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No 90s Again Today

| 3:48 pm July 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

“COOL” SUMMER CONTINUES: Today is the 8th consecutive day for Birmingham with a high under 90 degrees; clouds and showers are keeping temperatures down.

Temperatures

Scattered showers and storms are in progress, moving from east to west around the top of an upper low that is over the Mississippi Gulf Coast. Those showers will fade away later tonight.

TOMORROW AND THURSDAY: Moist air stays in place, and we will mention the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” tomorrow with a high in the 87-90 degree range. Then, look for an increase in the number of showers and storms Thursday afternoon and Thursday night as a surface front moves down into North Alabama.

DRIER FRIDAY/SATURDAY: The weather looks generally rain-free for the northern half of Alabama on these two days with lower humidity levels; the risk of scattered showers and storms will continue over the southern counties of the state. Afternoon highs will be around 90 degrees, and we should drop into the 60s early Saturday morning.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: The chance of showers and storms will increase again on these two days; moist air returns Sunday, and a cold front will approach Monday from the north. The high will drop back into the mid to upper 80s because of clouds and showers.

ANOTHER “COOL” SHOT NEXT WEEK: Global models are in good agreement; a vigorous long wave upper trough will form over the eastern half of the nation, pulling down cooler, drier continental air into Alabama Tuesday through Thursday. Looks like we have a chance of going down into the 50s again Wednesday morning, close to record levels for the end of July. This will be one of the coolest Julys on record for many Alabama reporting stations if this verifies.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO: TD 2 in the Atlantic, about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, is expected to dissipate, or become a remnant low by the time it reaches the islands due to very dry air surrounding the system, and harsh winds aloft. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: We project about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day on the Gulf Coast through the weekend (from Panama City to Gulf Shores) with the usual daily risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s on the immediate coast, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We enjoyed having Oklahoma City TV meteorologist Gary England on the show last night… scroll down for the show notes.

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I enjoyed speaking to the residents at St. Martin’s in the Pines in Birmingham today… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Blanket of Moist Air Hangs Around

| 6:21 am July 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ON THE MAPS: An upper low is over South Alabama this morning, and drifting westward. The position of this feature should bring an increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms to the northern half of the state this afternoon and early tonight. It won’t rain everywhere, but any one spot stands about a 50/50 chance of getting wet. Like recent days, a few heavy downpours are possible. Otherwise, the sky will be occasionally cloudy with a high in the mid to upper 80s.

Interesting to note that Birmingham has gone seven consecutive days with a high below 90 degrees.

TOMORROW AND THURSDAY: The upper low will continue to drift west and dissipate, so we expect rather routine summer weather tomorrow. Partly sunny and the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The high tomorrow will be in the 87 to 90 degree range.

Then, on Thursday, an approaching surface front from the north should bring an increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and nighttime hours. A few strong storms are possible, but organized severe weather is not likely.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY: The GFS continues to suggest that drier air will cover the northern half of Alabama on these two days, meaning most places will be rain-free, and humidity levels/dewpoints will be a tad lower. The afternoon high should be around 90 on both days.

SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK: Moist air returns Sunday with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms, and another “cold front” will push in here late Monday, so the day Monday could be relatively wet with a good chance of showers and storms.

A high amplitude upper air pattern sets up next week with a deep, long wave upper trough over the eastern U.S., and this should set up another refreshing airmass for summer by Tuesday and Wednesday, with lower humidity levels and cooler nights. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO: TD 2 out in the Atlantic between the Lesser Antilles and the coast of Africa will struggle today due to dry air surrounding the system, and harsh winds aloft. NHC expects the system to weaken to a remnant low before it reaches the islands, and it is not expected to reach tropical storm strength.

