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Still Dry Through Most Of The Weekend

| October 19, 2017 @ 6:22 am

FINE FALL WEATHER CONTINUES: Temperatures are mostly in the 40s across North/Central Alabama early this morning, and we expect another delightful day with ample sunshine and a high in the 70s this afternoon. And, no real change tomorrow; with a sunny sky we rise into the upper 70s.

THE WEEKEND: Saturday will be partly to mostly sunny with a high close to 80. And, we still believe most of the day Sunday will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds; Sunday’s high will be at or just over 80 degrees for most communities. We will mention some risk of isolated showers or storms Sunday afternoon, but rain will be more likely Sunday night ahead of a cold front.

TO THE WEST: We note SPC has parts of Oklahoma and North Texas in an “enhanced risk” of severe storms Saturday…

SPC does not have any severe weather threat defined for Sunday night or Monday to the east… for now it looks like instability values, wind fields, and lapse rates won’t be sufficient for severe storms around here. But, we will keep a close eye on the system as it approaches in coming days.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: A great night for high school games Friday night; the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from near 72 degrees at kickoff, into the low 60s by the final whistle.

Saturday, Alabama hosts the Tennessee Volunteers (2:30p CT kickoff) at Bryant-Denny Stadium… the game will be played under a partly to mostly sunny sky. About 81 degrees at kickoff; mid 70s by the fourth quarter as the sun begins to fade in the west.

Auburn travels to Fayetteville, Arkansas to take on the Razorbacks (6:30p CT kickoff)… while we can’t rule out a shower or storm during the game, confidence is growing that the main band of showers and storms won’t arrive there until after the game is over Saturday night. And, we should mention that severe storms are possible in Fayetteville late Saturday night into the pre-dawn hours Sunday. Temperatures will fall from near 72 degrees at kickoff, into the 60s by the fourth quarter.

UAB will also be on the road; they take on the Charlotte 49ers Saturday (5:30p CT kickoff)… expect a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 71 degrees at kickoff into the low 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: We will maintain the chance of rain and thunderstorms across the state Monday. We note the European global model (ECMWF) is slower than the GFS… it keeps rain going through Monday evening, while the GFS suggests the rain will be over by midday Monday. We will side with the slower Euro solution for now in our forecast. And again, for now we don’t expect any severe thunderstorms Monday, but there will be some surface based instability involved, so we will watch parameters as we get closer to the event.

The coolest air so far this season will likely move in here by Wednesday and Thursday thanks to a deep upper trough; highs drop into the 50s, and lows in the 30s by then. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page. The Beach Forecast is partially underwritten by the support of Brett/Robinson Vacation Rentals in Gulf Shores and Orange Beach. Click here to see Brett/Robinson’s Hot Deals now!

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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