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Showers Thursday Night; Colder Friday

| 3:45 pm March 24, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: Much like yesterday, the sky is generally sunny north of I-20, and mostly cloudy south of I-20…

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Where the sun is out, temperatures are in the 70s… with 60s elsewhere. Nothing showing up on radar.

NORTHWEST OF ALABAMA: We finally have the first severe weather watch issued by SPC during the month of March for parts of OK/MO/KS/AR… the latest “first-March” watch since 1970.

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TOMORROW: A few small, isolated showers are possible, but most Alabama communities will stay dry tomorrow with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the mid to upper 70s. Severe storms are possible tomorrow west of Alabama, with the higher probabilities over East Oklahoma.

LATE WEEK COLD FRONT: Clouds increase Thursday ahead of a Polar cold front, and showers will move through the state Thursday night. The latest GFS suggests the main window for showers will come from 5:00 p.m. Thursday through 5:00 a.m. Friday. No severe weather expected, and rain amounts should be generally under 1/2 inch.

Friday will be much colder with a high only in the low 50s; communities north of Birmingham could hold in the 40s all day with a very chilly north wind of 12-22 mph. The sky will be partly sunny during the day.

LATE SEASON FREEZE POTENTIAL: The low early Saturday will be in the 29-32 degree range, and Sunday morning could be just as cold. Saturday for now looks mostly dry, although a few morning snow flurries are possible over the northwest corner of the state around Muscle Shoals. The high Saturday will be in the 50-55 degree range with intervals of sunshine.

A warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high in the low 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look dry, but a vigorous weather system will have the potential to bring heavy rain and strong storms to Alabama Wednesday, and possibly into Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Concord Elementary School in Jefferson County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Dry and Mild Today; Much Colder Friday

| 5:57 am March 24, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MILD AFTERNOONS: We are starting this day in the 40s, but look for a high up in the mid 70s this afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds. Tomorrow will be a bit warmer with a high between 77 and 80 degrees; moisture levels will rise a bit and we will probably need to mention the risk of a few isolated showers, but a majority of the day will be dry.

TO THE WEST: Severe storms are possible today and tomorrow northwest of Alabama; there is an “enhanced” risk of severe storms tomorrow just southeast of Oklahoma City; this is one of the new severe weather risk categories that is between “slight” and “moderate”.

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COLDER AIR ARRIVES LATER THIS WEEK: Clouds increase Thursday, and a few showers are possible late Thursday afternoon and Thursday night as the cold front passes through our state. No severe weather is expected, and rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch… and maybe even under 1/4 inch. Seems like the main window for showers will come from about 4:00 p.m. Thursday through 4:00 a.m. Friday.

A cool breeze develops Friday; we won’t make it past the mid 50s with a mix of sun and clouds.

LATE SEASON FREEZE POTENTIAL: The GFS is printing a low of 31 degrees for Birmingham early Saturday morning… the day Saturday looks breezy and cold. As the deep upper trough passes overhead, it will bring cloudy periods, and maybe even a sprinkle or a snow flake during the morning hours. Best chance of snow flurries Saturday morning will come over the northwest corner of the state around Muscle Shoals. Parts of North Alabama will struggle to get out of the 40s.

Another freeze is possible early Sunday with a clear sky and light wind; lows in the 28-34 degree range are likely. Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high in the low to mid 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

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NEXT WEEK: For now Monday and Tuesday look dry and warmer for North/Central Alabama… but the GFS continues to advertise a robust mid-week system that could bring potential for heavy rain and strong storms by Wednesday or Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I have a weather program this morning at Concord Elementary School in Jefferson County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Warming Trend Through Wednesday, Then Colder

| 3:42 pm March 23, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SLOW CLEARING: While the Tennessee Valley has enjoyed a mostly sunny sky much of the day, clouds have lingered along and south of I-20…

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Temperatures are in the low 70s over far North Alabama where the sun is shining; elsewhere we are seeing mostly 60s.

TOMORROW AND WEDNESDAY: These two days look dry and mild with a mix of sun and clouds, and highs generally in the 70s. The NAM model is suggesting we could be close to 80 degrees in spots Wednesday afternoon.

To the west of Alabama, strong to severe storms are possible on these days across parts of Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Missouri, but those won’t bother us.

LATE WEEK COLD FRONT: Clouds will increase Thursday, and we will mention a chance of showers, and possibly a thunderstorm Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. No severe weather is expected, and rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch. Much colder air will return to the state Friday; we won’t make it past the mid 50s with a chilly north wind. A lingering shower is possible Friday morning in spots, but most of the day should be rain-free.

RAW, COLD SATURDAY: A cold, deep upper trough will set up a mostly cloudy and rather raw day Saturday. Some light rain, and maybe even a snow flake or two will be possible as the trough passes; temperatures will struggle to get out of the 40s with a very cool north breeze. It sure won’t feel like a spring day.