083342W5_NL_sm

Elsewhere, the Atlantic basin is quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 2 to 4 hours of sunshine today from Panama City to Gulf Shores with scattered showers and storms. Then, for the rest of the week and the weekend, brighter weather with 6 to 8 hours of sun each day with showers and storms being more widely scattered. Highs will hold in the mid to upper 80s along the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night with Gary England of Oklahoma City.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking today at St. Martin’s in the Pines in Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

WeatherBrains 443: Gary England

| 4:45 am July 22, 2014

WeatherBrains Episode 443 is now online (July 21, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight is sort of a Best of Show. But unlike other Best of Shows that are usually recorded, this is a live show bringing back three of our favorite all time guests. Tonight’s Guest Panelist won an opportunity to attend an NBA game with Bill Murray during the AMS in Atlanta. But she got to Phillips Arena and it was the guy from WeatherBrains, not the star of Groundhog Day. She recently is a recent graduate of the University of Oklahoma and a rising superstar at KFSM in Fort Smith, Arkansas, where she does mornings. Shelby Hays, congratulations and welcome back!

Since we already had a Guest Panelist, we had to make up a title for tonight’s third guest. James has five fantasy voices from the show over the years, and Morgan Palmer might be his favorite. When James’ rolls out the Big Pipes description, you know it’s big time. So tonight we welcome back Guest Big Pipes: Morgan Palmer, Chief Meteorologist none other than KIRO-Seattle. How you doin’ Morgan?

It is an oft-used line in introducing Guest WeatherBrains lately, that tonight’s GWB needs no introduction to our audience. And that is as true tonight as any time I have ever invoked it. He is a return Guest WeatherBrain, having appeared in December 2009 on show #202. He is an icon in Oklahoma, where he recently retired as arguably one of the most admired television meteorologists in America. Gary England, welcome back to the show!

Best of the Best Show Guests

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 115 at Death Valley, CA, and 35 at Bryce Canyon, UT
  • New tropical depression in the Central Atlantic
  • and more!
  • Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Picks of the Week:

    Nate Johnson – Updraft: A weather forecasting toolkit for iPad

    Bill Murray – WeatherBrains episode 202

    John Scala – Anomalous Mid-Summer Cold Air Intrusion of July 14–16, 2014

    Rick Smith – AMS Summer Community Meeting

    James Spann – WxGeeks Review

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, John Scala, Bill Murray, Rick Smith, and Aubrey Urbanowicz. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Audible.com graphic

    Warm, Moist Air Stays In Place

    | 3:40 pm July 21, 2014

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers and storms continue, mostly over the eastern half of Alabama at mid-afternoon. There is very little movement… just a drift toward the west/northwest, so some places have seen heavy rain. Temperatures are mostly in the 80s… this will be the seventh consecutive day with a high below 90 degrees in Birmingham. Quite remarkable for mid-July.

    An upper low is over East Alabama, and is expected to drift southwest, toward Mobile tomorrow. This should mean a rather unsettled day tomorrow for the state, with a mostly cloudy sky and scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Once again the high should be in the 80s due to clouds and showers.

    WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: The upper low will weaken and dissipate, so Wednesday looks like a typical summer day with a partly sunny and the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Then, an approaching front should bring an increase in the number of showers and storms to the northern half of the state Thursday afternoon into Thursday night.

    The latest GFS (12Z run) brings drier air down into North Alabama Friday, suggesting the highest risk of showers and storms will come over South Alabama.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: For now Saturday looks relatively rain-free with only isolated showers, but a disturbance in the northwest flow aloft across the Deep South could bring an increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms Saturday night or Sunday. Highs this weekend should be close to 90 degrees.

    LONG RANGE: Global models are showing another deep, long wave upper trough over the eastern U.S. in 9-12 days; this could bring another “cool” and refreshing airmass down into the southern states during a time when summer heat is usually peaking. Let’s hope this verifies.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: About 4-6 hours of sun tomorrow along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Then, we expect increasing amounts of sun and fewer showers Thursday and Friday. Highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s along the immediate coast, and the NWS Mobile has been warning of dangerous rip tides in coastal waters. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the low to mid 80s.

    NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION: The disturbance in the Atlantic about halfway between the coast of Africa and the Windward Islands has become the second tropical depression of the season in the Atlantic basin. The good news is that this is not expected to reach tropical storm strength, and should dissipate before reaching the islands due to harsh environmental conditions.

    203240W5_NL_sm

    The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Oklahoma City TV weather legend Gary England will join us this week… the show will be produced tonight at 8:30 CT. You can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

    Warm and Humid; Scattered Showers

    | 6:23 am July 21, 2014

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Rain is falling early this morning over parts of Northeast Alabama’s Etowah, Cherokee, and DeKalb Counties… these showers are showing little movement. The rest of the state is dry with temperatures mostly in the upper 60s and low 70s.

    A broad upper low is over East Alabama and Georgia this morning, and this should keep the best chance of showers over the eastern half of the state today. The highest amount of sunshine will be over the western counties, and most places will see a high somewhere between 86 and 89 degrees. Interesting to note the last time we saw a high of 90 or higher (in Birmingham) was one week ago… Monday July 14. A remarkable steak for the middle of July.

    THE WEEK AHEAD: The upper low will drift to the southwest tomorrow, which should mean a better coverage of showers and storms across Alabama. It won’t rain everywhere, but a number of communities should see a good shower during the day, and highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s.

    Then, Wednesday looks like a rather typical summer day. Partly sunny; the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. We could touch 90 degrees Wednesday afternoon.

    The GFS continues with the idea of a surface front approaching the state from the north Thursday and Friday, which could provide an increase in the number of scattered showers and storms over the northern counties of the state.

    SATURDAY/SUNDAY: For the moment the GFS is suggesting the weekend will be relatively dry with only isolated showers, but the door is open for a wave to move into the state on a northwest flow aloft, and trying to identify this kind of feature is almost impossible five days in advance. For now we will just mention widely scattered showers and storms both days with a high close to, or just over 90 degrees.

    VOODOO LAND: The European model is suggesting a deep upper trough will form over the eastern U.S. again at the end of July, which could set up another unusually “cool”, dry airmass for Alabama.

    7-30_500

    Could we be setting up for another round of record lows? We will just have to wait and see. Check out the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: For the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores this week, it looks like rather routine summer weather with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day along with the risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs will be in the 85 to 88 degree range on the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

    TROPICS: A weak disturbance southwest of the Cape Verde Islands should dissipate later this week, and tropical storm formation is not expected in the Atlantic basin anytime soon.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Oklahoma City TV weather legend Gary England will be our guest on this week’s show, which we will produce tonight at 8:30 CT. You can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day…

    Moist Air Stays In Place Over The Weekend

    | 3:32 pm July 18, 2014

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    COOLEST JULY 18 ON RECORD: At 2:00 this afternoon Haleyville, in Northwest Alabama’s Winston County, was reporting only 64 degrees… that is 27 degrees below average…

    Temperatures

    Looks like Birmingham will easily break the old record low maximum temperature for July 18… we are in the mid 70s at 3:00… the old record maximum for today was 79 set in 1906.

    Clouds and widespread rain are over Alabama today, helping to keep temperatures in record territory. The heaviest rain has been over the northern and western counties, where some places have received over one inch of beneficial rain.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Dynamic support for rain will weaken over the weekend, meaning showers and thunderstorms will become more scattered in nature. Some of the high resolution models actually suggest our best chance of rain tomorrow will come during the morning hours, but an afternoon shower or storm is certainly possible as well. The sun might peek out at times tomorrow, and the weather will be warmer with a high back in the mid 80s.

    Sunday should be brighter and drier with a mix of sun and clouds and a few scattered showers and thunderstorms. The high Sunday should be up in the mid to upper 80s as we dig out of the “July deep freeze”.

