Category: Tropical

Irma’s Eye Now Approaching Marco Island

Irma’s Eye Now Approaching Marco Island

| September 10, 2017 @ 2:17 pm

The eye of Irma is about to come onshore on the Florida Peninsula at Marco Island. At the moment, they are experiencing the fiercest winds from the outer part of the eyewall, with radar-estimated winds over 100-110 MPH.

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1:30 p.m. Notes on Irma

1:30 p.m. Notes on Irma

| September 10, 2017 @ 1:28 pm

Hurricane Irma is pounding South Florida at this hour. The eye is about to make its second U.S. landfall between Marco Island and Tampa. Winds are down to 120 mph making it a cat two storm.

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Hurricane Irma Makes First U.S. Landfall

Hurricane Irma Makes First U.S. Landfall

| September 10, 2017 @ 8:22 am

Hurricane Irma made landfall in the Lower Florida Keys near Cudjoe Key at 9:10 a.m. EDT with top winds of 130 mph and a central pressure of 929 millibars.

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Sunday Morning Notes On Irma

Sunday Morning Notes On Irma

| September 10, 2017 @ 6:23 am

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Irma has made the “north turn”, and is moving over the Florida Keys this morning. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should move near or over the southwestern coast of the Florida Peninsula later today through tonight. Irma should then move inland Monday afternoon.

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Extreme Wind Warning Issued for the Lower Keys

Extreme Wind Warning Issued for the Lower Keys

| September 10, 2017 @ 5:39 am

The eyewall of Category Four Hurricane Irma is coming on shore imminently from Key West eastward to the Seven Mile Bridge. Landfall should occur around 7:30 a.m. CDT.

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Hunker Down in the Keys!  Irma Continues to Strengthen

Hunker Down in the Keys! Irma Continues to Strengthen

| September 10, 2017 @ 4:23 am

Hurricane Irma continues to strengthen and will be one of the worst hurricanes ever to strike the Florida Keys. Winds may be 140 mph and the central pressure could be around 922 mb at landfall around 8 a.m. CDT

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Irma Moving Northwest Now Toward Keys, Slowly Strengthening

Irma Moving Northwest Now Toward Keys, Slowly Strengthening

| September 9, 2017 @ 11:31 pm

Irma has finally established its move to the northwest and is making a beeline for Key West at 11 mph. The hurricane continues to slowly strengthen and will likely be a top ten most intense U.S. landfalling hurricane.

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Irma Has Changed Directions… Not So Fast My Friend

Irma Has Changed Directions… Not So Fast My Friend

| September 9, 2017 @ 8:31 pm

UPDATE: I may have spoke too soon. I was thinking that with the movement of the eye to the north-northwest direction for nearly 30 minutes was an actual change in direction. Well, Irma has tricked us with an eye-wobble and has resumed its movement to the west-northwest.

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Saturday Night Notes On Irma

Saturday Night Notes On Irma

| September 9, 2017 @ 6:42 pm

At 500 PM EDT, the eye of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 80.5 West. Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph. A northwest motion is expected to begin tonight with a turn toward the north-northwest on Sunday. On the forecast track, the core of Irma will continue to move […]

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First Recon Fix From Kermit

First Recon Fix From Kermit

| September 9, 2017 @ 2:05 pm

Irma is a shadow of her former self for now, but is still very organized and should intensify quickly as it moves over the warm waters of the Florida Straits. It will deliver a destructive onslaught or wind and storm surge to the Keys and West Coast of Florida.

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Saturday Afternoon Notes On Irma

Saturday Afternoon Notes On Irma

| September 9, 2017 @ 1:47 pm

I am writing this from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa where weather is no issue today… IRMA RIGHT NOW: At 200 PM EDT, the eye of Hurricane Irma was located by radar near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 80.2 West. Irma is moving just north of due west along the north coast of Cuba at near 9 […]

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Katia Dissipates Over The Terrain Of Eastern Mexico But Threat
For Heavy Rainfall Continues

Katia Dissipates Over The Terrain Of Eastern Mexico But Threat For Heavy Rainfall Continues

| September 9, 2017 @ 9:33 am

At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Katia were located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 97.9 West. The remnants are moving toward the west-southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so.

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Saturday Morning Notes On Irma

Saturday Morning Notes On Irma

| September 9, 2017 @ 7:00 am

Here are some notes on extremely dangerous Hurricane Irma, and the expected impact on Alabama, Florida, and the Southeast U.S… The eye of Irma is on the north coast of Cuba early this morning. A turn toward the northwest is expected by late today, with a turn toward the north-northwest expected tonight or on Sunday. […]

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Irma Back at Cat Five?  Making Landfall in Cuba?  Many Questions.

Irma Back at Cat Five? Making Landfall in Cuba? Many Questions.

| September 8, 2017 @ 9:41 pm

Hurricane Irma has become better organized tonight and may have strengthened back to a category five hurricane. It is very near the north coast of Cuba.

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Cuban Radars Tracking Irma

Cuban Radars Tracking Irma

| September 8, 2017 @ 10:17 am

Cuban radars are tracking Hurricane Irma’s center as it moves through just north of the coast of the island Nation.

