Category: National and World
Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family on this special holiday. The weather is certainly cooperating for us here in Alabama, although that is not the case all around the country.
Boy, the weather held off just long enough nationally to get everyone to Grandma’s house, and it has gone downhill today across a large area of the West and the Plains.
A powerful upper level trough across the West is poised to caused a wide array of bad weather over the next several days. The axis of the trough extends from williston ND to Pocatello, Idaho to Fresno, California this afternoon.
Ahead of it, widespread precipitation is occurring, including snow across the Mountains of the Wes, into the Central Plains and Midwest, from Nebraska to Upper Michigan. A wintry mix is occurring from northeastern New Mexico through the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles, Central Kansas and into Iowa. Ice storm warnings cover a wide area from eastern New Mexico, northwestern Texas, western Teas and the southern part of Kansas. There is a high probability of a 1/4 inch accumulation of ice from the Texas Panhandle into Iowa. One half inch of ice will accumulate across parts of western Oklahoma.
From the Oklahoma State Climatologist Gary McManus: Given the recent developments, I’m afraid we’re going to have to upgrade the
EMERGENCY BREAD AND MILK DEF-BRAUMS LEVEL to LEVEL ONE across west central through north central Oklahoma. That’s serious!
Ahead of this shield of wintry precip, rain is occurring from southern New Mexico and Texas all the way into the Great Lakes. A rapidly weakening Hurricane Sandra, over the eastern Pacific, will interject its moisture into the system over the weekend. The system has top winds of 115 mph this afternoon, but will will weaken to a depression before it makes landfall early Saturday in the Mexican state of Durango.
Incredible rainfall amounts will fall over the southern Plains over the next five days (how many times have we said that this year?). 8 to 9 inches is expected across southern and eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas. Tishomingo in southern Oklahoma has picked up 70.90 inches of rain so far this year. Another 9 inches would be incredible!
Flash flood watches are in effect from Dallas to St. Louis.
HERE AT HOME
Absolutely gorgeous weather for Thanksgiving here in Alabama. Skies are sunny and temperatures are in the lower 70s at every major reporting station across the state. The nearest rain is a few light showers along the Northeast Florida and Georgia coasts. A nice southeasterly wind is making it feel even balmier.
We stay dry through the Black Friday shopping experience. It will be mild for the early morning shoppers, with lows just in the 50s. Iron Bowl Saturday will be dry as well, with temperatures in the 70s for the big game. Rain will not arrive until late in the day on Sunday.
Got travel plans for Thanksgiving Day? Here’s a look at the probability of precipitation across the United States for Thanksgiving Day from 6 am to 6 pm. Looks like a large swath of the Central US from Central Texas across eastern Kansas and northeastward into Lake Michigan will see the best chances for precipitation, most of that rain. There is also a bullseye in Wyoming and much of that is likely to be snow.
Whatever your travel plans might be, please be safe in all that you do. Happy Thanksgiving.
Typhoon Chapala remained a hurricane this morning and continued to churn across the Arabian Sea and the Gulf of Aden as it gets closer to landfall in Yemen.
This is the latest satellite view of Chapala. It was getting closer to Yemen after brushing just north of the island of Socotra in the Arabian Sea. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) placed Chapala’s wind at 105 knots this morning with gusts to 130 knots (120 mph with gusts to 150 mph). The forecasters there continued to predict a gradual weakening trend as Chapala makes its was toward landfall just to the west of Mukalla (or Al Mukalla on some maps) around midnight tonight. Once the eye has made landfall, the tropical cyclone should diminish in strength rapidly falling below tropical storm strength about 24 hours after landfall. Here’s the graphic from JTWC.
Here’s another view of Cyclone Chapala.
Saw this in my rambling around the Internet today, and I thought I would share it with blog readers. Incredible rainfall amounts with 21.04″ in near Huger, SC, 24.23″ near Mount Pleasant, SC, 22.47″ near Shadowmoss, SC, and 20.37″ near Charleston to name some of the highest amounts.
And to make matters worse, there are reports of a dam collapse at Semmes Lake which is at Fort Jackson, SC, near Columbia, SC. No idea of the size of the dam, but that’s just one more thing the DO NOT NEED!!