There is potential for a late season freeze early Sunday morning with a clear sky and light wind; we project a low in the 28-33 degree range for North/Central Alabama, so growers beware. Then, we expect a good supply of sunshine during the day Sunday with a high back in the 60s as a warming trend begins.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look mostly dry with highs in the 70s; some risk of showers and storms will return by mid-week, but model consistency has not been good with that next feature.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly dry weather through Wednesday on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores; a few scattered showers are possible Thursday night and Friday. Highs will be in the low 70s tomorrow through Thursday, but back in the 60s Friday. Then, a cool weekend is ahead… mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday, but with a high in the 50s Saturday and 60s Sunday. Early morning temperatures will reach the 40s on the coast this weekend. The sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is up to 71 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I enjoyed seeing 2nd graders today at Meadow View Elementary in Alabaster and West Elementary in Vestavia Hills… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Clouds Hang Around; Colder Late This Week

| 6:15 am March 23, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: Alabama is covered by low clouds, some fog, and drizzle early this morning with temperatures in the 50s. Most of the significant rain is now east of the state, and while most of the day today will be dry, clouds will hang tough. We could see a few peeks of sunshine late this afternoon… and the high today will be in the 60s.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: These two days are looking dry and mild with a mix of sun and clouds; low to mid 70s are likely tomorrow, and the GFS and the NAM are both printing a high of 77 for Birmingham Wednesday. We do note on these two days a few severe thunderstorms could break out across parts of the nation’s mid-section, but we do not expect severe weather issues in our state when that systems arrives later.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Clouds increase Thursday, and showers are possible Thursday afternoon into Thursday night… maybe a thunderstorm… ahead of a cold front. For now it doesn’t look like a big rain event, with amounts expected to be well under 1/2 inch.

A few showers could linger into Friday morning as much colder air rushes into the state; we won’t get past the mid 50s Friday with a very cool north breeze.

RAW SATURDAY: A deep upper trough over the eastern half of the U.S. will set up a cold late March weekend. Saturday looks pretty raw; mostly cloudy, breezy, and cold with a chance of a little drizzle during the morning hours, maybe even a few early morning snow flurries. Most North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 40s.

SUNDAY MORNING FREEZE? The sky will clear Saturday night, and the stage is set for a late season freeze early Sunday. The GFS is printing a low of 29 degrees for Birmingham… many places to the north could see low to mid 20s. This is why we have been telling you for weeks it is way too early to plant anything that will be harmed by freezing temperatures. I always recommend tax day, April 15, as a safe time to plant without too much worry about a freeze.

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NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look dry and warmer; then a chance of showers and storms will return by mid-week on Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30p CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have weather programs today at Meadow View Elementary in Alabaster… and West Elementary in Vestavia Hills. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Mostly Dry Tomorrow; Very Wet Sunday

| 3:39 pm March 20, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

LIGHT RAIN OVER EAST ALABAMA: Light rain continues in areas east of I-65 this afternoon… this rain will exit this state this evening.

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The sky will stay mostly cloudy tonight, but weather conditions will be mostly rain-free with only a small risk of a stray shower.

TOMORROW: We project a mix of sun and clouds with a high around 70 degrees; the chance of a shower during the day is very small; only about one in five for any given spot. The chance of rain will increase tomorrow night as short wave energy lifts out of Texas.

SUNDAY: This look like a very wet day with rain likely most of the day into Sunday night. The air will be cool and stable, so there is no risk of severe weather, and you probably won’t hear much thunder. Rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely.

NEXT WEEK: Rain ends Monday morning, and Tuesday and Wednesday look dry and pleasant with a decent amount of sunshine both days along with a high around 70 degrees. Showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms return by Thursday and Friday with the approach of a cold front. For now the severe weather threat looks fairly low.

We should also mention the GFS continues to advertise a sharp change to colder weather around March 28-29 with potential for a late season freeze… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Tomorrow will be mostly dry on the Gulf Coast with only a few widely scattered showers and a few intervals of sunshine. Rain and thunderstorms are likely Sunday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, then dry air returns early next week with clearing Monday, and mostly sunny conditions Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs will remain around 70 degrees each day on the immediate coast, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Showers Today Widely Spaced

| 6:04 am March 20, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

HELLO SPRING: Pretty quiet across the great state of Alabama this morning, on the first “official” day of spring. The vernal equinox comes this evening at 5:45p CDT, when the sun will be directly over the equator.

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The sky will be generally cloudy today, and while some scattered light rain is very possible, a decent part of the day will be dry. The high today will be in the low 70s for most places, although Northeast Alabama will be cooler with a high in the low 60s. The CAD (cold air damming) effect kept parts of DeKalb, Cherokee, and Etowah Counties only in the 50s yesterday.

THE WEEKEND: Still looks like a decent part of the day tomorrow will be dry with intervals of sunshine; the high will be in the low 70s. The high resolution NAM model hints rain could push in from the west by the evening hours, and Sunday still looks very wet with widespread rain as the wave lifts out of the Southwest U.S. Rain amounts of 1-2 inches are likely late tomorrow night and Sunday, but no risk of severe weather, and probably very little thunder with a cool, stable airmass in place.

NEXT WEEK: The rain will push out of the state Monday morning, and we might see a bit of sun Monday afternoon. Tuesday looks rain-free; highs will remain in the low 70s.

The 00Z GFS pushes moist air back into the state Wednesday, suggesting a few showers could break out. Then, some rain is likely at times Thursday and Friday as a cold front approaches from the north.

LONG RANGE: Still evidence of a colder pattern developing for the eastern and southern U.S. around the end of the month; the risk of a freeze for North/Central Alabama is far from over. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: More clouds than sun on the coast today and tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with just a few scattered showers. Rain becomes widespread Sunday, then ending early Monday morning of next week. Tuesday and Wednesday look dry, but showers are possible Thursday and Friday of next week. Highs on the immediate coast will remain close to 70 degrees, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking today to the senior adult group at St. Mark United Methodist Church in Vestavia Hills… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!