday is over South Alabama, with a marginal threat up to I-20. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inches are likely for Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, and Gadsden, with amounts of 2-3 inches possible over the far southern part of the state. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details, and keep an eye on the blog for potential forecast changes since some uncertainty remains.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama tonight; some clouds around (but no rain) with temperatures falling from 53 at kickoff, into the mid to upper 40s by the final whistle.

Tomorrow is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Western Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling to near 58 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 56 degrees at kickoff, and low 50s by the fourth quarter. There is a small risk of a shower by the fourth quarter.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through the state Monday, and it might squeeze out a shower or two, but for now the chance of really significant rain looks low. Then, the weather looks basically cool and dry for the rest of the week with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s Tuesday through Friday. We have noted some global model runs have suggested colder temperatures (40s and 20s) by Thanksgiving, but the latest GFS has backed off on the degree of cooling. Dry weather will most likely last into the following weekend (November 29-30), meaning the weather looks pretty good for the Iron Bowl at this point.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Storms Return Before The Weekend Ends

| 3:13 pm November 20, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am at the “Taste of Trussville” at the Trussville Civic Center, live on ABC 33/40 at 4, 5 and 6:00**

PLEASANT NOVEMBER AFTERNOON: As advertised, the warming trend is continuing. We have a few spots up in the low 60s this afternoon with sunshine through scattered clouds…

Temperatures

Expect a similar day tomorrow, with a mix of sun and clouds, and a high in the low 60s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The sky becomes mostly cloudy Saturday, but the day will remain dry. The eastern counties of the state won’t get out of the 50s Saturday, but low to mid 60s are possible over Central and West Alabama Saturday afternoon.

TO THE WEST: Strong to severe storms will erupt Saturday afternoon over Southeast Texas and parts of South Louisiana, and those storms will move into Alabama after midnight Saturday night. We do note the NAM model tries to bring showers up into Central Alabama as early as 9 p.m. Saturday, and we will introduce an outside risk of a shower for the fourth quarter of the Auburn/Samford football game. But, the main action comes much later.

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SUNDAY: Still looks like an active weather day with showers and storms likely, especially during the morning hours. Seems like the main window initially for rain and storms will come from about 2:00 a.m. until 12:00 noon Sunday; severe weather will be possible over the southern quarter of Alabama where some surfaced based instability will be available. The primary threat of severe storms will be south of a line from Grove Hill to Greenville to Eufaula. Storms down that way could produce strong winds, and an isolated tornado or two is not out of the question.

There is excellent dynamic support for thunderstorms over North Alabama with high bulk shear values (over 35 knots) and a very strong low level jet (over 60 knots), but with no surface based instability it will be hard for severe storms to get going.

A dry slot works into Alabama during the midday hours Sunday as the rain moves east, and we have potential of seeing temperatures in the 70s Sunday afternoon with some sunshine. This will actually make the air pretty unstable, and we will be watching for signs of any redevelopment late Sunday afternoon… if storms can fire up then, they could be strong statewide. Remains to be seen if that can happen, however, and most models discount that idea.

We will continue to keep a close eye on model trends in coming days as the event gets closer.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through Monday with some risk of a shower; the 12Z GFS brings in the idea of showers on Tuesday as the upper trough passes overhead, and we will insert that risk into the public forecast. Then, Wednesday through Friday next week look dry but chilly; highs drop into the 40s, with lows in the 20s by Thanksgiving Day.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Slow Warm-Up Continues; Rain By Sunday

| 6:44 am November 20, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PRE-DAWN SHAKER: A magnitude 3.8 earthquake is the headline to start the day; it was centered in Greene County, about 30 miles southwest of Tuscaloosa, at 4:25 a.m. CT…

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The quake was fairly shallow (3.1 miles), and while we did receive a number of reports close to the epicenter, seems like very few people felt it in Tuscaloosa (of course, most slept through it). No damage reported.

WARM-UP CONTINUES: No rain for Alabama through tomorrow; we expect a partly sunny sky with upper 50s today, and low 60s tomorrow.

SATURDAY: A 1031 mb high will be centered around Virginia Beach, and that will nose into Alabama from the east. It should set up a thermal gradient; those near the Georgia border won’t get out of the 50s Saturday afternoon, which Central and West Alabama should see a high in the 60s. Clouds will increase during the day, but the weather stays dry.

TO THE WEST: A dynamic storm system will bring the risk of severe weather to much of Southeast Texas, and into Louisiana later in the day. These storms will enter West Alabama after midnight Saturday night.