NOUS42 KCHS 041540 PNSCHS GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>052-050200- PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC 1140 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015 THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL STORM TOTAL RAINFALL REPORTS FROM COCORAHS...ASOS...RAWS...AND SPOTTER REPORTS. RAINFALL TOTALS ARE GENERALLY 3-DAY AMOUNTS BEGINNING AT 7 AM THURSDAY 1 OCTOBER 2015. ********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS RAINFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT SOUTH CAROLINA ...ALLENDALE COUNTY... 2 SE ALLENDALE 2.61 600 AM 10/04 COCORAHS ...BEAUFORT COUNTY... 4 N HILTON HEAD ISLA 5.77 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 4 NNE BEAUFORT 5.47 839 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 N BEAUFORT 5.30 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 NNE BLUFFTON 2.15 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 6 WNW BLUFFTON 2.04 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS ...BERKELEY COUNTY... 3 NNE HUGER 21.04 900 AM 10/04 USGS SITE 1 NNW LIMERICK 19.71 900 AM 10/04 RAWS 5 NNW HUGER 18.32 429 AM 10/04 STORM TOTAL 4 E MONCKS CORNER 17.02 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 SSW WANDO 16.90 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 NW BONNEAU 16.71 1030 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 NE MONCKS CORNER 16.17 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 SSW DANIEL ISLAND 15.67 830 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 SSE HANAHAN 15.30 900 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 7 SW MONCKS CORNER 15.08 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 N HANAHAN 14.39 945 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 NE SUMMERVILLE 13.75 900 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 4 NE SUMMERVILLE 13.36 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 5 WNW GOOSE CREEK 12.96 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 5 E GOOSE CREEK 12.79 900 AM 10/04 USGS SITE ...CHARLESTON COUNTY... 6 NE MOUNT PLEASANT 24.23 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 SSW SHADOWMOSS 22.47 900 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 5 SSE CHARLESTON 20.37 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 4 NNW KIAWAH ISLAND 18.25 700 AM 10/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 2 S CHARLESTON 17.04 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 NNW GARRIS LANDING 17.03 427 AM 10/04 STORM TOTAL 1 NNE JAMES ISLAND C 17.00 929 AM 10/04 TRAINED SPOTTER 3 ENE CHARLESTON 16.88 900 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 E CHARLESTON 16.84 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS CHARLESTON AIRPORT 16.61 900 AM 10/04 ASOS 6 NW CHARLESTON 16.52 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS NWS CHARLESTON SC 16.49 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 NE CHARLESTON 16.46 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 4 ESE NORTH CHARLEST 16.32 823 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 ESE MOUNT PLEASANT 16.16 711 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 NE JOHNS ISLAND 15.91 730 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 NE KIAWAH ISLAND 15.69 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 4 N NORTH CHARLESTON 15.33 900 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 NNE CHARLESTON 15.14 745 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 5 SW AWENDAW 15.02 723 AM 10/04 RAWS CHARLESTON 14.74 930 AM 10/04 OFFICIAL NWS OBS 5 WNW CHARLESTON 14.74 600 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 WSW MOUNT PLEASANT 14.37 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 SW MOUNT PLEASANT 14.26 640 AM 10/04 COCORAHS CHARLESTON INTERNATI 14.22 756 AM 10/04 ASOS 2 SSW WADMALAW ISLAN 14.02 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 ESE MCCLELLANVILLE 13.88 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 WSW CHARLESTON 13.88 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 E MOUNT PLEASANT 13.78 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS ESE MCCLELLANVILLE 13.78 630 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 WNW RAVENEL 12.02 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 W MEGGETT 11.77 745 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 S MOUNT PLEASANT 11.70 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS ...COLLETON COUNTY... 3 ENE WALTERBORO 7.87 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 ENE WALTERBORO 7.57 707 AM 10/04 RAWS 3 NNW WALTERBORO 7.37 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 3 SW LODGE 6.31 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 8 NE YEMASSEE 5.29 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS ESE SMOAKS 5.08 600 AM 10/04 COCORAHS ...DORCHESTER COUNTY... 3 NW SUMMERVILLE 17.23 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 1 SSW SUMMERVILLE 15.86 800 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 N SUMMERVILLE 15.16 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 W SUMMERVILLE 14.65 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 7 S RIDGEVILLE 13.62 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS SUMMERVILLE 4W 14.75 700 AM 10/04 CO-OP OBSERVER ...HAMPTON COUNTY... 1 SW HAMPTON 3.19 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS 2 SSW BRUNSON 2.16 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS GEORGIA ...CHATHAM COUNTY... 11 WSW SAVANNAH 2.40 900 AM 10/04 COCORAHS ...SCREVEN COUNTY... MILLHAVEN 2.22 700 AM 10/04 USGS 1 SSE NEWINGTON 2.07 700 AM 10/04 COCORAHS &&
While we are mostly interested in the weather in Central Alabama, it’s always interesting to peek in on other places that are having weather. And let’s be honest, our interest is usually piqued when the weather in those other locations is bad. So today there is a lot of interest in South Carolina with their epic flooding and in Bermuda as Hurricane Joaquin slips by the island just to the west.
So I thought blog viewers might be interested in the radar view of Joaquin from the Doppler radar located at the L.F.Wade International Airport in Bermuda. The radar is an S-Band Meteor 1500S built by AMS Gematronik purchased by the Department of Airport Operation and is operated by the Bermuda Weather Service.
As you might imagine, the weather in Bermuda is horrible. This afternoon, about 90 minutes ago, they reported an ESE wind at 39 mph gusting to 51 mph. Highest gust this afternoon has been 55 mph. The pressure has been falling all afternoon as Joaquin traverses the ocean just west of Bermuda and the latest report was 29.36 inches or 994 millibars.
Looking at the radar image, it appears Joaquin should be due west of Bermuda in about 2 to 3 hours with the eastern most eye wall about 80 km from the radar site.
PS I updated this to include a satellite image of Joaquin with Bermuda marked on the map (small black mark just east of Joaquin) for some perspective.
Twitter and Facebook are filled with pictures of the flooding which is going on in South Carolina this morning. Once again the NWS offices in South Carolina have prepared a map of that state from actual rainfall observations received through 7 am today.
The area shown in red up to purple represents rainfall values for the previous 96 hours of 10 inches plus and runs roughly from Columbia southeastward to the coast just northeast of Charleston. And unfortunately the rain continues to fall!
This is the image from the Columbia, SC, NWS radar taken at 11:38 am and rain runs in a wide band from Columbia slightly south of east to Myrtle Beach. Motion of these echoes was toward the west. So the flooding problems for South Carolina are just going to get worse. And keep in mind, while the initial flooding problems are coming from what I would term flash flooding, the problem is going to last for days and days because all of this water has got to go into the larger rivers which will create additional flooding problems for some time to come.