    NEXT WEEK: The weather looks pretty routine for the first half of the week… partly sunny Monday through Wednesday with the usual risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs should be in the 87 to 90 degree range. The is potential for an increase in showers and storms over the latter half of the week with a surface boundary approaching from the north…. see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: A few showers and storms are likely tomorrow with only a limited amount of sunshine, but look for improving conditions Sunday and into next week with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day along with a few scattered thunderstorms. Highs tomorrow will be in the mid 80s, with upper 80s Sunday through much of next week along the immediate coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the low 80s.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is still very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    Look for my next Weather Xtreme video Monday morning by 7:00…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

    Wet/Cool Friday For Much Of Alabama

    | 6:12 am July 18, 2014

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RAIN RETURNS: At daybreak rain covers much of North Alabama, and today looks like a cloudy, wet, and relatively cool day for our state. Birmingham’s record low maximum temperature for July 18 is 79 degrees set in 1906, and that 108 year old record is in danger due to clouds and rain.

    Screen Shot 2014-07-18 at 6.03.01 AM

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: An axis of deeper moisture will linger over the state, but the dynamic support will weaken. So, showers and thunderstorms remain possible tomorrow and Sunday, but the rain won’t be continuous, and the sun will be out at times. In fact, the latest model data hints that the showers could be pretty scattered in nature by Sunday. The high will return to the mid 80s tomorrow, followed by upper 80s Sunday.

    NEXT WEEK: The pattern returns to a more routine one for mid-summer. An upper high will be anchored west of the state, and around here we project partly sunny days with the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. The high will be close to 90 degrees on both days.

    The GFS suggests a surface front could bring a better coverage of showers and thunderstorms by Thursday, with drier air for the northern third of the state Friday of next week… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: Only a limited amount of sun for the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores today and tomorrow with a few showers and thunderstorms likely. Then, rather routine summer weather Sunday into much of next week, with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with a few scattered thunderstorms around. Highs will be in the mid 80s today and tomorrow, with upper 80s Sunday through next week along the immediate coast. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, but over in the western Pacific the eye wall of Super Typhoon Rammasun is moving into Hainan Island and Leizhou Peninsula of China with sustained winds of near 150 mph.?

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Wet Weather Ahead For Alabama

    | 3:42 pm July 17, 2014

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    ANOTHER “COOL” JULY DAY: Temperatures are mostly in the 78-82 degree range this afternoon across the great state of Alabama… it doesn’t look or feel like mid-July. Mid level clouds have been increasing this afternoon, but the low levels are dry with low dew points.

    RAIN ON THE WAY: Lots of rain today to the west of Alabama… there was some serious flash flooding north of Dallas/Fort Worth along I-35 earlier today, and rain is widespread around the Ark-La-Tex region this afternoon. The wave responsible for the rain is slowly moving our way, and it looks like rain and storms could very well become widespread tomorrow. Some communities across North Alabama might not make it out of the 70s tomorrow because of the clouds and rain. Some thunder is possible, but no severe weather.

    OUR WEEKEND: The axis of deeper moisture stays in place, and we will continue to forecast occasional showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. There will be some decent breaks in the rain, but just understand rain is possible at any hour on both days with only a limited amount of sun. Highs over the weekend will be in the low to mid 80s. Three day rain totals (tomorrow through Sunday) will be in the 2 inch range.

    NEXT WEEK: Dynamic support will weaken a bit, but moist air stays in place, so we will continue with the mention of at least scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday… temperatures will trend back up toward 90 degrees by mid-week. Some evidence that a surface front approaching from the north could bring another increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms late in the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: We project about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day tomorrow through Sunday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, with the daily risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs will remain in the upper 80s along the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures in the low to mid 80s.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, but over in the western Pacific Typhoon Rammasun now has sustained winds to 140 mph, a category 4.? It will move into China in a few days, but it will be in a weakening phase by then.

    capitalweather_2014-Jul-17

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    I enjoyed seeing a big group of home schoolers today at Cullman’s First Baptist Church… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM this evening on ABC 33/40 News at 6:00! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….