SEVERE WEATHER? Not much change in our thinking; the prime threat of severe weather with this system will be near the Gulf Coast, and perhaps up to 100 miles inland. The air will be cool and stable over the northern half of the state, and with no surface based instability, for now we don’t expect any severe weather issues for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden.

However, to the south, surface based CAPE values could rise to near 1,000 j/kg near the Gulf Coast, and with a strong low level jet (over 50 knots) and a decent amount of low level bulk shear (over 30 knots), a few tornadoes are not out of the question near the coast. In Alabama, the primary threat of severe storms will come from about 2:00 a.m. until 10:00 a.m. Sunday, and mostly south of a line from Grove Hill to Monroeville to Greenville to Eufaula.

Rain amounts around one inch are likely over North/Central Alabama, with totals in the 2-3 inch range near the Gulf Coast.

There is a chance the sun breaks out Sunday afternoon after the storms thanks to dry slot moving into the state, which could very well push temperatures into the low to mid 70s.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through the state Monday, and could trigger a shower or two, but it certainly doesn’t look like a big rain event, and many places will be dry. Temperatures should rise into the 60s Monday before the front comes through. Then, the rest of the week looks cool and dry. The high Tuesday will drop into the 50s, and we will have a hard time getting out of the 40s Wednesday. For Thanksgiving Day and Black Friday, we are projecting highs in the 50s, and lows in the 30s. The cool, dry weather should linger into the following weekend. For now weather for the Iron Bowl in Tuscaloosa looks rain-free. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama tomorrow night; mostly fair with temperatures falling from 53 at kickoff, into the mid to upper 40s by the final whistle.

Saturday is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Western Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling to near 58 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 57 degrees at kickoff, and low to mid 50s by the fourth quarter. No rain expected.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon…

Warming Trend Through The Weekend

| 3:49 pm November 19, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

LET THE WARM-UP BEGIN: It was as cold as 12 degrees in Alabama this morning (that was the low at Black Creek, in Etowah County); this afternoon most places are near the 50 degree mark as the warming process begins, and the Deep South begins to dig out of the deep freeze. The sky is mostly sunny, and the air is dry.

Tonight won’t be as cold as recent nights; most places will see a low in the 25-32 degree range. The sky will remain mostly fair.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: The warm-up continues; with a partly sunny sky we reach the upper 50s tomorrow, and low 60s Friday. No rain.

THE WEEKEND: Clouds should slowly increase during the day Saturday, but the weather stays dry. We could have a fairly range in temperatures; a cool 1030 mb high near Virginia Beach could keep the far eastern part of Alabama in the 50s, but 60s are likely over Central and West Alabama Saturday afternoon. All in all a pretty comfortable day.

A vigorous storm system will bring rain and thunderstorms to our state after midnight Saturday night and into the day Sunday. The 12Z run of the GFS suggests the main window for storms will come from about 2:00 a.m. until 12:00 noon Sunday. Not much overall change in our thinking; surface based instability will be very limited over the northern half of the state, which hopefully will mitigate the chance of severe storms around here. But, closer to the coast, storms could bring strong winds, and an isolated tornado threat. At the moment it looks like the highest risk of severe weather Sunday morning will come along and south of Alabama Highway 10, or south of a line from Butler to Greenville to Troy to Abbeville.

Rain amounts of one inch are likely across North/Central Alabama, with potential for over two inches over the southern quarter of the state. And, the rain will end from west to east Sunday afternoon as a dry slot moves in. If the sun can break out Sunday afternoon after the rain, we could see mid 70s around here.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front moves through the state Monday, and at this point the chance of really significant rain looks rather low. Then, the rest of the week looks dry with mostly sunny cool days and fair cold nights. By Wednesday, Thursday (Thanksgiving Day), and Friday we expect a high between 47 and 51, with a low in the upper 20s or low 30s. Below average, but not as cold as the recent Arctic blast. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama Friday night; mostly fair with temperatures falling from 53 at kickoff, into the mid to upper 40s by the final whistle.

Saturday is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Western Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 64 degrees, falling to near 58 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 57 degrees at kickoff, and low to mid 50s by the fourth quarter. No rain expected.