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Late Thursday Night Update On Irma

Late Thursday Night Update On Irma

| September 7, 2017 @ 11:01 pm

Hurricane Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph, and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or two with a decrease in forward speed. A turn toward the northwest is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of Irma should continue to move westward away from the Turks and Caicos Islands and toward the southeastern Bahamas overnight.

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9:30 p.m. Thoughts on Hurricane Irma

9:30 p.m. Thoughts on Hurricane Irma

| September 7, 2017 @ 9:42 pm

Hurricane Irma could weaken one category as it undergoes an eyewall replacement cycle tonight, but conditions favor it strengthening back to category five status before it reaches South Florida late Saturday night and early Sunday morning.

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Monday Evening Update On Irma

Monday Evening Update On Irma

| September 7, 2017 @ 5:48 pm

Irma remains a dangerous, category five hurricane with sustained winds of 175 mph. The eye of Irma should continue to move between Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos Islands this evening. The core of the hurricane will then move between the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the next day or two.

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Model Madness:  Hurricane Irma Edition

Model Madness: Hurricane Irma Edition

| September 7, 2017 @ 3:02 pm

Model watching can be maddening during an approaching hurricane, but there are important scenarios and trends that can be discerned from the data.

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Let’s Not Forget About Strengthening Hurricane Jose

Let’s Not Forget About Strengthening Hurricane Jose

| September 7, 2017 @ 11:12 am

Even though Irma is grabbing all of the attention, the storm that is nearly following in her path continues to strengthen and is forecast to become a major hurricane sometime on Friday.

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Hurricane Watches, Storm Surge Watches Issued for South Florida

Hurricane Watches, Storm Surge Watches Issued for South Florida

| September 7, 2017 @ 10:55 am

Hurricane watches and storm surge watches have been issued for South Florida. Hurricane Irma is expected to remain a dangerous category five or four hurricane for the next three days until it impacts Florida.

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Irma Becomes a Cat 5 Hurricane

Irma Becomes a Cat 5 Hurricane

| September 5, 2017 @ 6:51 am

Hurricane Irma now has top winds of 175 mph, making it an extremely dangerous category 5 hurricane. It will impact the northern Leeward Islands tonight and Wednesday morning and Florida by late in the weekend.

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Monday Midday Notes On Irma

Monday Midday Notes On Irma

| September 4, 2017 @ 11:59 am

Midday notes on Hurricane Irma. Sustained winds are 120 mph. The government of Antigua has issued a Hurricane Warning for theislands of Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis. A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the British Virgin Islands. The government of the Netherlands has issued a Hurricane Warning for the islands of […]

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Afternoon Thoughts on the Tropics

Afternoon Thoughts on the Tropics

| September 3, 2017 @ 2:08 pm

Hurricane Irma is posing an increasing threat to the Southeast U.S. Coastline in about 8-9 days. It is too early to forecast what areas might be impacted, but the area from Florida through Georgia and the Carolinas into Virginia will need to pay close attention to the latest forecasts in coming days.

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Flooding Rains Continue Over Extreme Eastern Texas And Western
Louisiana

Flooding Rains Continue Over Extreme Eastern Texas And Western Louisiana

| August 30, 2017 @ 9:55 pm

At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Harvey was located near latitude 31.7 North, longitude 92.3 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn toward the northeast is expected Thursday or Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Harvey should move through central Louisiana tonight, then move through northeastern Louisiana and northwestern Mississippi Thursday and Thursday night, and over the Tennessee Valley region on Friday.

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Disturbance Moving Away From The North Carolina Coast

Disturbance Moving Away From The North Carolina Coast

| August 29, 2017 @ 3:31 pm

At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the disturbance was centered off the coast of North Carolina near latitude 36.0 North, longitude 74.3 West. The system is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h), and it is expected to accelerate further toward the northeast and east-northeast during the next couple of days. The disturbance will continue to move away from the North Carolina coast over the western Atlantic Ocean tonight.

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Harvey Makes Landfall

Harvey Makes Landfall

| August 25, 2017 @ 10:03 pm

Category 4 Hurricane Harvey is making landfall at this moment just north of Port Arkansas at Rockport with maximum sustained winds at 130 MPH.

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Harvey Is Now A Category 4 Hurricane

Harvey Is Now A Category 4 Hurricane

| August 25, 2017 @ 6:06 pm

Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance aircraft data indicate that Harvey has become a category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph (215 km/h).

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Harvey Becomes A Major Hurricane

Harvey Becomes A Major Hurricane

| August 25, 2017 @ 2:17 pm

Hurricane Harvey continues to strengthen and is now a major hurricane with top winds of 120 mph. It is still intensifying. It will make landfall tonight around 11 p.m. or midnight near or just east of Corpus Christi.

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Harvey Becomes a Hurricane

Harvey Becomes a Hurricane

| August 24, 2017 @ 12:08 pm

Harvey has strengthened rapidly over the past 12 hours and now officially has top winds of 80 mph. The pressure is down to 981 mb. The plane found flight level winds of 100 mph.

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