**Nate is now expected to be a category two hurricane at the time of landfall tonight on the Gulf Coast** At 1000 AM CDT, the center of Hurricane Nate was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 88.4 West. Nate is moving rapidly toward the north-northwest near 26 mph, and this general motion is expected to […]
Early this morning (7a CT), the center of Hurricane Nate was located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 88.0 West. Nate is moving toward the north-northwest near 22 mph, and this general fast motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the north is forecast tomorrow morning, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast […]
The Hurricane Hunters have found that Nate has become a hurricane late this evening. The wind is up to 75 mph and the central pressure down to 988 millibars.
Here are current wind watches and warnings for Nate as of 10 p.m. CDT Friday evening.
Watches have been issued along the Gulf Coast with what should be Hurricane Nate impacting the northern Gulf Coast starting late Saturday afternoon into Sunday.
A Hurricane Watch and a Storm Surge Watch will likely be issued either later tonight or by Friday morning.
The latest official track from the National Hurricane Center currently has Nate heading on a mostly north-northwesterly track that will take it across the tip of the Yucatan Peninsula on Friday night before emerging into the Gulf of Mexico and strengthening to a hurricane by Saturday morning.
Tropical Depression 16 is expected to become Tropical Storm Nate during the next 18 hours, and possibly reach hurricane strength by the time it reaches the Gulf Coast Sunday. Here are some important points… *This is a new system, and until we get better data from hurricane hunters and research aircraft in the area confidence […]
As noted here, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has begun advisories on Tropical Depression 16 which became better organized over the Southwest Caribbean this morning. Here is the latest satellite image of the system. The overall evolution of this system brings it to tropical storm strength within the next 12 hours. It is likely to […]
A look at how important data is when forecasting hurricanes/tropical storms with a focus on one paragraph of the NHC discussion on Maria.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Irma is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Monday evening. The low is likely to dissipate by Tuesday evening.
The eye of Irma has completely moved onshore and is approaching the Naples area at this point. Latest recon reports the wind field is far diminishing, and more than likely the next update from the National Hurricane Center will show that trend.