And, a big game for the UAB Blazers; they host Marshall at Legion Field (11:00a CT kickoff). Clouds will increase during the game, but no rain. Temperatures will rise from near 60 at kickoff, to near 63 by the fourth quarter.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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It was great visiting with the Gadsden Kiwanis Club earlier today… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Warming Trend Begins This Afternoon

| 6:11 am November 19, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FRIGID MORNING: Here are some of the temperatures across the great state of Alabama as the sun is coming up this morning…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 12
Coldwater 14
Fort Payne 14
Valley Head 14
White Plains 15
Gadsden 16
Cullman 16
Concord 17
Anniston 18
Montgomery 18
Troy 18
Auburn 19
Bessemer 19
Coker 19
Montevallo 19
Birmingham Airport 21 (record low for November 19 at 18 set in 1903)
Tuscaloosa 22

WARMER DAYS AHEAD: We project a high today around 50 degrees with a good supply of sunshine; the weather stays dry for the rest of the week with mid to upper 50s tomorrow, and low 60s by Friday afternoon.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Clouds will increase during the day Saturday, but the weather stays dry. The GFS is printing a high of 67 for Birmingham Saturday, which is actually a few degrees above average for mid to late November. Then, a dynamic system will bring rain and storms to the state after midnight Saturday night and into the day Sunday.

It will be case of very good dynamics, and very marginal thermodynamics, and at this time it seems like the highest risk of severe weather will be over the southern quarter of Alabama. There is very little surface based instability over the northern half of the state early Sunday as the storms are coming through, which hopefully will mitigate severe weather problems for our end of the state. But, to the south, I would not be surprised to see severe storms near the coast, and perhaps up to 100 miles inland.

With a 60 knot low level jet, and low level bulk shear values to 40 knots, a tornado threat is very possible for far South Alabama as well. See the Weather Xtreme video for all the maps, graphics, and details… we will watch model trends closely as the weekend gets closer. The main window for showers and storms will come from about 2:00 a.m. through 2:00 p.m. Sunday; rain amounts of around one inch are likely, with heavier totals over South Alabama.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through Monday, which could bring a shower or two, but moisture will be pretty limited, and it won’t be a big rain event. Then, the rest of the week looks cool and dry, with highs generally in the 50s, and lows in the 30s. The cool, dry weather should extend into the following weekend, meaning weather for the Iron Bowl in Tuscaloosa for now looks fine. But, of course, this is in “voodoo land” and things could change.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama Friday night; mostly clear with temperatures falling from 55 at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the final whistle.

Saturday is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Western Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 67 degrees, falling to near 60 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 60 degrees at kickoff, and mid to upper 50s by the fourth quarter. No rain expected.

And, a big game for the UAB Blazers; they host Marshall at Legion Field (11:00a CT kickoff). Clouds will increase during the game, but no rain. Temperatures will rise from near 64 at kickoff, to near 67 by the fourth quarter.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking today at the Gadsden Kiwanis Club… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day…

Another Hard Freeze Tonight

| 3:43 pm November 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER COLD ONE: Temperatures are not out of the 30s across North Alabama this afternoon despite a sunny sky, and with a clear sky and light wind, another hard freeze is ahead tonight. This will be a “radiational cooling” type night, meaning there will be a big temperature spread tomorrow morning. Colder valleys will drop into the mid teens, the warmest ridge tops will be in the upper 20s. We figure the average low will be around 20 degrees. Birmingham’s record low for November 19 is 18 set in 1903… that one is probably safe, but it will be close.

WARMER DAYS: The rest of the week will be dry with a warming trend. Mostly sunny days, fair nights… we reach 50 degrees tomorrow, mid to upper 50s Thursday, and low 60s Friday. The average high for this time of the year in Birmingham is 64.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be dry and pleasant with a high in the mid to upper 60s, but clouds will begin to increase during the afternoon hours.

A vigorous storm system will bring rain and thunderstorms to Alabama later in the weekend; at this point it looks like the main window for this will come from midnight Saturday night through 12:00 noon Sunday. The 12Z GFS is advertising a 60-70 knot low level jet (around 5,000 feet), which is very favorable for severe storms, along with low level bulk shear values to 40 knots.

The main limiting factor is the lack of surface based instability, and for that reason it could be the highest threat of severe storms will come over the southern quarter of Alabama. We will keep an eye on model trends in coming days and make adjustments to the forecast as needed; see the Weather Xtreme video for all the maps, graphics, and more details.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through the state Monday with a chance of showers, the rest of the week looks dry, with cool days and chilly nights. By Wednesday and Thursday we expect a high around 50, with a low around 30 degrees. Below average, but not as cold as the air we are dealing with now. Keep in mind, however, this is out in “voodoo land” and this could change.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama Friday night; mostly clear with temperatures falling from 55 at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the final whistle.

Saturday is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Weestern Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 67 degrees, falling to near 60 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 60 degrees at kickoff, and mid to upper 50s by the fourth quarter. No rain expected.

And, a big game for the UAB Blazers; they host Marshall at Legion Field (11:00a CT kickoff). Clouds will increase during the game, but no rain. Temperatures will rise from near 64 at kickoff, to near 67 by the fourth quarter.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the senior adults today at Parker Memorial Baptist Church in Anniston… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Frigid Air Covers The Deep South

| 6:47 am November 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

HARD FREEZE: Here are some temperatures just before sunrise this morning…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 18
Haleyville 18
Valley Head 18
Russellville 20
Cullman 20
Birmingham 23 (wind chill index 12)
Gadsden 23
Fayette 23
Bessemer 23
Anniston 24
Tuscaloosa 25

Wind chill index values are generally in the 10-15 degree range; we have a northwest wind around 10 mph in most places. That wind kept temperatures from reaching their lowest potential, and it looks like we won’t be breaking the record low for Birmingham today (20 set in 1959).

Interesting to note that 84.2 percent of the continental U.S. is below freezing at 6a CT…

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Despite a sunny sky, we won’t get out of the 30s today, and tonight will feature another hard freeze with a clear sky and light wind. The radiational cooling effect will bring a wide range of temperatures early tomorrow; the coldest valleys will be close to 15, while the ridge tops will be in the mid to upper 20s.

WARMER DAYS: A warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon as we climb to near 50 degrees. Then, we reach the upper 50s Thursday, and low 60s Friday. The latter half of the week looks dry; we have removed the slight chance of a shower Friday.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The daytime Saturday looks dry and pleasant with a high in the low to mid 60s, but clouds will increase late in the day, and a dynamic weather system will bring rain and storms back to the state late Saturday night into Sunday morning.

The 00Z GFS hints the main threat of showers and storms will come from about 12:00 midnight Saturday through 8:00 a.m. Sunday, thankfully at a time when the air tends to be most stable. The lack of instability will be the primary limiting factor in the severe weather threat for our part of the state; there is very little CAPE showing up on model soundings. But, we all know we can have severe weather issues with limited CAPE in the cold season.

The low level jet is forecast be in the 60 knot range, with low level bulk shear values to 30 knots, so dynamic support is very good. It could be the highest risk of severe weather will come close to the Gulf Coast during the pre-dawn hours Sunday, but this could change, and we will monitor parameters closely as we get close to the weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

If the 00Z GFS is correct, then we could see sunshine by Sunday afternoon, with temperatures potentially rising up into the low to mid 70s as we get into a dry slot.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front is due in here Monday with a chance of showers, followed by colder air Tuesday and Wednesday. At this point we project dry weather Tuesday through Friday, with highs around 50, and lows around 30 by Thanksgiving Day. The Weather Xtreme video has a day by day walk through for Thanksgiving week and the following weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be over in Anniston today speaking to the senior adults at Parker Memorial Baptist Church… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Record Cold Likely Tonight

| 3:37 pm November 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

TOO COLD FOR NOVEMBER: Don’t forget, the average high for Birmingham today is 64, and the average low is 41… that will give you an idea of how low these temperatures are compared to “normal” expectations in the middle of November. Many North Alabama communities aren’t out of the 30s this afternoon.

Temperatures-5

With a clear sky tonight, we project a low between 18 and 22 degrees early tomorrow morning, and with a north wind of 6-12 mph, the wind chill index could drop briefly below 10 degrees at times overnight. Birmingham’s record low for November 18 is 20 degrees (set in 1959), and that is very much in danger.

Tomorrow will be sunny but cold with a high only in the mid 30s. And, tomorrow night will be very cold again; the wind goes calm, and we expect a pretty big spread Wednesday morning. Colder valleys and protected areas across North Alabama will see mid teens, with lows in the mid 20s on ridge tops.

The good news is that a warming trend begins Wednesday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine with a high in the upper 40s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: The warm-up continues Thursday with a decent amount of sun and a high in the 50s. The latest GFS run backs off on the idea of rain Friday; we will just mention an outside risk of a shower for now, and we have a chance of seeing a 60 degree high Friday afternoon.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday continues to look dry and pleasant; mixed sun and clouds with a high in the low 60s. But, we will need to mention a good chance of showers and thunderstorms late Saturday night into Sunday, and the GFS continues to show a setup favorable for strong, and possibly severe thunderstorms across all of Alabama. Still too early to be specific and to really define the threat; just something to watch as the weekend gets closer. A chance we see 70 degrees Sunday afternoon as the warming trend continues.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: Rain ends Monday, and at the moment the weather looks cool and dry Tuesday through Friday, with highs around 50, and lows around 30. But, this is out there in the “land of voodoo”, and things could easily change. Take some time to see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Erwin Intermediate School in Center Point; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! And, I also saw a great 6th grade group today at Phillips Academy in Birmingham… they will be on the KIDCAM tomorrow at 5:00. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…